Gold Coast vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2011

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 68-80

23-17 14-17 17-22 14-24

Position#6

Record11-12

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game86.8

Gold Coast

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Position#5

Record12-12

FormLWLWW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game81.0

NBLRound 22

Other2010-11

Meetings · Gold Coast v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gold Coast winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

82-86

-4

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

87-86 OT

H09/01

NBL

Adelaide

83-90

-7

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

90-85

H19/01

NBL

Townsville

62-71

-9

A28/01

NBL

Sydney

94-91

H30/01

NBL

Perth

78-75

A06/02

NBL

Adelaide

95-79

+16

H13/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

115-123 OT

115

123

-8

H20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

94-91

A23/02

NBL

27-29

21-17

10-23

24-17

22-15

20-15

15-18

18-27

27-31

16-22

24-14

16-23

23-22

21-11

21-26

25-26

16-21

14-11

15-15

17-24

26-19

22-20

21-28

25-24

24-16

20-18

22-22

12-19

28-16

30-20

22-17

15-26

25-34

27-33

27-20

22-14

29-24

27-22

20-12

18-33

175.7Avg total

88.0Scored

87.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	85.6	86.8	172.3	-1.2	48%
Season at home (12)	91.8	88.4	180.2	+3.3	67%
Season away (11)	78.8	85.0	163.8	-6.2	27%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	87.7	175.7	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	91.8	187.0	+3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	90.0	96.8	186.8	-6.8	33%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	84.7	84.3	169.0	+0.3	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

86-87 OT

-1

A09/01

NBL

Perth

58-92

-34

A14/01

NBL

Sydney

71-81

-10

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

86-97

-11

H28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-80

-4

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

72-93

-21

A06/02

NBL

Perth

105-73

105

+32

H12/02

NBL

Townsville

56-75

-19

A18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

104-81

104

+23

H27/02

NBL

Townsville

87-77

+10

H05/03

NBL

15-22

15-20

18-15

27-18

18-23

7-21

18-25

15-23

22-26

21-15

15-22

13-18

20-26

23-20

22-15

21-36

19-23

24-23

12-14

21-20

16-23

17-25

18-23

21-22

29-25

27-14

26-11

23-23

19-17

9-21

11-19

17-18

28-22

28-23

17-14

31-22

20-19

27-14

23-22

17-22

163.7Avg total

80.1Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	81.3	81.0	162.3	+0.4	50%
Season at home (11)	86.7	79.0	165.7	+7.7	73%
Season away (13)	76.8	82.6	159.4	-5.8	31%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	83.6	163.7	-3.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	79.8	164.6	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	82.3	84.0	166.3	-1.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	78.2	78.5	156.8	-0.2	42%
vs Weaker (9)	85.1	83.2	168.3	+1.9	67%

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Gold CoastIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.0	45.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	22.7	47.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.8	48.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	24.8	25.0	49.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.5	22.4	42.8	-1.9	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	22.0	22.1	44.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.9	21.5	45.5	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.7	26.0	51.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	22.7	44.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.9	42.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.6	47.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.5	27.3	48.8	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.4	20.4	41.7	+1.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	20.2	35.5	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	17.3	32.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	33%	-

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

48-46

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-30

+12

H09/01

NBL

Adelaide

43-53

-10

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

44-33

+11

H19/01

NBL

Townsville

30-32

-2

A28/01

NBL

Sydney

48-39

H30/01

NBL

Perth

44-34

+10

A06/02

NBL

Adelaide

58-36

+22

H13/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-67

-15

H20/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-46

+10

A23/02

NBL

88.1Avg total

46.5Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	44.7	87.6	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.0	44.5	87.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	44.9	87.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	41.6	88.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.6	44.4	96.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	46.3	52.3	98.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	42.0	42.8	84.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

30-42

-12

A09/01

NBL

Perth

25-44

-19

A14/01

NBL

Sydney

43-41

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

43-46

-3

H28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-46

-3

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

33-48

-15

A06/02

NBL

Perth

56-39

+17

H12/02

NBL

Townsville

28-38

-10

A18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-45

+11

H27/02

NBL

Townsville

47-33

+14

H05/03

NBL

82.6Avg total

40.4Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	40.1	42.4	82.5	-2.2	42%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	45.3	41.9	87.2	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	42.8	78.5	-7.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	40.6	84.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	43.3	83.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.0	41.1	80.1	-2.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.6	43.8	85.3	-2.2	44%	-

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.5	41.5	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.3	39.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	16.5	36.5	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	18.2	37.5	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	18.3	42.0	+5.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.5	16.1	33.6	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	22.3	40.0	-4.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.5	21.2	41.8	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	20.5	42.1	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	22.3	40.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.9	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.6	81.7	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	39.5	84.0	+4.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.6	79.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	42.8	81.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	43.0	83.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.3	40.8	82.2	+0.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.0	40.5	81.5	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	40.8	38.1	78.8	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	41.5	37.1	78.5	+4.4	45%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.2	78.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.3	36.4	74.8	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.1	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gold Coast wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/11	Gold Coast v Illawarra Hawks	87-86 OT
23/12/10	Illawarra Hawks v Gold Coast	70-72
15/10/10	Illawarra Hawks v Gold Coast	83-77

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	94-91
20/02/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	115-123 OT
13/02/11	H	Adelaide	95-79
06/02/11	A	Perth	78-75
30/01/11	H	Sydney	94-91
28/01/11	A	Townsville	62-71
19/01/11	H	Cairns	90-85
16/01/11	A	Adelaide	83-90
09/01/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	87-86 OT
07/01/11	A	Cairns	82-86

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/11	H	Townsville	87-77
27/02/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	104-81
18/02/11	A	Townsville	56-75
12/02/11	H	Perth	105-73
06/02/11	A	Melbourne United	72-93
03/02/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	76-80
28/01/11	H	Cairns	86-97
21/01/11	A	Sydney	71-81
14/01/11	A	Perth	58-92
09/01/11	A	Gold Coast	86-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gold Coast

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	48%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	LLLWW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	48%	67%	27%
Points / game	85.6	91.8	78.8
Allowed / game	86.8	88.4	85.0
Point differential	-1.2	+3.3	-6.2
Avg total	172.3	180.2	163.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	67% (6)	50% (6)
Overtime %	13%	25%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	LLWWW	73%
Away	LLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	50%	73%	31%
Points / game	81.3	86.7	76.8
Allowed / game	81.0	79.0	82.6
Point differential	+0.4	+7.7	-5.8
Avg total	162.3	165.7	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	45%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	24	19	5	79%	87.2	84.8	+2.4
2	Perth	25	15	10	60%	85.2	78.0	+7.2
3	Townsville	24	14	10	58%	79.5	77.4	+2.1
4	Cairns	24	12	12	50%	77.9	76.1	+1.8
5	Illawarra Hawks	24	12	12	50%	81.3	81.0	+0.4
6	Gold Coast	23	11	12	48%	85.6	86.8	-1.2
7	Melbourne United	23	9	14	39%	80.0	84.8	-4.8
8	Adelaide	23	8	15	35%	79.6	83.4	-3.8
9	Sydney	24	7	17	29%	77.5	82.2	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gold Coast	23	14	17	14	68
Illawarra Hawks	17	17	22	24	80

← all games of the day

Gold Coast vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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