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Gorica vs Polzela Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 14
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gorica v Polzela
16 Jan 2027
GORI v POLZ
upcoming
11 Oct 2008
GORI69
POLZ82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 73
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
56avg 73
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
no box
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 73
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
32-24
15-24
20-28
28-28
10-25
24-13
17-21
16-15
9-20
23-20
12-11
15-16
19-16
28-18
30-17
18-22
24-22
17-20
15-8
19-21
17-21
17-23
23-19
20-23
30-24
21-23
22-20
29-13
13-23
18-19
20-31
14-23
19-19
17-22
14-19
22-25
158.9Avg total
77.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.877.4153.1-1.650%
Season at home (3)86.775.0161.7+11.767%
Season away (5)69.278.8148.0-9.640%
Last 10 (10)77.781.2158.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.684.8156.4-13.114%
vs Similar (9)89.783.6173.2+6.167%
vs Weaker (7)86.975.7162.6+11.186%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 75
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 75
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 75
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
87-49
87
49
+38
90avg 75
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 75
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 75
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 75
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
25-29
20-22
14-20
22-25
21-21
13-16
24-16
26-14
25-10
13-24
21-17
15-16
39-17
24-24
17-18
18-23
21-18
15-22
23-30
20-23
30-17
25-17
23-20
15-11
156.6Avg total
80.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.872.2156.0+11.575%
Season at home (3)80.069.7149.7+10.367%
Season away (5)86.073.8159.8+12.280%
Last 10 (10)80.875.8156.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)85.674.8160.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.890.6169.4-11.815%
vs Similar (6)88.289.5177.7-1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.773.2160.9+14.582%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
GoricaPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/11
Prva Liga
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.182.6-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.543.287.7+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.643.078.6-7.46%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.742.779.4-6.07%-
vs Similar (9)42.145.887.9-3.733%-
vs Weaker (7)41.640.482.0+1.157%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
81.8Avg total
43.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.286.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.681.5+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.346.290.5-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.381.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.282.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.544.685.2-4.138%-
vs Similar (6)44.840.885.7+4.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.940.188.0+7.864%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.4
29.8%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.611.8
63.4%
70.0%11.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.6
49.1%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
70.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLWLWWLLLL
Polzela
WLWWWLWWLL
#5
League position
#2
-5.5
Net rating
+5.5
85.5
Offensive rating
93.9
91.0
Defensive rating
88.4
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.8%
3-point %
38.5%
65.3%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 93.9Defence91.0 · 88.4Shooting47.7% · 52.5%3-point %29.8% · 38.5%Ball care17.9% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
3
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Polzela v Gorica74-67
23/12/08Polzela v Gorica102-84
11/10/08Gorica v Polzela69-82
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMarsonia72-85
10/11/26AKK Krka Novo mesto65-96
07/11/26HKK Triglav Kranj102-80
07/11/26ADakovo77-86
31/10/26ATajfun Sentjur75-71
31/10/26HMladost95-73
25/10/26AHermes59-67
24/10/26APolzela67-74
18/10/26HJazine95-104
17/10/26HSencur70-76
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AZlatorog Lasko93-65
03/11/26HKK Krka Novo mesto79-93
31/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj98-82
24/10/26HGorica74-67
17/10/26ATajfun Sentjur84-67
09/10/26ASencur81-96
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.886.769.2
Allowed / game77.475.078.8
Point differential-1.6+11.7-9.6
Avg total153.1161.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game83.880.086.0
Allowed / game72.269.773.8
Point differential+11.5+10.3+12.2
Avg total156.0149.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%33%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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