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Sampaense vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-81
20-16 14-17 15-24 16-24
Position#11
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sampaense
Portugal
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalProligaRound 1· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sampaense v Braga
05 Oct 2024
SAMP65
BRAG81
13 Jan 2024
SAMP72
BRAG90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 63
H27/01
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 63
A04/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
59avg 63
H17/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 63
A24/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
54-78
54
78
-24
38avg 63
A03/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
78-69
78
69
+9
71avg 63
A09/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
W
64-56
64
56
+8
60avg 63
A17/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 63
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
83-92 OT
83
92
-9
74avg 63
H30/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
73avg 63
H14/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
17-25
23-22
19-21
20-27
18-24
21-26
9-14
28-16
8-20
14-14
14-20
18-24
19-13
12-22
22-17
13-19
14-18
15-26
12-15
13-20
24-22
19-11
22-16
15-11
9-25
19-8
21-12
21-17
16-10
13-20
19-24
27-25
21-16
17-15
13-22
26-21
12-21
18-12
21-14
146.6Avg total
70.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.975.7146.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)74.271.2145.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.884.0155.8-12.26%
vs Similar (12)87.283.5170.7+3.758%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H10/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 68
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 68
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 68
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 68
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 68
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
38avg 68
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
63avg 68
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 68
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
56avg 68
H14/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
29-15
19-11
17-19
18-25
22-24
17-16
22-22
30-19
17-24
27-15
18-17
22-28
22-21
15-23
22-25
16-13
11-15
22-20
8-24
14-13
25-36
15-10
26-23
12-20
10-15
16-24
16-22
14-14
19-20
22-26
19-26
22-18
11-17
22-12
19-17
25-16
11-17
18-20
18-23
153.6Avg total
75.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.278.4153.6-3.230%
Last 5 (5)70.877.8148.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (16)76.174.6150.6+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.273.7156.8+9.567%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
SampaenseBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H27/01
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A04/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H17/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A24/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A03/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A17/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H23/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/04
Proliga
75.3Avg total
36.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.582.1-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.543.183.6-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)38.741.980.5-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.275.3-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.674.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.940.877.8-3.933%-
vs Similar (12)43.644.988.5-1.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H10/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H09/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H17/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A24/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H30/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/04
Proliga
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.938.575.4-1.635%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.338.674.9-2.436%-
Last 30 away (12)37.638.375.9-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.269.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (16)37.437.374.7+0.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.337.376.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.3
48.7%
49.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.9
31.2%
30.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
68.4%12.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.4
48.9%
49.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.4
29.3%
30.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.0
67.1%
68.4%11.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
WLLWWLLLLL
Braga
LWLLLLLWLW
#11
League position
#1
-6.8
Net rating
-4.0
94.5
Offensive rating
97.3
101.3
Defensive rating
101.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
46.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.8%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
29.3%
54.4%
Assist %
62.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 97.3Defence101.3 · 101.3Shooting48.0% · 46.8%3-point %31.2% · 29.3%Ball care19.2% · 17.8%Off. rebounds24.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Sampaense   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sampaense wins
2
Braga wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Sampaense v Braga72-90
04/11/23Braga v Sampaense95-86
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HGinasio Olhanense77-68
30/03/24HImortal B83-92 OT
23/03/24HBenfica Lisboa B69-71
17/03/24ABarreirense64-56
09/03/24AGinasio Olhanense78-69
03/03/24AImortal B54-78
24/02/24ABenfica Lisboa B71-76
17/02/24HBarreirense64-70
04/02/24AMaia68-91
27/01/24HGalitos Aveiro81-86
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HIlliabum72-76
13/04/24ASanto Andre74-64
30/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-86
24/03/24ACA Queluz54-81
17/03/24HCAB Madeira80-82
09/03/24HSanto Andre57-72
02/03/24AGalitos Barreiro81-97
25/02/24HCA Queluz92-75
18/02/24ACAB Madeira79-87
10/02/24HIlliabum89-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CAB Madeira110100%65.055.0+10.0
2 CB Queluz1010%55.065.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2014151665
Braga1617242481
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