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Braga vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-76
25-16 11-17 18-20 18-23
Position#8
Record13-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#9
Record12-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game74.3
PortugalProligaRound 14· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2023-24
Meetings · Braga v Illiabum
05 Apr 2025
BRAG76
ILLI82
13 Dec 2024
BRAG67
ILLI71
14 Apr 2024
BRAG72
ILLI76
10 Feb 2024
BRAG89
ILLI64
04 Feb 2024
BRAG60
ILLI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H04/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H10/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 69
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 69
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 69
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 69
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 69
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
38avg 69
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 69
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 69
A13/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-9
6-20
20-13
19-19
24-19
29-15
19-11
17-19
18-25
22-24
17-16
22-22
30-19
17-24
27-15
18-17
22-28
22-21
15-23
22-25
16-13
11-15
22-20
8-24
14-13
25-36
15-10
26-23
12-20
10-15
16-24
16-22
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
150.9Avg total
74.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.874.6152.4+3.357%
Season at home (12)80.273.5153.7+6.758%
Season away (11)75.375.7151.0-0.555%
Last 10 (10)74.076.9150.9-2.930%
Last 5 (5)67.877.0144.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.374.5150.8+1.953%
vs Weaker (6)83.273.7156.8+9.567%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
W
61-60
61
60
+1
no box
A04/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A10/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
69-66
69
66
+3
64avg 66
A17/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 66
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
72avg 66
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 66
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
69avg 66
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
63avg 66
A21/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 66
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
52avg 66
A13/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
20-6
13-20
19-19
19-24
15-29
11-19
19-17
14-7
20-20
22-19
13-20
21-14
21-30
19-17
23-19
20-17
19-19
18-16
20-30
17-23
18-15
23-21
16-26
15-21
29-18
8-22
21-22
10-22
18-14
18-17
21-14
24-14
18-27
21-28
23-21
11-18
19-22
17-22
18-17
152.3Avg total
73.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.874.3151.0+2.552%
Season at home (11)75.473.2148.5+2.245%
Season away (12)78.175.2153.3+2.858%
Last 10 (10)73.079.3152.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)75.083.2158.2-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.584.0159.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.477.1155.5+1.361%
vs Weaker (8)84.077.1161.1+6.950%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
BragaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H04/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H10/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
74.4Avg total
35.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)36.938.775.6-1.832%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.339.175.4-2.831%-
Last 30 away (12)37.638.375.9-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.574.4-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)30.836.267.0-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.537.675.1-0.120%-
vs Weaker (6)39.337.376.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A04/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A10/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/04
Proliga
73.2Avg total
35.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.776.4+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.740.180.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.935.672.6+1.362%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.573.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.874.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.538.875.2-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.936.874.7+1.156%-
vs Weaker (8)41.639.280.9+2.462%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.2
48.9%
50.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.2
30.9%
31.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.710.5
66.9%
69.3%10.5
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
50.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.5
29.4%
31.2%19.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
69.3%16.9
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WLLLLLWLWL
Illiabum
LLLLLLWWLW
#8
League position
#9
-2.2
Net rating
-8.2
100.1
Offensive rating
91.6
102.4
Defensive rating
99.8
47.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
24.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.9%
3-point %
29.4%
59.9%
Assist %
56.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 91.6Defence102.4 · 99.8Shooting47.8% · 48.3%3-point %30.9% · 29.4%Ball care17.1% · 24.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 23.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Braga   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Braga wins
2
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Braga v Illiabum89-64
04/02/24Braga v Illiabum60-61
03/12/23Illiabum v Braga74-63
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
24/03/24ACA Queluz54-81
17/03/24HCAB Madeira80-82
09/03/24HSanto Andre57-72
02/03/24AGalitos Barreiro81-97
25/02/24HCA Queluz92-75
18/02/24ACAB Madeira79-87
10/02/24HIlliabum89-64
04/02/24HIlliabum60-61
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24AGalitos Barreiro65-79
30/03/24HCA Queluz86-90
21/03/24ACAB Madeira77-79 OT
16/03/24HSanto Andre73-83
09/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-85
02/03/24ACA Queluz77-82
24/02/24HCAB Madeira84-80
17/02/24ASanto Andre69-66
10/02/24ABraga64-89
04/02/24ABraga61-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeWWLLL58%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%58%55%
Points / game77.880.275.3
Allowed / game74.673.575.7
Point differential+3.3+6.7-0.5
Avg total152.4153.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL52%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayLWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%45%58%
Points / game76.875.478.1
Allowed / game74.373.275.2
Point differential+2.5+2.2+2.8
Avg total151.0148.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz2218482%83.876.0+7.8
2 Galitos Barreiro2217577%83.276.2+7.0
3 Maia2215768%76.176.5-0.4
4 CAB Madeira2213959%82.076.8+5.2
5 Braga23131057%77.874.6+3.3
6 Santo Andre22121055%80.678.0+2.6
7 Vasco Da Gama22121055%85.082.5+2.5
8 Sangalhos22121055%74.773.3+1.4
9 Barreirense22121055%74.876.0-1.1
10 Illiabum23121152%76.874.3+2.5
11 Galitos Aveiro22101245%76.275.7+0.5
12 Imortal B2291341%75.576.6-1.0
13 Benfica Lisboa B2291341%72.076.3-4.2
14 Academica2251723%63.274.3-11.0
15 Ginasio Olhanense2241818%76.983.4-6.5
16 Sampaense2241818%73.682.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2511181872
Illiabum1617202376
← all games of the day
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