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Illiabum vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-67
22-16 14-22 17-15 16-14
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game57.5
Illiabum 🏆
Portugal
vs
Braga
Portugal
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game70.0
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illiabum v Braga
15 Feb 2025
ILLI61
BRAG73
19 Oct 2024
ILLI69
BRAG67
03 Dec 2023
ILLI74
BRAG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 67
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
72avg 67
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 67
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
69avg 67
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
63avg 67
A21/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 67
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
52avg 67
A13/04
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
65avg 67
A14/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
75avg 67
A05/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
74-50
74
50
+24
75avg 67
H12/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-30
19-17
23-19
20-17
19-19
18-16
20-30
17-23
18-15
23-21
16-26
15-21
29-18
8-22
21-22
10-22
18-14
18-17
21-14
24-14
18-27
21-28
23-21
11-18
19-22
17-22
18-17
16-25
17-11
20-18
23-18
19-16
24-13
19-17
16-19
21-18
24-6
15-17
14-9
152.9Avg total
76.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.057.5133.5+18.5100%
Season at home (1)74.050.0124.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)78.065.0143.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.476.5152.9-0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.871.2147.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.584.0159.5-8.50%
vs Similar (18)77.576.1153.6+1.461%
vs Weaker (8)80.969.4150.2+11.562%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 70
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 70
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 70
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 70
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
38avg 70
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 70
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 70
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 70
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 70
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 70
H12/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
17-24
27-15
18-17
22-28
22-21
15-23
22-25
16-13
11-15
22-20
8-24
14-13
25-36
15-10
26-23
12-20
10-15
16-24
16-22
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
153.2Avg total
75.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.570.0157.5+17.5100%
Season at home (1)94.075.0169.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)81.065.0146.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.977.3153.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.073.2152.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (16)76.174.6150.6+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.272.8157.0+11.575%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
IlliabumBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H30/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/04
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A05/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H12/10
Proliga
74.4Avg total
38.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.274.6+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.538.679.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)36.434.170.6+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.374.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.072.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.538.875.2-2.250%-
vs Similar (18)37.336.774.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)41.534.075.5+7.575%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
73.6Avg total
36.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.138.275.3-1.036%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.375.4-1.340%-
Last 30 away (13)37.238.075.2-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.473.6-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.070.6+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (16)37.437.374.7+0.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.636.576.1+3.162%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.7
52.4%
49.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.2
28.4%
30.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws26.117.6
67.4%
68.4%17.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.7
50.1%
49.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.2
29.6%
30.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.811.7
62.2%
68.4%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WWWLLLLLLW
Braga
WWLWLLLLLW
#5
League position
#1
-0.3
Net rating
-1.5
95.1
Offensive rating
100.8
95.3
Defensive rating
102.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
24.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.4%
3-point %
29.6%
58.7%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 100.8Defence95.3 · 102.3Shooting48.8% · 47.8%3-point %28.4% · 29.6%Ball care24.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Illiabum   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illiabum wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Braga v Illiabum72-76
10/02/24Braga v Illiabum89-64
04/02/24Braga v Illiabum60-61
03/12/23Illiabum v Braga74-63
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HSangalhos74-50
05/10/24AMaia78-65
14/04/24ABraga76-72
13/04/24AGalitos Barreiro65-79
30/03/24HCA Queluz86-90
21/03/24ACAB Madeira77-79 OT
16/03/24HSanto Andre73-83
09/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-85
02/03/24ACA Queluz77-82
24/02/24HCAB Madeira84-80
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
24/03/24ACA Queluz54-81
17/03/24HCAB Madeira80-82
09/03/24HSanto Andre57-72
02/03/24AGalitos Barreiro81-97
25/02/24HCA Queluz92-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.074.078.0
Allowed / game57.550.065.0
Point differential+18.5+24.0+13.0
Avg total133.5124.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.594.081.0
Allowed / game70.075.065.0
Point differential+17.5+19.0+16.0
Avg total157.5169.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illiabum220100%76.057.5+18.5
2 Braga220100%87.570.0+17.5
3 Imortal B220100%78.568.5+10.0
4 Portimonense32167%75.067.7+7.3
5 Santo Andre32167%59.354.3+5.0
6 Vasco Da Gama32167%76.772.7+4.0
7 Benfica Lisboa B21150%71.562.5+9.0
8 Galitos Aveiro21150%68.565.0+3.5
9 CAB Madeira21150%60.058.5+1.5
10 Barreirense21150%65.568.0-2.5
11 Ginasio21150%68.571.0-2.5
12 Sampaense31233%72.379.0-6.7
13 Lusitania31233%59.368.7-9.3
14 CB Queluz3030%59.774.7-15.0
15 Maia2020%70.086.0-16.0
16 Sangalhos2020%60.577.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2214171669
Braga1622151467
← all games of the day
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