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Gorica vs Polzela Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game67.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 14
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gorica v Polzela
16 Jan 2027
GORI v POLZ
upcoming
11 Oct 2008
GORI69
POLZ82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
25-23
27-27
35-20
11-14
16-19
18-23
17-27
8-17
19-18
22-20
24-15
23-16
25-21
6-21
20-11
29-14
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
10-25
24-13
17-21
16-15
158.7Avg total
77.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.874.4147.2-1.640%
Season at home (2)79.072.5151.5+6.550%
Season away (3)68.775.7144.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)77.980.8158.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)72.874.4147.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.282.0152.2-11.817%
vs Similar (13)86.278.8164.9+7.477%
vs Weaker (5)87.677.2164.8+10.480%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
28-20
19-22
20-10
19-28
27-15
14-29
27-31
22-18
29-21
24-19
21-10
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
25-29
20-22
14-20
22-25
21-21
13-16
24-16
26-14
25-10
13-24
21-17
15-16
156.4Avg total
80.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.067.6147.6+12.480%
Season at home (2)80.558.0138.5+22.5100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)80.875.6156.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)80.067.6147.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.291.2169.4-13.013%
vs Similar (7)87.190.4177.6-3.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.670.2156.9+16.488%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
GoricaPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
82.7Avg total
38.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.281.0-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.683.8+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.241.678.8-4.518%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.082.7-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.074.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.941.478.3-4.517%-
vs Similar (13)42.140.983.0+1.246%-
vs Weaker (5)40.641.482.0-0.860%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
81.1Avg total
42.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.186.0-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.038.082.0+6.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.748.289.9-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.581.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.077.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.545.586.0-4.940%-
vs Similar (7)44.942.387.1+2.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.539.484.9+6.162%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.1
50.8%
53.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
30.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.612.0
64.5%
70.0%12.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.6
49.1%
53.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
70.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLWWLWLWLW
Polzela
WWLWWLLWLW
#6
League position
#3
-3.2
Net rating
+5.5
86.7
Offensive rating
93.9
89.9
Defensive rating
88.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.5%
3-point %
38.5%
65.0%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 93.9Defence89.9 · 88.4Shooting48.7% · 52.5%3-point %30.5% · 38.5%Ball care18.0% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
3
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Polzela v Gorica74-67
23/12/08Polzela v Gorica102-84
11/10/08Gorica v Polzela69-82
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26APolzela67-74
17/10/26HSencur70-76
10/10/26ARogaska80-67
03/10/26HHelios Domzale88-69
23/09/26APerspektiva Ilirija59-86
18/04/26HNovi Zagreb98-84
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HGorica74-67
17/10/26ATajfun Sentjur84-67
09/10/26ASencur81-96
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94
04/05/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-68
28/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija87-103
25/04/26HZlatorog Lasko87-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game72.879.068.7
Allowed / game74.472.575.7
Point differential-1.6+6.5-7.0
Avg total147.2151.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.080.579.7
Allowed / game67.658.074.0
Point differential+12.4+22.5+5.7
Avg total147.6138.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto660100%89.067.7+21.3
2 Perspektiva Ilirija65183%84.570.8+13.7
3 Polzela54180%80.067.6+12.4
4 Sencur54180%88.279.6+8.6
5 Zlatorog Lasko53260%72.677.0-4.4
6 Gorica52340%72.874.4-1.6
7 KK Triglav Kranj41325%74.873.8+1.0
8 Rogaska51420%65.485.6-20.2
9 Helios Domzale6060%67.081.2-14.2
10 Tajfun Sentjur5050%66.286.8-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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