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KK Zagreb vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 97-102 (OT)
20-20 11-20 23-21 23-16 20-25
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game89.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 5· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2024-25
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Gorica
21 Feb 2026
KK Z91
GORI80
09 Nov 2024
KK Z97
GORI102
24 Jan 2024
KK Z81
GORI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
58avg 71
A02/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
50avg 71
H09/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
74avg 71
H24/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
92avg 71
A27/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 71
H06/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
49avg 71
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
40-62
40
62
-22
30avg 71
A19/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 71
H27/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
85avg 71
A04/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
17-13
17-21
23-12
17-21
15-17
12-19
20-17
26-22
12-13
17-20
20-20
20-20
22-18
19-13
21-18
24-18
27-22
19-13
18-7
17-24
22-17
29-9
13-15
9-7
10-14
21-9
15-18
10-21
14-14
7-11
9-16
27-19
23-25
21-29
16-19
21-12
22-28
19-11
20-22
142.9Avg total
73.0Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.068.8134.8-2.850%
Season at home (2)71.070.0141.0+1.050%
Season away (2)61.067.5128.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)73.069.9142.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)69.068.0137.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.786.7164.3-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.969.1138.0-0.238%
vs Weaker (19)81.669.9151.5+11.784%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
69avg 77
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
58avg 77
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
91-70
91
70
+21
97avg 77
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-93
70
93
-23
58avg 77
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 77
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
71-113
71
113
-42
71avg 77
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
78-108
78
108
-30
no box
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 77
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 77
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
90avg 77
H02/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
16-12
21-20
15-14
16-20
23-22
18-19
14-14
26-12
22-25
23-11
20-22
19-25
11-16
23-22
17-30
16-34
21-19
25-16
16-23
21-27
12-26
20-25
18-35
25-24
17-25
19-35
17-24
20-24
33-23
22-19
19-16
17-27
18-12
22-22
28-22
26-18
28-25
20-24
21-13
168.6Avg total
81.5Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.289.5175.8-3.275%
Season at home (2)94.581.0175.5+13.5100%
Season away (2)78.098.0176.0-20.050%
Last 10 (10)81.587.1168.6-5.650%
Last 5 (5)84.693.2177.8-8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.487.1161.6-12.714%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.379.3163.6+5.071%
vs Weaker (14)84.874.9159.6+9.986%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
KK ZagrebGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H09/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A27/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
19-21
19
21
-2
H12/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A19/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/11
Prva Liga
73.5Avg total
36.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.375.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.536.975.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.935.774.7+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.773.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.271.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.739.781.3+2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.535.668.1-3.125%-
vs Weaker (19)40.836.176.9+4.774%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A23/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A06/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H16/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/10
Prva Liga
Sencur
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H15/10
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H19/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A26/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
86.2Avg total
41.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.682.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.485.2+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)38.540.679.1-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.586.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.289.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.942.379.1-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.740.785.4+4.086%-
vs Weaker (14)42.040.282.2+1.850%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.9
50.9%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.6
30.9%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.911.7
65.4%
70.4%11.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.9
55.4%
52.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws12.28.9
73.0%
70.4%8.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WLLWWWWLLW
Gorica
WWWLLLLWLW
#8
League position
#7
+5.6
Net rating
-4.1
98.3
Offensive rating
103.9
92.8
Defensive rating
108.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
20.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.18
30.9%
3-point %
34.1%
61.1%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 103.9Defence92.8 · 108.0Shooting49.1% · 53.7%3-point %30.9% · 34.1%Ball care20.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 27.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
KK Zagreb wins
1
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24KK Zagreb v Gorica81-83 OT
14/10/23Gorica v KK Zagreb61-78
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24ABosco82-73
27/10/24HSamobor87-92
19/10/24AOmis40-62
12/10/24HSonik Puntamika55-48
06/04/24HKastela81-65
27/03/24AMladost88-60
24/03/24HHermes82-69
16/03/24AOsijek81-88 OT
09/03/24HCrikvenica64-74
02/03/24AJazine70-68
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HHermes95-80
26/10/24ADakovo85-83
19/10/24HMarsonia94-82
15/10/24HSencur78-108
13/10/24AJazine71-113
16/04/24HKvarner78-92
13/04/24AKvarner70-93
06/04/24APodstrana91-70
28/03/24HKvarner71-75
23/03/24AOmis82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game66.071.061.0
Allowed / game68.870.067.5
Point differential-2.8+1.0-6.5
Avg total134.8141.0128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.294.578.0
Allowed / game89.581.098.0
Point differential-3.2+13.5-20.0
Avg total175.8175.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor440100%92.881.8+11.0
2 Mladost54180%83.478.2+5.2
3 Skrljevo43175%89.878.8+11.0
4 Jazine43175%99.088.2+10.8
5 Gorica43175%86.289.5-3.2
6 Marsonia42250%88.883.8+5.0
7 Omis42250%71.266.5+4.8
8 Kastela42250%71.070.8+0.2
9 Hermes42250%84.586.2-1.8
10 KK Zagreb42250%66.068.8-2.8
11 Sonik Puntamika41325%64.864.0+0.8
12 Dakovo41325%76.090.2-14.2
13 Crikvenica4040%66.878.5-11.8
14 Bosco5050%77.090.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
KK Zagreb201123232097
Gorica2020211625102
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