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Gorica vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 88-69
19-18 22-20 24-15 23-16
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game86.0
Gorica 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game74.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 2
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gorica v Helios Domzale
03 Oct 2026
GORI88
HDO69
04 Mar 2009
GORI69
HDO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 76
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 76
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
106avg 76
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 76
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
103avg 76
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
44avg 76
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 76
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 76
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
103avg 76
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
59-86
59
86
-27
42avg 76
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
22-23
21-24
27-17
10-27
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
25-23
27-27
35-20
11-14
16-19
18-23
17-27
8-17
168.9Avg total
82.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.086.0145.0-27.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)59.086.0145.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)82.186.8168.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)74.488.6163.0-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.683.4154.0-12.820%
vs Similar (14)85.179.0164.1+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.877.0165.8+11.867%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 74
A08/04
ABA League 2
Polzela
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
67avg 74
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 74
H14/04
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
64-87
64
87
-23
49avg 74
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
76avg 74
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
64avg 74
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
52avg 74
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 74
A09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 74
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
L
59-74
59
74
-15
41avg 74
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
24-31
25-21
21-26
15-14
18-24
20-13
18-24
15-29
19-16
29-13
17-26
18-19
15-21
20-28
11-19
18-23
23-16
11-23
28-23
19-27
26-21
20-27
14-22
24-28
14-18
18-14
14-16
19-19
16-12
16-26
14-18
21-18
19-21
19-24
16-19
20-20
21-24
12-17
6-13
155.2Avg total
72.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.074.0133.0-15.00%
Season at home (1)59.074.0133.0-15.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.582.7155.2-10.20%
Last 5 (5)69.680.8150.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.886.3164.1-8.514%
vs Similar (5)83.680.4164.0+3.260%
vs Weaker (11)85.283.5168.6+1.764%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.7-4.7
GoricaHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
87.9Avg total
41.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.1+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.639.783.4+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.281.1-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.787.9-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.687.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.941.979.8-4.020%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.882.5+0.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.840.385.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/04
ABA League 2
Polzela
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H14/04
ABA League 2
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
79.1Avg total
37.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.684.5-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.180.5+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)43.345.188.5-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.579.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.744.484.1-4.721%-
vs Similar (5)47.840.288.0+7.680%-
vs Weaker (11)42.041.483.4+0.655%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.4
49.4%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
30.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.110.9
67.7%
70.0%10.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.4
49.9%
53.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.4
27.2%
30.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.3
74.3%
70.0%13.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLWLWLWLW
Helios Domzale
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-6.0
Net rating
-11.6
88.0
Offensive rating
82.3
94.0
Defensive rating
93.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
46.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
27.2%
65.4%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 82.3Defence94.0 · 93.9Shooting50.9% · 46.0%3-point %35.5% · 27.2%Ball care18.0% · 17.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Gorica   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
4
Helios Domzale wins
DateGameScore
24/11/22Helios Domzale v Gorica100-70
16/11/20Helios Domzale v Gorica20-0
04/03/09Gorica v Helios Domzale69-81
02/12/08Helios Domzale v Gorica88-51
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26APerspektiva Ilirija59-86
18/04/26HNovi Zagreb98-84
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86
07/03/26HDakovo113-106
21/02/26AKK Zagreb80-91
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HPolzela59-74
12/05/26HSencur75-82
09/05/26ASencur65-75
04/05/26HSencur70-76
30/04/26ARogaska79-97
23/04/26HTajfun Sentjur80-85
16/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija64-87
14/04/26HSiroki Brijeg80-84
11/04/26HPolzela71-75
08/04/26ASiroki Brijeg82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-27.0--27.0
Avg total145.0-145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game59.059.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential-15.0-15.0-
Avg total133.0133.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto220100%82.058.0+24.0
2 Perspektiva Ilirija220100%87.569.0+18.5
3 Sencur110100%92.075.0+17.0
4 Polzela110100%74.059.0+15.0
5 Zlatorog Lasko21150%66.573.0-6.5
6 KK Triglav Kranj2020%74.080.5-6.5
7 Helios Domzale1010%59.074.0-15.0
8 Rogaska1010%75.092.0-17.0
9 Gorica1010%59.086.0-27.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur1010%55.087.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1922242388
Helios Domzale1820151669
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