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Gorica vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 44-100
12-28 10-26 12-23 10-23
Position#36
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Gorica
Slovenia
vs
LTH Castings 🏆
Slovenia
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SloveniaSlovenian Cup
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v LTH Castings
30 Oct 2023
GORI44
LTH 100
09 Nov 2021
GORI69
LTH 97
14 Apr 2009
GORI77
LTH 76
07 Feb 2009
GORI69
LTH 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
H16/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
80-96
80
96
-16
no box
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 71
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 71
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 71
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 71
H28/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
28-30
15-21
23-15
19-12
24-16
22-31
7-13
19-18
28-24
19-22
14-16
21-21
23-25
20-32
16-18
24-25
14-23
25-21
20-21
19-16
17-15
17-15
20-33
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
163.8Avg total
82.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.381.5163.8+0.840%
Last 5 (5)76.070.0146.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.891.4166.2-16.711%
vs Similar (19)81.382.2163.5-0.947%
vs Weaker (2)81.563.0144.5+18.5100%
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
85avg 81
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
64avg 81
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
108-72
108
72
+36
113avg 81
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 81
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
81avg 81
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-17
21-28
12-24
12-25
21-20
29-27
18-23
26-20
18-18
16-16
18-22
23-24
24-14
12-21
21-26
12-22
15-20
19-22
20-16
33-25
20-21
21-19
25-30
23-22
18-27
20-18
18-29
28-17
27-18
25-18
28-19
21-19
14-15
23-24
14-19
22-18
25-32
20-22
23-25
169.1Avg total
82.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.786.4169.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)89.687.4177.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.685.8159.4-12.229%
vs Similar (12)85.883.3169.1+2.450%
vs Weaker (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
GoricaLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H12/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H16/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A22/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
77.3Avg total
42.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.378.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.577.7+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.279.3-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.534.877.3+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.627.268.8+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.943.680.4-6.722%-
vs Similar (19)41.337.578.8+3.863%-
vs Weaker (2)44.022.566.5+21.5100%-
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
84.0Avg total
42.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.179.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.479.7-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)37.741.779.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.684.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.889.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.342.278.5-5.929%-
vs Similar (12)41.540.181.6+1.442%-
vs Weaker (1)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.5
55.8%
56.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.2
27.1%
39.6%21.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
66.2%
72.4%11.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.0
59.3%
56.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.4
39.9%
39.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.013.0
61.9%
72.4%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WWLWLLLWLL
LTH Castings
LLWLWLLWLL
#36
League position
#3
+11.7
Net rating
+3.9
101.4
Offensive rating
115.7
89.7
Defensive rating
111.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
59.5%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.1%
3-point %
39.9%
62.6%
Assist %
56.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 115.7Defence89.7 · 111.8Shooting49.6% · 59.5%3-point %27.1% · 39.9%Ball care18.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds32.0% · 29.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Gorica   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gorica wins
5
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
15/11/21LTH Castings v Gorica97-62
09/11/21Gorica v LTH Castings69-97
14/04/09Gorica v LTH Castings77-76
28/03/09LTH Castings v Gorica64-62
07/02/09Gorica v LTH Castings69-70
15/11/08LTH Castings v Gorica71-63
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60
07/05/23ADinamo Zagreb73-79
30/04/23HSkrljevo83-90
26/04/23HBosco80-96
22/04/23AAlkar109-102 OT
16/04/23HZabok88-93 OT
12/04/23HDinamo Zagreb83-84
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto90-97
20/10/23AHelios Domzale72-77
16/10/23HSencur108-72
07/10/23ARogaska79-96
02/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek99-95
06/05/23HKK Krka Novo mesto66-80
29/04/23AZlatorog Lasko80-85
21/04/23APolzela78-76
15/04/23HPerspektiva Ilirija80-95
01/04/23ATajfun Sentjur75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Slovenian Cup 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
LTH Castings
Slovenian Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Slovenske Konjice110100%92.058.0+34.0
2 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek110100%100.072.0+28.0
3 Polzela110100%99.072.0+27.0
4 Cedevita Olimpija mladi110100%84.058.0+26.0
5 Rogaska110100%92.066.0+26.0
6 KK Slovan110100%92.075.0+17.0
7 Hidria110100%84.070.0+14.0
8 Vojnik110100%74.062.0+12.0
9 Zoltasti Troti110100%82.070.0+12.0
10 Plama P.110100%63.052.0+11.0
11 Dravograd110100%79.069.0+10.0
12 KK Triglav Kranj110100%83.077.0+6.0
13 Koper110100%85.079.0+6.0
14 Tajfun Sentjur110100%66.060.0+6.0
15 Ipros Vrhnika1010%77.083.0-6.0
16 Jesenice1010%79.085.0-6.0
17 Zlatorog Lasko1010%60.066.0-6.0
18 Hrastnik1010%69.079.0-10.0
19 Krvavec Meteor1010%52.063.0-11.0
20 Celje1010%62.074.0-12.0
21 Grosuplje1010%70.082.0-12.0
22 Nagode Postojna1010%70.084.0-14.0
23 Ajdovscina1010%75.092.0-17.0
24 Crnomelj1010%66.092.0-26.0
25 Tolmin1010%58.084.0-26.0
26 Vrani Vransko1010%72.099.0-27.0
27 Ljubljana1010%72.0100.0-28.0
28 Prevalje1010%58.092.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica1210121044
LTH Castings28262323100
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