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Gimnasia vs Penarol Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 15 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Socios Fundadores
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gimnasia v Penarol
15 Mar 2027
GIMN v PENA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
GIMN93
PENA67
01 Apr 2025
GIMN88
PENA86
27 Apr 2024
GIMN79
PENA86
14 Apr 2023
GIMN96
PENA90
15 Jan 2022
GIMN87
PENA100
11 Oct 2021
GIMN83
PENA89
11 Jan 2021
GIMN79
PENA61
20 Dec 2019
GIMN85
PENA76
22 Oct 2019
GIMN78
PENA64
03 May 2019
GIMN74
PENA64
23 Sep 2018
GIMN75
PENA65
02 May 2018
GIMN75
PENA52
22 Sep 2017
GIMN82
PENA83
21 Apr 2017
GIMN73
PENA84
13 Nov 2016
GIMN82
PENA62
07 Mar 2016
GIMN101
PENA84
13 Oct 2015
GIMN97
PENA93
06 Jun 2015
GIMN77
PENA60
04 Jun 2015
GIMN73
PENA79
08 Jan 2015
GIMN80
PENA73
15 Oct 2014
GIMN77
PENA86
29 Nov 2013
GIMN73
PENA77
25 Oct 2013
GIMN88
PENA81
25 Nov 2012
GIMN72
PENA82
21 Sep 2012
GIMN83
PENA89
27 Jan 2012
GIMN82
PENA76
30 Sep 2011
GIMN108
PENA82
18 Mar 2011
GIMN66
PENA70
21 Nov 2010
GIMN68
PENA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
La Union
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 71
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
73-89
73
89
-16
58avg 71
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 71
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
78avg 71
A12/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 71
H29/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
no box
A01/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
30-19
17-28
24-23
22-20
18-18
14-29
19-22
20-18
17-19
16-16
25-19
19-21
18-24
29-23
21-14
23-14
22-19
11-15
17-13
16-17
10-12
14-15
18-13
21-15
17-19
16-19
25-23
19-21
15-22
14-6
14-13
16-24
17-18
24-18
23-20
17-17
18-19
12-12
21-10
152.9Avg total
77.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.274.0151.2+3.275%
Season at home (4)81.275.0156.2+6.275%
Season away (8)75.173.5148.6+1.675%
Last 10 (10)77.775.2152.9+2.580%
Last 5 (5)74.872.4147.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.069.0136.0-2.050%
vs Similar (20)75.872.2147.9+3.565%
vs Weaker (8)81.577.1158.6+4.475%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 77
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 77
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 77
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 77
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 77
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 77
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.3+3.3
GimnasiaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A01/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H09/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/11
Liga A
74.8Avg total
37.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.976.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.178.0+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.837.774.5-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.870.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (20)39.436.575.8+2.960%-
vs Weaker (8)41.238.179.4+3.150%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.4
71.2%
72.7%11.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gimnasia
WLWWWWWWLW
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+1.0
Net rating
+4.1
106.8
Offensive rating
113.4
105.9
Defensive rating
109.3
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.9%
3-point %
32.3%
49.1%
Assist %
48.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 113.4Defence105.9 · 109.3Shooting49.2% · 52.9%3-point %30.9% · 32.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Gimnasia   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gimnasia wins
6
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
30/09/26Penarol v Gimnasia62-57
22/01/26Penarol v Gimnasia77-73
06/12/25Gimnasia v Penarol93-67
02/04/25Gimnasia v Penarol88-86
12/01/25Penarol v Gimnasia100-86
27/04/24Gimnasia v Penarol79-86
17/12/23Penarol v Gimnasia87-85
15/04/23Gimnasia v Penarol96-90
05/04/23Penarol v Gimnasia76-91
23/03/22Penarol v Gimnasia72-65
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPlatense68-58
09/11/26HObera TC92-95 OT
06/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva77-76 OT
04/11/26AAtenas79-76
01/11/26AInstituto de Cordoba58-57
29/10/26HFerro73-61
12/10/26AArgentino87-82
11/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy78-72
09/10/26ASan Lorenzo73-89
04/10/26HLa Union92-86
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.281.275.1
Allowed / game74.075.073.5
Point differential+3.2+6.2+1.6
Avg total151.2156.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %17%25%12%
Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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