Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2011

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 87-77

20-19 27-14 23-22 17-22

Position#5

Record11-12

FormLLWLW

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game81.1

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

Townsville

Position#2

Record14-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game77.0

NBLRound 21

Other2010-11

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

83-98

-15

A31/12

NBL

Gold Coast

86-87 OT

-1

A09/01

NBL

Perth

58-92

-34

A14/01

NBL

Sydney

71-81

-10

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

86-97

-11

H28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-80

-4

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

72-93

-21

A06/02

NBL

Perth

105-73

105

+32

H12/02

NBL

Townsville

56-75

-19

A18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

104-81

104

+23

H27/02

NBL

23-26

17-23

12-24

31-25

15-22

15-20

18-15

27-18

18-23

7-21

18-25

15-23

22-26

21-15

15-22

13-18

20-26

23-20

22-15

21-36

19-23

24-23

12-14

21-20

16-23

17-25

18-23

21-22

29-25

27-14

26-11

23-23

19-17

9-21

11-19

17-18

28-22

28-23

17-14

31-22

165.4Avg total

79.7Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	81.1	81.1	162.2	-0.0	48%
Season at home (10)	86.7	79.2	165.9	+7.5	70%
Season away (13)	76.8	82.6	159.4	-5.8	31%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	85.7	165.4	-6.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	80.4	163.0	+2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	82.3	84.0	166.3	-1.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	77.5	78.6	156.1	-1.2	36%
vs Weaker (9)	85.1	83.2	168.3	+1.9	67%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

99-97 OT

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-79

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

80-73

A08/01

NBL

Melbourne United

94-78

+16

H14/01

NBL

Perth

68-88

-20

A21/01

NBL

Gold Coast

71-62

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

81-74

H13/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

75-56

+19

H18/02

NBL

Sydney

96-68

+28

H26/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

65-66

-1

A03/03

NBL

15-20

23-23

24-22

26-23

31-22

21-13

25-16

19-28

21-23

27-13

14-17

18-20

18-22

27-24

19-11

30-21

26-32

10-25

20-12

12-19

21-16

11-14

15-15

24-17

23-11

20-13

19-26

19-24

17-19

21-9

19-11

18-17

23-18

21-20

23-12

29-18

14-12

16-26

18-18

17-10

156.6Avg total

82.5Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.6	77.0	156.6	+2.6	61%
Season at home (12)	85.0	74.3	159.3	+10.7	92%
Season away (11)	73.7	79.9	153.6	-6.2	27%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	74.1	156.6	+8.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	65.2	142.8	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	93.0	165.7	-20.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.8	75.5	153.3	+2.3	47%
vs Weaker (12)	86.8	77.9	164.8	+8.9	92%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	22.1	22.3	44.4	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	24.3	21.8	46.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	23.3	44.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.7	26.0	51.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	21.6	41.4	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.2	34.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	21.4	43.7	+0.8	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	20.2	35.5	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	17.3	32.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	17.3	38.6	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.4	34.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	25.7	40.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	18.5	40.8	+3.8	75%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

40-49

-9

A31/12

NBL

Gold Coast

30-42

-12

A09/01

NBL

Perth

25-44

-19

A14/01

NBL

Sydney

43-41

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

43-46

-3

H28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-46

-3

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

33-48

-15

A06/02

NBL

Perth

56-39

+17

H12/02

NBL

Townsville

28-38

-10

A18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-45

+11

H27/02

NBL

83.5Avg total

39.7Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	39.8	42.8	82.6	-3.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	45.1	42.8	87.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	42.8	78.5	-7.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	43.8	83.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	43.2	86.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	43.3	83.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.3	41.8	80.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.6	43.8	85.3	-2.2	44%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

38-43

-5

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-35

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

48-36

+12

A08/01

NBL

Melbourne United

45-46

-1

H14/01

NBL

Perth

36-57

-21

A21/01

NBL

Gold Coast

32-30

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

43-24

+19

H13/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

38-28

+10

H18/02

NBL

Sydney

44-38

H26/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

30-38

-8

A03/03

NBL

78.1Avg total

40.6Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.9	81.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	36.3	80.9	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	43.5	82.2	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	37.5	78.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	31.6	69.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	50.7	85.3	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.8	37.7	78.5	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.5	39.9	84.4	+4.6	58%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	61%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	18.2	37.5	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.2	33.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	18.3	42.0	+5.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.0	15.5	32.5	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.8	37.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	18.1	36.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.5	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.5	44.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	22.3	40.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.9	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.5	18.7	36.1	-1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.6	36.4	78.0	+5.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	38.9	79.1	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	40.7	79.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.2	76.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.2	35.7	73.9	+2.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.1	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.6	76.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	37.6	79.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	37.5	73.1	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	35.7	76.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	33.6	73.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	42.3	80.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.3	36.9	73.2	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.4	37.2	78.7	+4.2	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/11	Townsville v Illawarra Hawks	75-56
22/10/10	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	71-70

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/02/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	104-81
18/02/11	A	Townsville	56-75
12/02/11	H	Perth	105-73
06/02/11	A	Melbourne United	72-93
03/02/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	76-80
28/01/11	H	Cairns	86-97
21/01/11	A	Sydney	71-81
14/01/11	A	Perth	58-92
09/01/11	A	Gold Coast	86-87 OT
31/12/10	A	Adelaide	83-98

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	65-66
26/02/11	H	Sydney	96-68
18/02/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	75-56
13/02/11	H	Cairns	81-74
28/01/11	H	Gold Coast	71-62
21/01/11	A	Perth	68-88
14/01/11	H	Melbourne United	94-78
08/01/11	A	Sydney	80-73
31/12/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-79
23/12/10	A	Adelaide	99-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	48%
Home	LLLWW	70%
Away	LLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	10	13
Win %	48%	70%	31%
Points / game	81.1	86.7	76.8
Allowed / game	81.1	79.2	82.6
Point differential	-0.0	+7.5	-5.8
Avg total	162.2	165.9	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Townsville

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	61%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	LWWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	61%	92%	27%
Points / game	79.6	85.0	73.7
Allowed / game	77.0	74.3	79.9
Point differential	+2.6	+10.7	-6.2
Avg total	156.6	159.3	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	42%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	9%	0%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	24	19	5	79%	87.2	84.8	+2.4
2	Townsville	23	14	9	61%	79.6	77.0	+2.6
3	Perth	24	14	10	58%	85.3	78.8	+6.5
4	Cairns	23	12	11	52%	78.7	75.8	+2.9
5	Illawarra Hawks	23	11	12	48%	81.1	81.1	-0.0
6	Gold Coast	23	11	12	48%	85.6	86.8	-1.2
7	Melbourne United	22	9	13	41%	79.7	84.4	-4.6
8	Adelaide	23	8	15	35%	79.6	83.4	-3.8
9	Sydney	23	6	17	26%	76.7	82.0	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	20	27	23	17	87
Townsville	19	14	22	22	77

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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