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Boca Juniors vs Independiente de Oliva Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 92-86
19-20 26-28 26-24 21-14
Position#2
Record20-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#8
Record19-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game84.1
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Independiente de Oliva
13 Apr 2027
BOCA v INDE
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
BOCA92
INDE86
03 May 2025
BOCA80
INDE78
13 May 2024
BOCA81
INDE73
20 Jan 2023
BOCA89
INDE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Boca Juniors
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.5
78.6▼ 1.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.2
79.2▲ 3.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
54%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.0
14.6▼ 1.4
🔥 Form · Independiente de Oliva
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.8
94.0▲ 7.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.2
100.4▲ 15.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
56%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.7
15.8▲ 1.1
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H20/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A04/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H06/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H11/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
16-19
19-23
20-24
18-17
28-15
25-28
19-14
19-19
20-20
21-14
15-15
19-25
25-10
23-12
19-23
24-22
26-16
15-20
15-13
18-20
21-19
13-19
10-20
26-21
18-17
24-27
25-18
26-18
23-22
14-19
20-18
5-17
21-22
34-11
14-18
21-23
21-25
29-20
10-22
158.9Avg total
81.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.077.6158.6+3.459%
Season at home (16)80.874.8155.6+6.069%
Season away (18)81.180.1161.2+1.150%
Last 10 (10)81.977.0158.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)78.679.2157.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.575.6149.2-2.136%
vs Weaker (19)84.775.2159.8+9.579%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H16/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A07/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A08/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H13/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A19/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
96-104 OT
96
104
-8
A21/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A24/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H28/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H08/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
H11/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
29-23
32-19
19-17
21-22
20-22
19-25
24-20
16-19
33-15
27-28
19-21
21-20
17-21
27-14
24-28
27-32
23-25
25-20
16-26
27-34
20-13
20-23
20-17
17-31
16-17
25-22
20-19
22-31
31-26
20-27
29-23
20-23
22-24
19-20
25-31
19-15
25-35
27-15
19-25
186.7Avg total
93.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.584.1171.6+3.558%
Season at home (17)91.185.2176.4+5.971%
Season away (16)83.882.8166.6+0.944%
Last 10 (10)93.293.5186.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)94.0100.4194.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.086.0169.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.984.7170.6+1.256%
vs Weaker (11)89.183.5172.6+5.564%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
Boca JuniorsIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H20/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A04/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H11/04
Liga A
80.9Avg total
42.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.878.5+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.037.277.2+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)43.636.379.9+7.379%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.580.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.036.874.8+1.245%-
vs Weaker (19)43.836.880.6+7.079%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H16/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A07/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A08/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A19/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A21/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A24/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H28/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H08/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H11/04
Liga A
91.3Avg total
44.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.387.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.243.488.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)44.641.385.9+3.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.491.3-1.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.893.6-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.045.095.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)44.642.987.5+1.644%-
vs Weaker (11)45.040.985.9+4.155%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.9
51.0%
53.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.417.1
79.9%
71.5%17.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.5
54.7%
53.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.1
35.7%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
71.5%16.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
LWWWLWWWWW
Independiente de Oliva
WLLLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#8
+5.8
Net rating
-0.4
106.9
Offensive rating
119.8
101.2
Defensive rating
120.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
4.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
35.7%
53.6%
Assist %
48.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 119.8Defence101.2 · 120.2Shooting50.6% · 54.2%3-point %33.5% · 35.7%Ball care4.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HFerro81-90
06/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe74-68
04/04/26ASan Lorenzo83-77
28/03/26ALa Union93-83
26/03/26AObera TC62-78
20/03/26HAtenas80-71
18/03/26HPenarol86-70
13/03/26HInstituto de Cordoba75-68
09/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba90-74
22/02/26HPlatense95-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HAtenas108-104 OT
08/04/26HPlatense86-98
28/03/26HPenarol102-107
24/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba78-89
21/03/26AObera TC96-104 OT
19/03/26ALa Union91-103
13/03/26HRegatas89-83
08/03/26AArgentino95-83
07/03/26ARacing de Chivilcoy84-89
16/02/26HUnion De Santa Fe103-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game81.080.881.1
Allowed / game77.674.880.1
Point differential+3.4+6.0+1.1
Avg total158.6155.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW58%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%71%44%
Points / game87.591.183.8
Allowed / game84.185.282.8
Point differential+3.5+5.9+0.9
Avg total171.6176.4166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%24%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia35231266%81.576.6+4.9
2 Obera TC34221265%81.276.8+4.4
3 Quimsa33211264%82.475.7+6.7
4 Obras Sanitarias33201361%81.779.2+2.5
5 Regatas33201361%78.476.1+2.3
6 Boca Juniors34201459%81.077.6+3.4
7 Ferro34201459%83.982.0+1.9
8 Independiente de Oliva33191458%87.584.1+3.5
9 Instituto de Cordoba35201557%77.475.5+1.9
10 La Union34191556%80.980.0+0.9
11 Penarol33181555%81.281.1+0.1
12 San Martin34161847%75.476.1-0.7
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy35142140%79.581.5-2.0
15 Platense34132138%82.385.1-2.8
16 San Lorenzo34132138%79.282.6-3.4
17 Union De Santa Fe34122235%81.584.4-2.9
18 Atenas33112233%76.781.3-4.6
19 Argentino3362718%73.889.4-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors1926262192
Independiente de Oliva2028241486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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