Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jun 2015

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 73-79

17-22 21-24 14-14 21-19

Position#4

Record35-22

FormWLLWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game74.2

Gimnasia

Penarol 🏆

Position#7

Record33-24

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game77.8

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals

Other2014-15

Meetings · Gimnasia v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

82-81

H25/04

Liga A

Lanus

#17

81-74

A28/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

88-70

+18

A30/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

91-93 OT

-2

A02/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-63

+16

H10/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

70-62

H22/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

62-64

-2

H24/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

68-77

-9

A26/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

92-73

+19

A28/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

98-82

+16

H01/06

Liga A

10-17

32-17

16-23

24-24

16-26

26-17

20-20

19-11

24-10

22-21

18-18

24-21

22-12

22-25

13-32

28-16

13-6

24-25

21-10

21-22

18-10

18-14

16-20

18-18

18-26

14-16

10-7

20-15

22-13

13-22

17-17

16-25

17-13

20-18

18-23

37-19

24-25

27-13

23-22

24-22

155.0Avg total

81.1Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (57)	79.2	74.2	153.5	+5.0	61%
Season at home (29)	84.0	73.0	157.0	+10.9	86%
Season away (28)	74.4	75.5	149.9	-1.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	73.9	155.0	+7.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	71.6	149.6	+6.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	75.0	80.9	155.9	-5.9	29%
vs Weaker (23)	82.0	72.2	154.3	+9.8	78%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

87-100

100

-13

A01/05

Liga A

Sionista

#16

87-83

H04/05

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

73-80

-7

A06/05

Liga A

Argentino

84-83

A08/05

Liga A

Quilmes

82-73

A09/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

89-72

+17

H21/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-72

H23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

79-88

-9

A27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

71-84

-13

A29/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

69-67

H01/06

Liga A

22-23

19-29

25-27

21-21

24-19

20-19

23-13

20-32

17-19

20-25

24-17

12-19

24-17

22-19

20-24

18-23

30-20

14-15

20-17

18-21

13-11

23-14

19-30

34-17

16-17

13-20

26-15

24-20

13-9

26-29

15-21

25-29

27-20

13-21

17-25

14-18

15-27

20-15

12-11

22-14

160.2Avg total

80.0Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (57)	80.7	77.8	158.5	+2.9	58%
Season at home (29)	82.0	73.8	155.8	+8.1	72%
Season away (28)	79.3	81.9	161.2	-2.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	80.2	160.2	-0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	76.6	154.0	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.5	90.5	166.0	-15.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.6	78.4	156.0	-0.8	47%
vs Weaker (11)	86.7	82.5	169.2	+4.3	64%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GimnasiaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	15.8	34.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.6	18.6	36.1	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.5	17.3	38.8	+4.1	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.4	37.9	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.8	33.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	23.2	39.0	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	17.7	37.9	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.7	19.6	42.4	+3.1	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.6	36.3	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.1	38.8	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.8	18.1	33.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.2	17.0	36.3	+2.2	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.2	36.4	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	20.2	38.4	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	20.2	36.0	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.6	17.8	37.5	+1.8	55%	-

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

42-34

H25/04

Liga A

Lanus

#17

42-43

-1

A28/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

46-31

+15

A30/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-37

A02/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

37-31

H10/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

36-24

+12

H22/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

32-42

-10

H24/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

35-35

A26/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

37-31

A28/05

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

51-38

+13

H01/06

Liga A

74.8Avg total

40.2Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.2	74.5	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	34.9	77.1	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	35.5	71.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	34.6	74.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	34.0	72.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.9	37.9	72.7	-3.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	40.7	34.4	75.1	+6.3	78%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

41-52

-11

A01/05

Liga A

Sionista

#16

44-38

H04/05

Liga A

Ciclista

#18

37-44

-7

A06/05

Liga A

Argentino

46-36

+10

A08/05

Liga A

Quilmes

44-35

A09/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

36-25

+11

H21/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

29-37

-8

H23/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

39-38

A27/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

40-41

-1

A29/05

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

35-42

-7

H01/06

Liga A

77.9Avg total

39.1Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.5	77.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	36.6	74.2	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	40.1	79.6	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	36.6	72.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.5	43.5	75.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.8	37.9	75.7	-0.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.4	37.5	79.8	+4.9	73%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.1	22.4	40.6	-4.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.6	48%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.4	39.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	20.7	39.7	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	21.5	42.8	-0.1	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.0	41.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	18.5	40.5	+3.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.1	19.4	40.6	+1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+2.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.0	42.3	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	21.2	40.7	-1.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.6	43.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	26.0	22.2	48.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	38.8	79.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	38.9	80.2	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	38.6	79.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.5	78.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.3	41.9	81.1	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	41.3	37.8	79.2	+3.5	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.5	83.6	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	41.0	83.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	43.8	83.2	-4.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.0	81.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.0	47.0	91.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.8	40.5	80.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.7	43.5	85.3	-1.8	36%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gimnasia wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
28/03/15	Penarol v Gimnasia	81-61
09/01/15	Gimnasia v Penarol	80-73
01/11/14	Penarol v Gimnasia	68-74
16/10/14	Gimnasia v Penarol	77-86
15/02/14	Penarol v Gimnasia	107-95
30/11/13	Gimnasia v Penarol	73-77
04/11/13	Penarol v Gimnasia	62-63
26/10/13	Gimnasia v Penarol	88-81
11/02/13	Penarol v Gimnasia	72-58
26/11/12	Gimnasia v Penarol	72-82

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/15	H	Boca Juniors	98-82
28/05/15	A	Boca Juniors	92-73
26/05/15	A	Boca Juniors	68-77
24/05/15	H	Boca Juniors	62-64
22/05/15	H	Boca Juniors	70-62
10/05/15	H	Weber Bahia	79-63
02/05/15	A	Obras Sanitarias	91-93 OT
30/04/15	A	Boca Juniors	88-70
28/04/15	A	Lanus	81-74
25/04/15	H	Obras Sanitarias	82-81

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/15	H	Weber Bahia	69-67
29/05/15	A	Weber Bahia	71-84
27/05/15	A	Weber Bahia	79-88
23/05/15	H	Weber Bahia	79-72
21/05/15	H	Weber Bahia	89-72
09/05/15	A	Quilmes	82-73
08/05/15	A	Argentino	84-83
06/05/15	A	Ciclista	73-80
04/05/15	H	Sionista	87-83
01/05/15	A	San Martin	87-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	61%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	WWLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	57	29	28
Win %	61%	86%	36%
Points / game	79.2	84.0	74.4
Allowed / game	74.2	73.0	75.5
Point differential	+5.0	+10.9	-1.1
Avg total	153.5	157.0	149.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	55%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (13)	80% (5)	12% (8)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Penarol

Liga A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	58%
Home	LWWWW	72%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	57	29	28
Win %	58%	72%	43%
Points / game	80.7	82.0	79.3
Allowed / game	77.8	73.8	81.9
Point differential	+2.9	+8.1	-2.6
Avg total	158.5	155.8	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	48%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (14)	40% (5)	78% (9)
Overtime %	7%	3%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	56	47	9	84%	84.3	72.4	+11.9
2	Regatas	56	38	18	68%	79.9	74.3	+5.7
3	Obras Sanitarias	56	38	18	68%	80.8	75.2	+5.6
4	Gimnasia	57	35	22	61%	79.2	74.2	+5.0
5	San Martin	57	35	22	61%	80.1	79.9	+0.2
6	Atenas	57	34	23	60%	79.8	77.7	+2.1
7	Penarol	57	33	24	58%	80.7	77.8	+2.9
8	Quilmes	58	28	30	48%	79.2	79.9	-0.7
9	Argentino	57	27	30	47%	80.2	81.6	-1.4
10	Weber Bahia	57	26	31	46%	77.2	78.4	-1.2
11	La Union	57	25	32	44%	81.9	84.5	-2.6
12	Estudiantes	56	24	32	43%	75.2	76.2	-1.0
13	Olimpico	56	24	32	43%	80.4	82.3	-1.9
14	Boca Juniors	57	23	34	40%	76.8	79.1	-2.4
15	Libertad	55	20	35	36%	80.9	83.7	-2.9
16	Sionista	58	21	37	36%	74.1	78.3	-4.2
17	Lanus	55	18	37	33%	80.5	86.2	-5.7
18	Ciclista	58	14	44	24%	74.2	83.3	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gimnasia	17	21	14	21	73
Penarol	22	24	14	19	79

← all games of the day

Gimnasia vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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