Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 82-76

25-21 21-19 10-15 26-21

Position#9

Record11-19

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game80.8

Gimnasia 🏆

Penarol

Position#2

Record22-8

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game79.2

Liga ARound 17

Other2011-12

Meetings · Gimnasia v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

73-89

-16

A15/12

Liga A

Quimsa

74-108

108

-34

A17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

90-75

+15

A20/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

63-78

-15

A22/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

81-84

-3

H07/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

78-79

-1

A08/01

Liga A

La Union

#10

87-86

H14/01

Liga A

Regatas

78-74

H15/01

Liga A

Penarol

80-89

-9

A19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

77-88

-11

A21/01

Liga A

21-19

22-22

15-24

14-33

29-26

12-26

19-23

21-19

26-25

23-21

20-10

18-24

8-27

20-17

17-10

23-14

16-15

21-29

21-26

14-23

22-23

18-19

24-14

26-14

24-14

14-28

23-30

18-17

17-19

19-13

24-25

23-27

17-19

20-24

20-19

19-19

21-26

24-18

13-25

163.1Avg total

78.1Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	78.5	80.8	159.3	-2.3	37%
Season at home (14)	83.0	78.5	161.5	+4.5	57%
Season away (16)	74.6	82.9	157.4	-8.3	19%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	85.0	163.1	-6.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	83.2	163.2	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	83.3	85.5	168.8	-2.2	33%
vs Similar (13)	76.8	85.5	162.2	-8.7	31%
vs Weaker (11)	77.9	72.8	150.7	+5.1	45%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

73-96

-23

A14/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

80-76

A17/12

Liga A

San Martin

#15

95-81

+14

H20/12

Liga A

Sionista

95-79

+16

H22/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

84-80

H07/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

93-77

+16

A09/01

Liga A

Lanus

81-93

-12

A14/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

91-79

+12

A16/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

89-80

H19/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

81-69

+12

H21/01

Liga A

16-22

14-31

23-22

20-21

21-26

18-12

23-25

18-13

21-19

27-21

26-18

21-23

23-17

34-18

20-27

18-17

19-15

26-21

13-14

26-30

24-30

22-17

29-16

18-14

23-15

21-22

19-21

18-35

19-20

23-15

20-18

29-26

27-23

19-17

24-20

19-20

24-16

24-19

19-11

14-23

167.2Avg total

86.2Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	84.6	79.2	163.8	+5.4	73%
Season at home (16)	88.2	77.4	165.6	+10.8	88%
Season away (14)	80.5	81.4	161.9	-0.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	81.0	167.2	+5.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	79.6	166.6	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	81.6	82.6	164.2	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	85.7	78.0	163.7	+7.7	82%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GimnasiaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.9	40.3	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	23.0	41.1	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	17.7	41.5	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.8	38.6	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.9	16.3	34.1	+1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	19.4	21.7	41.1	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.1	59%	-

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

43-41

A15/12

Liga A

Quimsa

43-59

-16

A17/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

47-44

A20/12

Liga A

Atenas

#11

26-51

-25

A22/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

39-29

+10

H07/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

36-46

-10

A08/01

Liga A

La Union

#10

50-28

+22

H14/01

Liga A

Regatas

35-36

-1

H15/01

Liga A

Penarol

40-46

-6

A19/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

40-45

-5

A21/01

Liga A

82.4Avg total

39.9Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.8	40.9	80.7	-1.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	36.5	78.2	+5.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	45.3	83.1	-7.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.5	82.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.2	80.4	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.6	45.0	86.6	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.3	43.3	82.6	-4.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.5	35.7	75.2	+3.8	60%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

30-53

-23

A14/12

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

39-38

A17/12

Liga A

San Martin

#15

48-40

H20/12

Liga A

Sionista

57-35

+22

H22/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

45-36

H07/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

46-47

-1

A09/01

Liga A

Lanus

44-37

A14/01

Liga A

Quilmes

#16

42-35

A16/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

46-40

H19/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#12

48-35

+13

H21/01

Liga A

84.1Avg total

44.5Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.4	38.4	79.8	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	37.7	82.7	+7.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	39.2	76.8	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	39.6	84.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	37.3	38.0	75.3	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.7	38.5	81.3	+4.2	59%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.1	38.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.6	21.5	41.2	-1.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	16.3	35.2	+2.6	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.9	19.6	42.6	+3.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	19.9	43.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	25.4	21.1	46.6	+4.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.1	19.1	41.3	+3.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-2.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	20.6	38.5	-2.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.9	43.7	-2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	19.7	24.9	44.6	-5.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.3	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.1	40.7	79.8	-1.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	42.0	83.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	39.4	76.4	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	42.5	80.7	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.0	82.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	43.6	44.4	88.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.5	42.2	79.6	-4.7	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.0	40.8	83.8	+2.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	42.1	85.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	41.4	83.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.8	82.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	45.1	46.0	91.1	-0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.4	39.1	81.5	+3.3	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gimnasia wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
19/01/12	Penarol v Gimnasia	89-80
11/10/11	Penarol v Gimnasia	103-74
01/10/11	Gimnasia v Penarol	108-82
19/03/11	Gimnasia v Penarol	66-70
22/01/11	Penarol v Gimnasia	94-82
22/11/10	Gimnasia v Penarol	68-88
25/10/10	Penarol v Gimnasia	78-62

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/12	A	Weber Bahia	77-88
19/01/12	A	Penarol	80-89
15/01/12	H	Regatas	78-74
14/01/12	H	La Union	87-86
08/01/12	A	Boca Juniors	78-79
07/01/12	H	Boca Juniors	81-84
22/12/11	A	Atenas	63-78
20/12/11	A	Olimpico	90-75
17/12/11	A	Quimsa	74-108
15/12/11	A	Libertad	73-89

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/12	H	Boca Juniors	81-69
19/01/12	H	Gimnasia	89-80
16/01/12	A	Quilmes	91-79
14/01/12	A	Lanus	81-93
09/01/12	A	Weber Bahia	93-77
07/01/12	H	Weber Bahia	84-80
22/12/11	H	Sionista	95-79
20/12/11	H	San Martin	95-81
17/12/11	A	de Julio de Morteros	80-76
14/12/11	A	Obras Sanitarias	73-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	37%
Home	LWLWW	57%
Away	WLLLL	19%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	37%	57%	19%
Points / game	78.5	83.0	74.6
Allowed / game	80.8	78.5	82.9
Point differential	-2.3	+4.5	-8.3
Avg total	159.3	161.5	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	57% (7)	0% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	73%	88%	57%
Points / game	84.6	88.2	80.5
Allowed / game	79.2	77.4	81.4
Point differential	+5.4	+10.8	-0.9
Avg total	163.8	165.6	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	50%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	75% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Obras Sanitarias	30	25	5	83%	88.0	76.6	+11.4
2	Penarol	30	22	8	73%	84.6	79.2	+5.4
3	Libertad	30	20	10	67%	79.6	73.7	+5.9
4	Regatas	31	20	11	65%	81.3	78.4	+2.9
5	Sionista	30	18	12	60%	82.6	81.1	+1.5
6	Weber Bahia	30	17	13	57%	79.9	77.0	+2.9
7	Quimsa	30	16	14	53%	78.7	75.6	+3.0
8	Lanus	30	16	14	53%	75.7	73.1	+2.6
9	Atenas	31	16	15	52%	79.1	78.0	+1.1
10	Boca Juniors	31	15	16	48%	76.2	80.5	-4.3
11	La Union	30	13	17	43%	78.7	80.0	-1.3
12	Gimnasia	30	11	19	37%	78.5	80.8	-2.3
13	de Julio de Morteros	31	10	21	32%	71.4	77.9	-6.5
14	San Martin	30	9	21	30%	75.5	82.0	-6.5
15	Olimpico	29	8	21	28%	76.9	81.0	-4.1
16	Quilmes	31	6	25	19%	72.8	84.0	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gimnasia	25	21	10	26	82
Penarol	21	19	15	21	76

← all games of the day

Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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