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Ginasio vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 78-84
26-25 8-22 15-19 29-18
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game69.7
PortugalProligaRound 4· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#8
L
71-104
71
104
-33
no box
A14/05
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
60-93
60
93
-33
no box
H16/05
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
48-94
48
94
-46
no box
H22/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#16
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
A29/05
Proliga
Sanjoanense
#10
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H03/06
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
41-87
41
87
-46
no box
A06/06
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A10/06
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-70
59
70
-11
46avg 58
A05/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
64avg 58
H12/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 58
A19/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-35
24-29
19-16
9-24
21-15
16-18
16-28
7-32
15-26
15-27
9-27
9-14
14-23
17-19
16-22
16-23
19-24
20-9
12-23
9-16
6-27
10-19
6-26
19-15
17-26
24-16
13-18
16-7
8-22
13-13
12-22
26-13
15-18
18-14
26-30
19-10
18-22
27-28
17-18
17-18
146.1Avg total
62.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.076.0148.0-4.033%
Season at home (1)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)69.078.0147.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)62.983.2146.1-20.320%
Last 5 (5)65.476.4141.8-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)62.385.8148.1-23.58%
vs Similar (4)74.077.2151.2-3.250%
vs Weaker (1)59.070.0129.0-11.00%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 69
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 69
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 69
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
38avg 69
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 69
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 69
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 69
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 69
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 69
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 69
A19/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
22-21
15-23
22-25
16-13
11-15
22-20
8-24
14-13
25-36
15-10
26-23
12-20
10-15
16-24
16-22
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
150.1Avg total
73.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.769.7150.3+11.067%
Season at home (1)94.075.0169.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)74.067.0141.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)73.476.7150.1-3.330%
Last 5 (5)77.669.8147.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (16)76.174.6150.6+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.372.3154.7+10.067%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.6-8.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.6-8.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
GinasioBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#8
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A14/05
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/05
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H22/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/05
Proliga
Sanjoanense
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H03/06
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
16-46
16
46
-30
A06/06
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/06
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A05/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
Proliga
76.6Avg total
33.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)35.541.176.6-5.629%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.839.576.3-2.636%-
Last 30 away (13)34.442.576.9-8.223%-
Last 10 (10)33.643.076.6-9.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.241.072.2-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.442.177.4-6.726%-
vs Similar (4)39.838.278.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker (1)21.035.056.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
72.0Avg total
35.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.238.175.3-0.938%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.375.4-1.340%-
Last 30 away (14)37.337.975.1-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.772.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.472.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (16)37.437.374.7+0.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.436.475.9+3.067%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.7
44.2%
49.9%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.7
36.6%
30.1%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.712.0
58.1%
68.4%12.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.0
49.6%
49.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.0
28.6%
30.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.711.2
59.9%
68.4%11.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
LWLWLLLLLL
Braga
LWWLWLLLLL
#14
League position
#1
-5.5
Net rating
-4.3
98.2
Offensive rating
98.6
103.7
Defensive rating
102.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
46.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
28.6%
39.5%
Assist %
60.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 98.6Defence103.7 · 102.9Shooting48.4% · 46.8%3-point %36.6% · 28.6%Ball care18.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 32.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Ginasio   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ginasio wins
0
Braga wins
No previous meetings.
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AMaia79-86
12/10/24HSampaense78-72
05/10/24AGalitos Aveiro59-70
10/06/21AGalomar70-67
06/06/21APovoa/Monteadriano41-87
03/06/21HSanjoanense60-72
29/05/21AVasco Da Gama63-87
22/05/21HPovoa/Monteadriano48-94
16/05/21HGalomar60-93
14/05/21ASangalhos71-104
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
24/03/24ACA Queluz54-81
17/03/24HCAB Madeira80-82
09/03/24HSanto Andre57-72
02/03/24AGalitos Barreiro81-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.078.069.0
Allowed / game76.072.078.0
Point differential-4.0+6.0-9.0
Avg total148.0150.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.794.074.0
Allowed / game69.775.067.0
Point differential+11.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total150.3169.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illiabum330100%73.760.7+13.0
2 Braga32167%80.769.7+11.0
3 CAB Madeira32167%64.755.0+9.7
4 Portimonense32167%75.067.7+7.3
5 Santo Andre32167%59.354.3+5.0
6 Vasco Da Gama32167%76.772.7+4.0
7 Barreirense32167%67.068.0-1.0
8 Imortal B32167%68.370.3-2.0
9 Benfica Lisboa B31233%70.365.0+5.3
10 Galitos Aveiro31233%64.366.0-1.7
11 Ginasio31233%72.076.0-4.0
12 Sampaense31233%72.379.0-6.7
13 Sangalhos31233%63.070.3-7.3
14 Maia31233%75.383.7-8.3
15 Lusitania31233%59.368.7-9.3
16 CB Queluz3030%59.774.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio268152978
Braga2522191884
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