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KK Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-73
18-9 19-13 18-28 6-23
Position#7
Record13-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game73.9
CroatiaPrva Liga
Other2022-23
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Kastela
20 Dec 2025
KK Z70
KAST65
15 Jan 2025
KK Z71
KAST69
06 Apr 2024
KK Z81
KAST65
25 Mar 2023
KK Z61
KAST73
12 Mar 2023
KK Z73
KAST77
19 Dec 2021
KK Z76
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H18/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H22/01
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A29/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H05/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A12/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A19/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A25/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A04/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H12/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
17-24
26-9
23-16
17-17
19-15
23-12
17-15
15-15
26-23
23-23
13-18
27-12
19-15
20-19
17-20
21-15
15-12
15-26
15-21
24-12
21-17
19-12
10-13
19-17
22-20
9-22
13-14
24-21
22-24
23-22
22-29
21-27
20-22
17-10
15-18
13-35
20-17
15-19
20-24
149.3Avg total
75.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.975.0152.9+2.957%
Season at home (11)78.969.8148.7+9.182%
Season away (12)77.079.8156.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)75.773.6149.3+2.140%
Last 5 (5)73.879.0152.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.371.5139.8-3.246%
vs Similar (10)82.776.7159.4+6.070%
vs Weaker (6)85.372.8158.2+12.583%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H15/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A28/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H04/02
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A11/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
103-65
103
65
+38
H19/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A25/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H07/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A12/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H18/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
24-17
20-16
13-23
16-19
26-18
18-15
20-23
25-14
21-29
26-28
20-19
20-16
15-13
17-15
18-13
21-16
8-22
13-19
23-26
22-22
24-17
30-16
27-10
26-25
27-14
21-13
17-22
26-15
16-15
25-15
16-24
27-21
22-20
10-17
18-15
15-18
20-12
19-12
22-20
154.5Avg total
82.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.773.9155.6+7.874%
Season at home (12)82.272.2154.3+10.083%
Season away (11)81.275.8157.0+5.464%
Last 10 (10)82.072.5154.5+9.590%
Last 5 (5)86.068.6154.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.083.0153.0-13.011%
vs Similar (5)75.271.0146.2+4.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.070.7155.7+14.394%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
KK ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H22/01
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A29/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H05/02
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A12/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A19/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A25/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A04/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A21/03
Prva Liga
77.6Avg total
40.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.273.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.335.672.9+1.757%-
Last 30 away (16)38.136.774.8+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.477.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.483.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.235.169.3-0.854%-
vs Similar (10)39.737.477.1+2.350%-
vs Weaker (6)43.036.579.5+6.583%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/02
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A12/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H18/03
Prva Liga
79.1Avg total
42.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.379.1+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.838.578.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)41.938.180.1+3.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.479.1+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.880.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.743.779.3-8.022%-
vs Similar (5)35.634.269.8+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.336.681.9+8.794%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
KK Zagreb wins
4
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
19/12/21KK Zagreb v Kastela76-83
02/10/21Kastela v KK Zagreb66-55
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23AOsijek68-95
12/03/23HKastela73-77
04/03/23AHermes91-96
25/02/23AOsijek63-73
19/02/23AOmis74-54
12/02/23AKvarner66-74
05/02/23HJazine83-66
29/01/23AStoja77-79
22/01/23HSamobor76-59
18/01/23HMladost86-63
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HKvarner76-62
12/03/23AKK Zagreb77-73
07/03/23HJazine83-69
25/02/23AStoja91-74
19/02/23HSamobor103-65
11/02/23ADubrovnik65-83
04/02/23HMladost70-57
28/01/23ASonik Puntamika92-90
21/01/23HKvarner80-75
15/01/23HHermes83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL57%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%82%33%
Points / game77.978.977.0
Allowed / game75.069.879.8
Point differential+2.9+9.1-2.8
Avg total152.9148.7156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%83%64%
Points / game81.782.281.2
Allowed / game73.972.275.8
Point differential+7.8+10.0+5.4
Avg total155.6154.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubrovnik2423196%86.670.0+16.6
2 Osijek2418675%84.871.5+13.3
3 Kastela2317674%81.773.9+7.8
4 Kvarner2415962%77.570.8+6.8
5 KK Zagreb23131057%77.975.0+2.9
6 Jazine24121250%80.981.9-1.0
7 Omis24111346%76.877.2-0.4
8 Hermes24111346%82.686.8-4.2
9 Mladost24101442%83.683.9-0.3
10 Stoja2481633%81.787.7-6.0
11 Samobor2442017%71.284.8-13.6
12 Sonik Puntamika241234%71.492.8-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb181918661
Kastela913282373
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