Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 73-77

17-20 24-16 18-22 14-19

Position#4

Record11-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game72.9

Allowed / game71.0

Gimnasia

Penarol 🏆

Position#2

Record9-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game73.6

Liga ARound 1

Other2013-14

Meetings · Gimnasia v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

88-81

H26/10

Liga A

Argentino

74-71

A02/11

Liga A

Penarol

63-62

A04/11

Liga A

Argentino

78-70

H07/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

73-63

+10

H09/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

56-51

A10/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

70-65

A15/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

68-93

-25

A16/11

Liga A

Quilmes

79-67

+12

H23/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

71-65

H25/11

Liga A

19-23

24-16

21-16

24-26

13-20

27-12

14-12

20-27

13-17

19-17

18-11

22-19

11-12

24-18

21-21

23-15

16-13

17-10

17-25

13-17

9-15

21-13

13-6

16-22

21-12

20-17

13-14

15-22

15-21

22-24

16-26

22-8

13-18

28-22

16-19

16-18

15-24

20-14

20-9

140.8Avg total

72.0Scored

68.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	72.9	71.0	143.9	+1.9	79%
Season at home (7)	76.7	70.4	147.1	+6.3	86%
Season away (7)	69.1	71.6	140.7	-2.4	71%
Last 10 (10)	72.0	68.8	140.8	+3.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	68.2	137.0	+0.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	77.6	80.8	158.4	-3.1	50%
vs Similar (13)	73.9	75.0	148.9	-1.1	54%
vs Weaker (9)	81.2	71.8	153.0	+9.4	89%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

62-63

-1

H04/11

Liga A

Argentino

75-84

-9

A09/11

Liga A

Argentino

74-50

+24

H10/11

Liga A

Brasilia

61-88

-27

A12/11

South American League

Aguada

72-81

-9

H13/11

South American League

Argentino

74-64

+10

H14/11

South American League

Weber Bahia

#14

77-66

+11

A18/11

Liga A

Quilmes

82-79

A20/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

91-81

+10

H23/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

74-60

+14

H25/11

Liga A

17-13

17-19

11-18

20-17

27-30

17-20

11-17

11-13

22-8

19-21

13-24

18-21

13-24

17-19

10-21

31-15

19-25

12-20

24-20

14-7

17-21

19-16

20-16

15-14

28-15

14-21

22-27

24-14

15-20

21-18

27-24

19-16

17-17

28-24

24-19

20-9

13-21

17-11

145.8Avg total

74.2Scored

71.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	78.2	73.6	151.8	+4.6	64%
Season at home (7)	80.9	68.4	149.3	+12.4	86%
Season away (7)	75.6	78.7	154.3	-3.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	71.6	145.8	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	70.0	149.6	+9.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	88.0	149.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	76.4	75.8	152.1	+0.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	79.1	72.6	151.7	+6.5	73%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GimnasiaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	17.6	38.9	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.4	33.8	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.4	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	18.4	36.8	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-2.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	16.0	32.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.0	32.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.8	19.9	37.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	17.3	35.8	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	16.4	18.7	35.1	-2.2	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.6	36.0	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	14.1	34.8	+6.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	14.7	35.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	12.0	30.4	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.9	16.7	36.7	+3.2	60%	-

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

43-39

H26/10

Liga A

Argentino

40-32

A02/11

Liga A

Penarol

26-34

-8

A04/11

Liga A

Argentino

33-31

H07/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

39-28

+11

H09/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

22-32

-10

A10/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

37-34

A15/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

30-43

-13

A16/11

Liga A

Quilmes

35-26

H23/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

31-42

-11

H25/11

Liga A

67.7Avg total

33.6Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	37.5	74.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	35.9	75.6	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.6	38.9	72.6	-5.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	34.1	67.7	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	35.4	66.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	34.6	41.1	75.8	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.0	35.7	72.7	+1.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	37.3	36.9	74.2	+0.4	56%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

34-26

H04/11

Liga A

Argentino

47-47

A09/11

Liga A

Argentino

33-21

+12

H10/11

Liga A

Brasilia

31-45

-14

A12/11

South American League

Aguada

41-36

H13/11

South American League

Argentino

38-27

+11

H14/11

South American League

Weber Bahia

#14

35-30

A18/11

Liga A

Quilmes

46-41

A20/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

46-40

H23/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

44-28

+16

H25/11

Liga A

73.6Avg total

39.5Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	36.1	73.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.7	32.3	72.0	+7.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	34.1	73.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	33.2	75.0	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	45.0	76.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.2	35.1	72.3	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	38.5	36.4	74.9	+2.1	53%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.4	38.1	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.3	36.9	+4.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	16.0	39.9	+7.9	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	16.6	36.6	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.7	16.7	37.4	+3.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	14.8	30.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.6	21.1	43.8	+1.5	62%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	22.2	41.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.5	35.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.7	38.9	80.6	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.5	39.8	84.3	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	34.7	73.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	32.8	70.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	43.0	39.6	82.6	+3.4	62%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.2	41.5	80.7	-2.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.9	34.9	78.8	+9.0	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.9	76.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	36.6	74.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	38.9	78.8	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	37.5	72.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.8	74.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.6	39.3	76.9	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.4	47%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gimnasia wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/13	Penarol v Gimnasia	62-63
26/10/13	Gimnasia v Penarol	88-81
11/02/13	Penarol v Gimnasia	72-58
26/11/12	Gimnasia v Penarol	72-82
10/10/12	Penarol v Gimnasia	76-65
22/09/12	Gimnasia v Penarol	83-89
28/01/12	Gimnasia v Penarol	82-76
19/01/12	Penarol v Gimnasia	89-80
11/10/11	Penarol v Gimnasia	103-74
01/10/11	Gimnasia v Penarol	108-82

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/13	H	Weber Bahia	71-65
23/11/13	H	Quilmes	79-67
16/11/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	68-93
15/11/13	A	Boca Juniors	70-65
10/11/13	A	Lanus	56-51
09/11/13	H	Lanus	73-63
07/11/13	H	Argentino	78-70
04/11/13	A	Penarol	63-62
02/11/13	A	Argentino	74-71
26/10/13	H	Penarol	88-81

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	74-60
23/11/13	H	Boca Juniors	91-81
20/11/13	A	Quilmes	82-79
18/11/13	A	Weber Bahia	77-66
14/11/13	H	Argentino	74-64
13/11/13	H	Aguada	72-81
12/11/13	A	Brasilia	61-88
10/11/13	H	Argentino	74-50
09/11/13	A	Argentino	75-84
04/11/13	H	Gimnasia	62-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WWWWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	86%	71%
Points / game	72.9	76.7	69.1
Allowed / game	71.0	70.4	71.6
Point differential	+1.9	+6.3	-2.4
Avg total	143.9	147.1	140.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	29%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	50% (2)	100% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	64%
Home	WLWWW	86%
Away	LLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	86%	43%
Points / game	78.2	80.9	75.6
Allowed / game	73.6	68.4	78.7
Point differential	+4.6	+12.4	-3.1
Avg total	151.8	149.3	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	57%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	14	12	2	86%	82.6	72.6	+10.1
2	Gimnasia	14	11	3	79%	72.9	71.0	+1.9
3	Penarol	14	9	5	64%	78.2	73.6	+4.6
4	Atenas	14	9	5	64%	76.4	77.2	-0.8
5	Quilmes	15	9	6	60%	75.5	74.1	+1.4
6	Libertad	14	8	6	57%	76.0	72.7	+3.3
7	Obras Sanitarias	14	8	6	57%	72.1	70.9	+1.3
8	Boca Juniors	14	7	7	50%	75.6	71.3	+4.3
9	Quimsa	15	7	8	47%	78.5	80.3	-1.8
10	Argentino	15	7	8	47%	69.9	73.5	-3.7
11	Sionista	15	6	9	40%	72.0	72.3	-0.3
12	Estudiantes	15	6	9	40%	73.3	74.1	-0.9
13	La Union	14	5	9	36%	74.3	80.6	-6.3
14	Weber Bahia	15	5	10	33%	73.0	77.3	-4.3
15	Olimpico	15	4	11	27%	73.3	77.6	-4.3
16	Lanus	15	3	12	20%	68.8	72.1	-3.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gimnasia	17	24	18	14	73
Penarol	20	16	22	19	77

← all games of the day

Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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