Kastela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2015

Tip-off: 16:45

Final 72-99

14-26 19-28 16-24 23-21

Position#14

Record1-3

FormLWLLL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game88.0

Kastela

Gorica 🏆

Position#12

Record2-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game82.8

Premijer ligaRound 5

Other2015-16

Meetings · Kastela v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jolly Sibenik

81-75

A18/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

97-92

H21/04

Premijer liga

Split

74-83

-9

H29/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

75-71

A06/05

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

84-111

111

-27

H10/05

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

79-87

-8

A12/05

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

89-80

H03/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

73-75

-2

A10/10

Premijer liga

Kvarner

81-91

-10

H17/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

82-106

106

-24

A24/10

Premijer liga

22-18

16-17

21-20

22-20

30-26

25-20

25-22

17-24

18-20

22-17

17-25

17-21

13-24

27-21

20-13

15-13

20-27

22-27

25-29

17-28

29-24

14-20

19-22

17-21

19-24

25-23

20-15

25-18

17-18

21-18

18-22

17-17

23-28

19-17

13-26

26-20

16-29

21-27

19-30

26-20

168.6Avg total

81.5Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	81.2	88.0	169.2	-6.8	25%
Season at home (2)	85.0	85.5	170.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (2)	77.5	90.5	168.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	87.1	168.6	-5.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	87.8	168.6	-7.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	79.7	85.5	165.3	-5.8	33%
vs Similar (13)	81.1	88.7	169.8	-7.6	38%
vs Weaker (2)	54.0	45.0	99.0	+9.0	50%

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

77-83

-6

H18/04

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

92-97

-5

A21/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

98-85

+13

A29/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

93-87

H02/05

Premijer liga

Split

66-99

-33

A09/05

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

87-79

H12/05

Premijer liga

Kvarner

77-81

-4

A03/10

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

85-79

H10/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

81-87

-6

A17/10

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

93-84

H24/10

Premijer liga

16-26

23-10

16-22

22-25

26-30

20-25

22-25

24-17

26-22

27-28

27-18

18-17

26-23

25-28

26-19

16-17

14-34

19-20

16-27

17-18

24-29

20-14

22-19

21-17

–

19-25

17-13

22-18

27-23

16-19

22-20

20-31

23-17

17-17

17-24

25-22

34-21

171.0Avg total

84.9Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	84.0	82.8	166.8	+1.2	50%
Season at home (2)	89.0	81.5	170.5	+7.5	100%
Season away (2)	79.0	84.0	163.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	86.1	171.0	-1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	82.0	166.6	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.5	87.5	165.0	-10.0	0%
vs Similar (25)	83.2	85.2	168.5	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	50.5	43.5	94.0	+7.0	50%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KastelaGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	23.7	43.5	-3.9	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	23.9	45.9	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	23.5	41.3	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.8	44.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.6	45.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	22.7	41.7	-3.6	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	24.8	45.5	-4.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.9	21.3	43.1	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	21.8	44.6	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	25.0	45.4	-4.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.2	52%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	22.5	43.5	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.5	43.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.8	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	-

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jolly Sibenik

38-35

A18/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

55-46

H21/04

Premijer liga

Split

40-37

H29/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

40-45

-5

A06/05

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

42-54

-12

H10/05

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

43-44

-1

A12/05

Premijer liga

Osijek

#11

44-47

-3

H03/10

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

38-36

A10/10

Premijer liga

Kvarner

42-45

-3

H17/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

37-56

-19

A24/10

Premijer liga

86.4Avg total

41.9Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.9	44.9	85.8	-4.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	43.9	87.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	45.9	83.9	-7.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	44.5	86.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	45.6	86.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.2	43.5	83.7	-3.3	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.8	46.6	88.5	-4.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

39-36

H18/04

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

46-55

-9

A21/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

53-50

A29/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

51-51

H02/05

Premijer liga

Split

33-54

-21

A09/05

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

44-43

H12/05

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

36-38

-2

H10/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

#13

38-39

-1

A17/10

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

34-41

-7

H24/10

Premijer liga

86.8Avg total

41.6Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	41.9	82.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.8	44.3	88.2	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.6	45.2	86.8	-3.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	43.0	80.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	48.0	82.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	42.9	42.5	85.4	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	38.0	39.0	77.0	-1.0	0%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.4	42.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.0	40.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	22.8	41.9	-3.8	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.3	21.3	41.5	-1.0	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	20.0	31.0	51.0	-11.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	29.0	63.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	56%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.5	41.1	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.2	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	19.1	41.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.2	43.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	18.5	44.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar (23)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	41.6	80.9	-2.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	41.1	80.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.6	82.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.2	82.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.5	42.0	81.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	46.0	95.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.2	42.9	84.1	-1.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	45.6	85.2	-6.0	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.2	41.4	85.7	+2.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.6	88.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (23)	40.7	42.9	83.6	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	43.0	48.0	91.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kastela wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
12/05/15	Gorica v Kastela	87-79
21/04/15	Kastela v Gorica	97-92
28/02/15	Kastela v Gorica	97-105
22/11/14	Gorica v Kastela	109-77

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/15	A	GKK Sibenik	82-106
17/10/15	H	Kvarner	81-91
10/10/15	A	Alkar	73-75
03/10/15	H	Osijek	89-80
12/05/15	A	Gorica	79-87
10/05/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	84-111
06/05/15	A	Osijek	75-71
29/04/15	H	Split	74-83
21/04/15	H	Gorica	97-92
18/04/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	81-75

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	93-84
17/10/15	A	GKK Sibenik	81-87
10/10/15	H	Skrljevo	85-79
03/10/15	A	Kvarner	77-81
12/05/15	H	Kastela	87-79
09/05/15	A	Split	66-99
02/05/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	93-87
29/04/15	A	Osijek	98-85
21/04/15	A	Kastela	92-97
18/04/15	H	Split	77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLL	25%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	81.2	85.0	77.5
Allowed / game	88.0	85.5	90.5
Point differential	-6.8	-0.5	-13.0
Avg total	169.2	170.5	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	84.0	89.0	79.0
Allowed / game	82.8	81.5	84.0
Point differential	+1.2	+7.5	-5.0
Avg total	166.8	170.5	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zagreb	4	4	0	100%	80.8	70.5	+10.2
2	Kvarner	3	3	0	100%	81.7	75.7	+6.0
3	GKK Sibenik	4	3	1	75%	83.5	74.0	+9.5
4	Split	4	3	1	75%	76.8	73.8	+3.0
5	Alkar	3	2	1	67%	71.0	69.0	+2.0
6	Gorica	4	2	2	50%	84.0	82.8	+1.2
7	Zabok	3	1	2	33%	72.7	72.0	+0.7
8	Kastela	4	1	3	25%	81.2	88.0	-6.8
9	Jolly Sibenik	4	1	3	25%	84.0	92.0	-8.0
10	Osijek	3	0	3	0%	68.3	75.0	-6.7
11	Skrljevo	4	0	4	0%	77.0	87.8	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kastela	14	19	16	23	72
Gorica	26	28	24	21	99

← all games of the day

Kastela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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