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Gorica vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 116-109 (OT)
18-21 30-30 22-21 21-19 25-18
Position#7
Record12-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game82.7
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record17-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game74.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 25· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Kastela
06 Mar 2027
GORI v KAST
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
GORI79
KAST89
12 Apr 2025
GORI116
KAST109
25 Nov 2023
GORI89
KAST67
06 Feb 2016
GORI98
KAST66
12 May 2015
GORI87
KAST79
22 Nov 2014
GORI109
KAST77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
95avg 74
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 74
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 74
A16/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 74
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 74
A01/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
86avg 74
H08/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 74
A15/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
74-58
74
58
+16
67avg 74
H22/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 74
H02/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
93-89
93
89
+4
97avg 74
H05/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
28-24
11-16
23-19
24-18
21-19
13-16
20-17
26-15
20-18
5-15
12-20
25-20
17-16
20-22
16-23
23-19
24-24
14-24
22-21
34-11
20-15
16-24
17-10
14-26
28-13
14-26
19-17
18-20
14-16
23-9
19-13
21-26
24-34
19-30
18-19
22-23
14-21
27-24
30-21
162.2Avg total
81.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.282.7162.9-2.550%
Season at home (12)84.883.0167.8+1.867%
Season away (12)75.782.4158.1-6.833%
Last 10 (10)81.181.1162.2+0.040%
Last 5 (5)82.279.6161.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.493.0171.4-14.618%
vs Similar (8)81.581.9163.4-0.450%
vs Weaker (10)80.371.2151.5+9.180%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
102avg 83
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
36avg 83
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 83
A16/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
94avg 83
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 83
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 83
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 83
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 83
A23/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
88avg 83
A29/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
93avg 83
H06/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-31
27-21
25-16
9-22
11-17
20-20
9-18
15-17
12-20
19-16
18-21
21-12
18-12
24-22
23-24
25-20
31-17
19-26
18-16
28-21
28-20
26-12
26-21
14-25
25-35
23-16
21-19
19-12
15-25
20-17
25-17
20-16
22-29
20-16
25-11
27-19
27-19
14-26
23-25
163.3Avg total
84.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.074.0160.1+12.071%
Season at home (12)92.172.6164.7+19.592%
Season away (12)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)84.079.3163.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)89.680.2169.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.580.5140.0-21.00%
vs Similar (5)79.477.8157.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.573.6160.1+12.877%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
GoricaKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A16/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A01/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H08/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H02/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
Prva Liga
84.4Avg total
44.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.942.284.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.177.7-0.667%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.484.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.645.382.9-7.627%-
vs Similar (8)39.939.279.1+0.662%-
vs Weaker (10)43.135.979.0+7.280%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A16/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/04
Prva Liga
82.8Avg total
41.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.478.1+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.778.5+5.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.538.177.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.382.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.289.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.042.068.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (5)36.642.679.2-6.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.835.778.5+7.059%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.6
48.2%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.6%
70.4%12.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.2
55.5%
52.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.7
37.3%
33.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws13.49.5
70.9%
70.4%9.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WLWLWLLLWL
Kastela
WWWLWWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
+0.5
Net rating
+6.3
103.4
Offensive rating
111.9
102.9
Defensive rating
105.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.9%
3-point %
37.3%
61.5%
Assist %
74.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 111.9Defence102.9 · 105.6Shooting51.8% · 55.7%3-point %37.9% · 37.3%Ball care20.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Gorica   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Gorica wins
1
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Kastela v Gorica78-80
03/03/24Kastela v Gorica61-67
25/11/23Gorica v Kastela89-67
06/02/16Gorica v Kastela98-66
28/10/15Kastela v Gorica72-99
12/05/15Gorica v Kastela87-79
21/04/15Kastela v Gorica97-92
28/02/15Kastela v Gorica97-105
22/11/14Gorica v Kastela109-77
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBosco93-89
02/04/25HSamobor82-109
22/03/25HOmis74-58
15/03/25ASonik Puntamika75-82
08/03/25HCrikvenica87-60
01/03/25AMladost83-88
22/02/25HKK Zagreb78-81
16/02/25AHermes63-68
08/02/25HDakovo78-70
01/02/25AMarsonia98-106 OT
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HKK Zagreb91-89
29/03/25ABosco87-72
23/03/25AHermes79-71
16/03/25ASamobor83-95
08/03/25HDakovo108-74
01/03/25AOmis93-79
23/02/25HMarsonia86-70
16/02/25ASonik Puntamika64-74
12/02/25HAlkar49-77
08/02/25HJazine100-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.284.875.7
Allowed / game82.783.082.4
Point differential-2.5+1.8-6.8
Avg total162.9167.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%92%50%
Points / game86.092.180.0
Allowed / game74.072.675.5
Point differential+12.0+19.5+4.5
Avg total160.1164.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2420483%88.880.6+8.2
2 Mladost2418675%83.076.6+6.4
3 Kastela2417771%86.074.0+12.0
4 Skrljevo2417771%90.780.8+9.9
5 Jazine2417771%91.582.1+9.4
6 Marsonia24131154%84.383.5+0.8
7 KK Zagreb24121250%79.178.4+0.7
8 Gorica24121250%80.282.7-2.5
9 Sonik Puntamika24101442%73.375.6-2.3
10 Omis2491538%76.879.7-2.9
11 Crikvenica2481633%67.977.2-9.3
12 Bosco2461825%74.584.2-9.8
13 Dakovo2451921%76.085.3-9.4
14 Hermes2442017%76.888.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Gorica1830222125116
Kastela2130211918109
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