Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Feb 2011

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 75-56

17-19 21-9 19-11 18-17

Position#2

Record12-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game79.0

Townsville 🏆

Illawarra Hawks

Position#5

Record10-11

FormLLLLW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game81.4

NBLRound 19

Other2010-11

Meetings · Townsville v Illawarra Hawks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

91-86

H11/12

NBL

Gold Coast

81-93

-12

A17/12

NBL

Cairns

51-56

-5

A18/12

NBL

Adelaide

99-97 OT

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-79

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

80-73

A08/01

NBL

Melbourne United

94-78

+16

H14/01

NBL

Perth

68-88

-20

A21/01

NBL

Gold Coast

71-62

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

81-74

H13/02

NBL

24-18

22-22

19-28

26-18

26-32

18-21

25-12

12-28

17-16

18-13

11-13

5-14

15-20

23-23

24-22

26-23

31-22

21-13

25-16

19-28

21-23

27-13

14-17

18-20

18-22

27-24

19-11

30-21

26-32

10-25

20-12

12-19

21-16

11-14

15-15

24-17

23-11

20-13

19-26

19-24

159.8Avg total

81.2Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.8	79.0	158.8	+0.7	60%
Season at home (10)	84.9	76.8	161.7	+8.1	90%
Season away (10)	74.6	81.3	155.9	-6.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	78.6	159.8	+2.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	75.0	153.8	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	93.0	165.7	-20.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	79.1	77.4	156.5	+1.7	47%
vs Weaker (12)	85.6	79.5	165.1	+6.1	83%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

85-89

-4

H17/12

NBL

Gold Coast

70-72

-2

H23/12

NBL

Adelaide

83-98

-15

A31/12

NBL

Gold Coast

86-87 OT

-1

A09/01

NBL

Perth

58-92

-34

A14/01

NBL

Sydney

71-81

-10

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

86-97

-11

H28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-80

-4

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

72-93

-21

A06/02

NBL

Perth

105-73

105

+32

H12/02

NBL

24-27

23-20

13-25

25-17

14-20

25-15

21-24

10-13

23-26

17-23

12-24

31-25

15-22

15-20

18-15

27-18

18-23

7-21

18-25

15-23

22-26

21-15

15-22

13-18

20-26

23-20

22-15

21-36

19-23

24-23

12-14

21-20

16-23

17-25

18-23

21-22

29-25

27-14

26-11

23-23

165.4Avg total

79.2Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	81.2	81.4	162.6	-0.2	48%
Season at home (9)	84.8	79.0	163.8	+5.8	67%
Season away (12)	78.5	83.2	161.8	-4.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	86.2	165.4	-7.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	84.8	166.8	-2.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	82.3	84.0	166.3	-1.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	76.9	78.8	155.7	-1.9	33%
vs Weaker (9)	85.1	83.2	168.3	+1.9	67%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	18.9	42.0	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.0	22.5	44.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	24.1	44.1	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	24.6	45.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.7	26.0	51.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.9	22.1	41.0	-3.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	21.8	45.7	+2.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	25.7	40.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	17.3	32.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	19.8	38.3	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	33%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

46-40

H11/12

NBL

Gold Coast

44-53

-9

A17/12

NBL

Cairns

35-29

A18/12

NBL

Adelaide

38-43

-5

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-35

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

48-36

+12

A08/01

NBL

Melbourne United

45-46

-1

H14/01

NBL

Perth

36-57

-21

A21/01

NBL

Gold Coast

32-30

H28/01

NBL

Cairns

43-24

+19

H13/02

NBL

81.2Avg total

41.9Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.2	82.3	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	37.0	81.5	+7.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	43.5	83.0	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.3	81.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	38.6	79.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	50.7	85.3	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.6	38.5	80.1	+3.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.4	39.8	84.2	+4.6	58%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

47-47

H17/12

NBL

Gold Coast

39-35

H23/12

NBL

Adelaide

40-49

-9

A31/12

NBL

Gold Coast

30-42

-12

A09/01

NBL

Perth

25-44

-19

A14/01

NBL

Sydney

43-41

A21/01

NBL

Cairns

43-46

-3

H28/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-46

-3

A03/02

NBL

Melbourne United

33-48

-15

A06/02

NBL

Perth

56-39

+17

H12/02

NBL

83.6Avg total

39.9Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	39.6	42.9	82.5	-3.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	43.9	42.6	86.4	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.4	43.2	79.6	-6.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.7	83.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	44.0	87.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	43.3	83.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.4	41.9	79.3	-4.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.6	43.8	85.3	-2.2	44%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.3	36.3	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.9	16.2	36.1	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	18.3	42.0	+5.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.7	15.3	33.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.5	42.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.8	43.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	22.3	40.7	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.9	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.4	76.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	38.6	79.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	38.1	73.4	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.4	76.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.4	74.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	42.3	80.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.8	38.0	74.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.7	37.8	77.5	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.9	36.4	77.3	+4.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.2	39.1	80.2	+2.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	41.3	79.5	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.2	35.6	73.8	+2.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.1	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/10	Illawarra Hawks v Townsville	71-70

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/11	H	Cairns	81-74
28/01/11	H	Gold Coast	71-62
21/01/11	A	Perth	68-88
14/01/11	H	Melbourne United	94-78
08/01/11	A	Sydney	80-73
31/12/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-79
23/12/10	A	Adelaide	99-97 OT
18/12/10	A	Cairns	51-56
17/12/10	A	Gold Coast	81-93
11/12/10	H	Gold Coast	91-86

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/11	H	Perth	105-73
06/02/11	A	Melbourne United	72-93
03/02/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	76-80
28/01/11	H	Cairns	86-97
21/01/11	A	Sydney	71-81
14/01/11	A	Perth	58-92
09/01/11	A	Gold Coast	86-87 OT
31/12/10	A	Adelaide	83-98
23/12/10	H	Gold Coast	70-72
17/12/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	60%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LLWWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	60%	90%	30%
Points / game	79.8	84.9	74.6
Allowed / game	79.0	76.8	81.3
Point differential	+0.7	+8.1	-6.7
Avg total	158.8	161.7	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	48%
Home	WLLLW	67%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	9	12
Win %	48%	67%	33%
Points / game	81.2	84.8	78.5
Allowed / game	81.4	79.0	83.2
Point differential	-0.2	+5.8	-4.8
Avg total	162.6	163.8	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (4)	25% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	20	17	3	85%	86.6	82.9	+3.7
2	Townsville	20	12	8	60%	79.8	79.0	+0.7
3	Perth	23	13	10	57%	85.4	79.5	+6.0
4	Cairns	20	11	9	55%	79.8	76.3	+3.5
5	Illawarra Hawks	21	10	11	48%	81.2	81.4	-0.2
6	Gold Coast	21	10	11	48%	83.8	84.9	-1.1
7	Adelaide	21	8	13	38%	80.9	83.9	-3.0
8	Melbourne United	21	8	13	38%	80.2	85.4	-5.2
9	Sydney	21	5	16	24%	77.2	81.7	-4.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	17	21	19	18	75
Illawarra Hawks	19	9	11	17	56

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature