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Maia vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-79
22-18 28-27 18-17 18-17
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game86.0
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game71.0
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Ginasio
28 Mar 2026
MAIA87
GINA80
03 Jan 2026
MAIA96
GINA66
25 Apr 2025
MAIA88
GINA74
19 Oct 2024
MAIA86
GINA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#10
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 64
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 64
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
55avg 64
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 64
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
44-88
44
88
-44
29avg 64
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 64
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
84-101
84
101
-17
72avg 64
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
65-78
65
78
-13
54avg 64
H05/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
58avg 64
A12/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
20-16
14-18
26-19
18-19
16-14
22-20
24-20
21-16
19-16
12-28
16-20
23-23
15-17
18-25
15-18
17-24
17-16
28-19
22-20
11-21
10-17
14-23
9-27
24-31
18-18
17-15
20-21
20-30
20-25
19-23
25-23
16-19
13-24
17-19
19-16
21-28
13-20
24-19
17-27
158.2Avg total
73.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.086.0156.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)65.078.0143.0-13.00%
Season away (1)75.094.0169.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)73.984.3158.2-10.430%
Last 5 (5)69.489.2158.6-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.384.3156.6-12.031%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.276.5154.7+1.770%
vs Weaker (6)91.282.3173.5+8.883%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#3
L
65-100
65
100
-35
no box
H05/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#8
L
71-104
71
104
-33
no box
A14/05
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
60-93
60
93
-33
no box
H16/05
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
48-94
48
94
-46
no box
H22/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#16
L
63-87
63
87
-24
no box
A29/05
Proliga
Sanjoanense
#10
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H03/06
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
41-87
41
87
-46
no box
A06/06
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A10/06
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-70
59
70
-11
46avg 55
A05/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
64avg 55
H12/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-30
12-32
9-21
19-35
24-29
19-16
9-24
21-15
16-18
16-28
7-32
15-26
15-27
9-27
9-14
14-23
17-19
16-22
16-23
19-24
20-9
12-23
9-16
6-27
10-19
6-26
19-15
17-26
24-16
13-18
16-7
8-22
13-13
12-22
26-13
15-18
18-14
26-30
19-10
146.1Avg total
61.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.571.0139.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)59.070.0129.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)61.584.6146.1-23.120%
Last 5 (5)61.673.6135.2-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)62.185.2147.2-23.18%
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.374.3146.7-2.067%
vs Weaker (1)59.070.0129.0-11.00%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -10.3-10.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -10.3-10.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
MaiaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H20/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A27/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H05/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A12/10
Proliga
77.7Avg total
35.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.179.3-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.178.1-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.980.3-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.377.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.246.679.8-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.541.678.2-5.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.940.577.4-3.620%-
vs Weaker (6)44.741.886.5+2.883%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#8
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A14/05
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/05
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H22/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/05
Proliga
Sanjoanense
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H03/06
Proliga
Povoa/Monteadriano
#1
L
16-46
16
46
-30
A06/06
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/06
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A05/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/10
Proliga
76.2Avg total
33.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)34.940.675.5-5.729%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.339.275.6-2.933%-
Last 30 away (12)33.541.975.4-8.425%-
Last 10 (10)33.542.776.2-9.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.037.667.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.141.876.9-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.034.372.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker (1)21.035.056.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.1
47.3%
49.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.1
27.3%
30.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
68.4%13.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.515.0
39.0%
49.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
30.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
68.4%12.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LLLLLWLLWW
Ginasio
WLWLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#14
-14.5
Net rating
-3.4
93.7
Offensive rating
91.5
108.1
Defensive rating
94.9
44.7%
Effective FG%
44.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.3%
3-point %
34.7%
49.6%
Assist %
42.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 91.5Defence108.1 · 94.9Shooting44.7% · 44.0%3-point %27.3% · 34.7%Ball care20.0% · 21.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 32.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Maia   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maia wins
0
Ginasio wins
No previous meetings.
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ABraga75-94
05/10/24HIlliabum65-78
27/04/24ACA Queluz84-101
20/04/24HCA Queluz79-85
13/04/24ACAB Madeira44-88
29/03/24HSanto Andre84-79
23/03/24AGalitos Barreiro71-83
16/03/24HCA Queluz68-80
10/03/24HCAB Madeira80-73
02/03/24ASanto Andre89-82 OT
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HSampaense78-72
05/10/24AGalitos Aveiro59-70
10/06/21AGalomar70-67
06/06/21APovoa/Monteadriano41-87
03/06/21HSanjoanense60-72
29/05/21AVasco Da Gama63-87
22/05/21HPovoa/Monteadriano48-94
16/05/21HGalomar60-93
14/05/21ASangalhos71-104
05/01/21HIlliabum65-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.065.075.0
Allowed / game86.078.094.0
Point differential-16.0-13.0-19.0
Avg total156.0143.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game68.578.059.0
Allowed / game71.072.070.0
Point differential-2.5+6.0-11.0
Avg total139.5150.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illiabum220100%76.057.5+18.5
2 Braga220100%87.570.0+17.5
3 Imortal B220100%78.568.5+10.0
4 Portimonense32167%75.067.7+7.3
5 Santo Andre32167%59.354.3+5.0
6 Vasco Da Gama32167%76.772.7+4.0
7 Benfica Lisboa B21150%71.562.5+9.0
8 Galitos Aveiro21150%68.565.0+3.5
9 CAB Madeira21150%60.058.5+1.5
10 Barreirense21150%65.568.0-2.5
11 Ginasio21150%68.571.0-2.5
12 Sampaense31233%72.379.0-6.7
13 Lusitania31233%59.368.7-9.3
14 CB Queluz3030%59.774.7-15.0
15 Maia2020%70.086.0-16.0
16 Sangalhos2020%60.577.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2228181886
Ginasio1827171779
← all games of the day
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