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Gorica vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 88-61
14-13 33-13 16-27 25-8
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.6
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 6· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gorica v KK Zagreb
15 Nov 2025
GORI88
KK Z61
22 Feb 2025
GORI78
KK Z81
14 Oct 2023
GORI61
KK Z78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
116avg 76
H12/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
87avg 76
A16/04
Prva Liga
Hidria
#33
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Kastela
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
77avg 76
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
77-64
77
64
+13
74avg 76
H18/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
H21/10
Slovenian Cup
Amfora
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
A25/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
99-59
99
59
+40
97avg 76
H31/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A04/11
Slovenian Cup
Crikvenica
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
73avg 76
A08/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
30-30
22-21
21-19
24-24
23-19
21-18
18-24
34-17
33-9
13-19
22-21
24-23
16-12
19-30
20-24
18-22
14-20
22-11
23-11
18-20
19-19
21-17
14-26
26-24
28-24
18-20
15-21
29-16
23-9
27-12
20-22
19-13
25-23
21-11
13-14
20-18
15-25
29-16
20-18
166.1Avg total
88.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.275.6160.8+9.660%
Season at home (3)85.070.7155.7+14.367%
Season away (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)88.078.1166.1+9.970%
Last 5 (5)84.073.6157.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.393.3178.6-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.279.3158.5-0.150%
vs Weaker (9)79.268.4147.7+10.867%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 74
A23/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 74
H30/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
88avg 74
A06/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 74
A13/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
97-67
97
67
+30
104avg 74
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 74
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
64avg 74
A18/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
65avg 74
H25/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
65avg 74
A31/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
61-54
61
54
+7
58avg 74
H08/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
29-19
24-24
8-17
19-18
33-22
17-21
19-24
19-27
19-27
26-14
25-23
16-13
23-14
12-20
11-29
24-21
31-12
17-19
25-15
24-25
19-20
21-26
18-17
18-20
15-17
13-15
22-15
17-15
12-10
16-13
17-24
18-20
24-18
12-28
16-23
16-12
20-17
10-14
15-11
153.4Avg total
77.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.673.0143.6-2.460%
Season at home (3)71.769.7141.3+2.067%
Season away (2)69.078.0147.0-9.050%
Last 10 (10)77.176.3153.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)70.673.0143.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.583.6162.1-5.133%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.072.9147.9+2.150%
vs Weaker (8)82.976.1159.0+6.875%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
GoricaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A16/04
Prva Liga
Hidria
#33
W
67-26
67
26
+41
H07/10
Slovenian Cup
Kastela
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H21/10
Slovenian Cup
Amfora
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A25/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H31/10
Prva Liga
Plama P.
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/11
Slovenian Cup
Crikvenica
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/11
Prva Liga
84.4Avg total
45.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.880.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.438.681.0+3.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.079.4+1.479%-
Last 10 (10)45.638.884.4+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.282.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.043.884.8-2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.238.576.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (9)42.934.977.8+8.078%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A23/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A06/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A13/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A18/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H25/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H08/11
Prva Liga
78.3Avg total
41.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.476.5+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.036.778.7+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)36.138.174.3-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.678.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.871.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.141.179.2-3.042%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.434.270.6+2.260%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.079.9+7.988%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.7
52.4%
53.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
32.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
71.6%13.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.3
54.1%
53.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.5
33.6%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.98.7
62.6%
71.6%8.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWWLLWLWWW
KK Zagreb
WLWWLWLLWW
#5
League position
#7
+6.5
Net rating
+0.9
105.0
Offensive rating
104.0
98.5
Defensive rating
103.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
21.5%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.0%
3-point %
33.6%
65.7%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 104.0Defence98.5 · 103.0Shooting53.6% · 52.6%3-point %37.0% · 33.6%Ball care19.9% · 21.5%Off. rebounds26.8% · 33.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
2
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Gorica v KK Zagreb78-81
09/11/24KK Zagreb v Gorica97-102 OT
24/01/24KK Zagreb v Gorica81-83 OT
14/10/23Gorica v KK Zagreb61-78
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ACrikvenica84-77
04/11/25APlama P.78-61
31/10/25HOsijek99-59
25/10/25AAmfora87-89
21/10/25HPlama P.72-82
18/10/25HSonik Puntamika77-64
11/10/25HKastela79-89
07/10/25HHidria102-66
16/04/25ASkrljevo86-85
12/04/25HKastela116-109 OT
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HNovi Zagreb61-54
31/10/25ASkrljevo70-89
25/10/25HMladost72-67 OT
18/10/25AOmis68-67
12/10/25HJazine82-88
16/04/25HCrikvenica97-67
13/04/25AMladost62-76
06/04/25AKastela89-91
30/03/25HHermes88-85
23/03/25ADakovo82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game85.285.085.5
Allowed / game75.670.783.0
Point differential+9.6+14.3+2.5
Avg total160.8155.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game70.671.769.0
Allowed / game73.069.778.0
Point differential-2.4+2.0-9.0
Avg total143.6141.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kastela550100%86.466.2+20.2
2 Skrljevo54180%100.073.8+26.2
3 Mladost54180%80.067.0+13.0
4 Novi Zagreb53260%76.465.8+10.6
5 Gorica53260%85.275.6+9.6
6 Dakovo53260%87.281.8+5.4
7 KK Zagreb53260%70.673.0-2.4
8 Jazine53260%74.479.4-5.0
9 Amfora63350%83.389.2-5.8
10 Omis52340%83.480.2+3.2
11 Sonik Puntamika52340%72.077.4-5.4
12 Crikvenica51420%73.281.4-8.2
13 Marsonia5050%66.480.2-13.8
14 Osijek6060%60.098.7-38.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1433162588
KK Zagreb131327861
← all games of the day
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