Gotha vs Essen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 86-74

15-18 18-19 26-20 27-17

Position#7

Record7-6

FormWLLWW

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game69.7

Gotha 🏆

Essen

Position#15

Record3-10

FormLLLWL

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game83.5

Pro ARound 14

Other2016-17

Meetings · Gotha v Essen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gotha winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Essen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gotha

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

81-76

H09/10

Pro A

Hanau

#11

68-74

-6

A22/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

71-66

A25/10

Pro A

Trier

69-78

-9

A29/10

Pro A

Hamburg

64-75

-11

A04/11

Pro A

Paderborn

85-60

+25

H06/11

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

79-87

-8

A12/11

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

66-80

-14

H22/11

Pro A

Koln

#10

91-74

+17

H26/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

64-56

A04/12

Pro A

22-25

19-17

24-19

16-15

15-16

23-21

21-16

9-21

10-26

16-15

26-8

19-17

18-18

18-14

16-18

17-28

13-24

17-16

17-18

17-17

16-11

19-11

24-17

26-21

18-27

17-20

13-19

31-21

7-19

20-16

18-18

21-27

23-15

15-22

16-22

37-15

14-17

20-10

12-13

18-16

146.4Avg total

73.8Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.7	69.7	144.4	+5.0	54%
Season at home (6)	81.3	71.5	152.8	+9.8	67%
Season away (7)	69.0	68.1	137.1	+0.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	73.8	72.6	146.4	+1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	71.4	148.4	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	61.4	79.8	141.2	-18.4	0%
vs Similar (14)	73.7	71.1	144.8	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	77.5	62.8	140.4	+14.7	91%

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

70-85

-15

A08/10

Pro A

Hanau

#11

71-63

H15/10

Pro A

Hamburg

86-99

-13

A23/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

84-82

H29/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

58-70

-12

A04/11

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

66-78

-12

H06/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

59-87

-28

A13/11

Pro A

Paderborn

71-76

-5

H19/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

100-88

100

+12

A27/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

79-83

-4

H03/12

Pro A

18-20

13-30

17-25

22-10

18-11

13-24

15-16

25-12

23-23

18-27

24-24

21-25

27-15

15-26

19-14

23-27

21-12

14-18

16-22

7-18

14-15

18-14

18-22

16-27

20-24

8-25

17-16

14-22

16-23

22-19

20-14

13-20

27-31

25-19

26-22

22-16

21-23

17-22

19-24

22-14

155.5Avg total

74.4Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	73.2	83.5	156.8	-10.3	23%
Season at home (7)	73.4	81.4	154.9	-8.0	29%
Season away (6)	73.0	86.0	159.0	-13.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	74.4	81.1	155.5	-6.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	82.4	157.4	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	70.6	81.8	152.4	-11.2	18%
vs Similar (9)	70.8	79.0	149.8	-8.2	11%
vs Weaker (4)	83.0	74.5	157.5	+8.5	75%

This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GothaEssen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	16.4	35.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	19.3	35.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	19.8	35.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.8	33.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	21.0	36.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	17.6	15.6	33.3	+2.0	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	18.7	37.5	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.1	35.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.3	16.9	34.2	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.1	16.4	33.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	18.2	32.5	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.2	15.3	33.5	+2.9	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	15.9	20.7	36.6	-4.7	25%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	13.8	21.3	35.1	-7.5	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	22.4	38.7	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	15.8	21.2	37.1	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.7	20.7	36.3	-5.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	33%	-

GothaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kirchheim

41-42

-1

H09/10

Pro A

Hanau

#11

38-37

A22/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

26-41

-15

A25/10

Pro A

Trier

36-32

A29/10

Pro A

Hamburg

30-40

-10

A04/11

Pro A

Paderborn

35-22

+13

H06/11

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

35-47

-12

A12/11

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

27-35

-8

H22/11

Pro A

Koln

#10

38-37

H26/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

34-27

A04/12

Pro A

70.0Avg total

34.0Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.0	34.8	69.8	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	32.9	68.6	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	36.6	70.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	36.0	70.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	33.6	67.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.8	39.2	69.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	36.6	72.4	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	35.8	30.9	66.7	+4.9	64%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crailsheim Merlins

31-50

-19

A08/10

Pro A

Hanau

#11

31-35

-4

H15/10

Pro A

Hamburg

41-50

-9

A23/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

42-41

H29/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

35-30

A04/11

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

32-29

H06/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

28-49

-21

A13/11

Pro A

Paderborn

38-42

-4

H19/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

52-50

A27/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

38-45

-7

H03/12

Pro A

78.9Avg total

36.8Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	34.8	39.4	74.1	-4.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	38.2	73.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.2	40.7	74.8	-6.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	42.1	78.9	-5.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.5	40.4	73.9	-6.9	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.2	37.8	73.0	-2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	38.7	79.0	+1.7	67%	-

This opponent (Gotha) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	16.6	34.4	+1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	16.0	31.9	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.8	16.2	29.0	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	17.6	36.3	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.8	15.3	34.1	+3.5	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.5	19.8	38.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.5	37.3	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	21.4	39.5	-3.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	15.9	37.2	+5.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	16.9	34.8	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	20.0	46.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	16.9	36.1	+2.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.8	14.3	34.1	+5.5	91%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	17.8	35.5	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.1	19.2	36.2	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	33.0	70.4	+4.5	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	33.0	74.4	+8.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.8	32.9	66.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	36.6	76.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	37.8	81.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.8	37.0	69.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.9	34.5	72.4	+3.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	38.6	29.5	68.2	+9.1	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.0	39.5	75.5	-3.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	39.8	75.9	-3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.8	39.2	75.1	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.4	39.1	74.4	-3.7	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.6	41.2	76.8	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	37.0	77.7	+3.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gotha wins

Essen wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/16	Essen v Gotha	99-103 OT
14/11/15	Gotha v Essen	91-81
24/01/15	Gotha v Essen	63-52
18/10/14	Essen v Gotha	76-58
17/01/14	Essen v Gotha	80-85
09/11/13	Gotha v Essen	81-79

Gothalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/16	A	Heidelberg	64-56
26/11/16	H	Koln	91-74
22/11/16	H	Nurnberger	66-80
12/11/16	A	Mitteldeutscher	79-87
06/11/16	H	Paderborn	85-60
04/11/16	A	Hamburg	64-75
29/10/16	A	Trier	69-78
25/10/16	A	Baunach	71-66
22/10/16	A	Hanau	68-74
09/10/16	H	Kirchheim	81-76

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/16	H	Chemnitz	79-83
27/11/16	A	Dresden	100-88
19/11/16	H	Paderborn	71-76
13/11/16	A	Heidelberg	59-87
06/11/16	H	Ehingen	66-78
04/11/16	A	Baunach	58-70
29/10/16	H	Nurnberger	84-82
23/10/16	A	Hamburg	86-99
15/10/16	H	Hanau	71-63
08/10/16	A	Crailsheim Merlins	70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gotha

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	54%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	WLLLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	54%	67%	43%
Points / game	74.7	81.3	69.0
Allowed / game	69.7	71.5	68.1
Point differential	+5.0	+9.8	+0.9
Avg total	144.4	152.8	137.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Essen

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	23%
Home	WWLLL	29%
Away	LLLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	23%	29%	17%
Points / game	73.2	73.4	73.0
Allowed / game	83.5	81.4	86.0
Point differential	-10.3	-8.0	-13.0
Avg total	156.8	154.9	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	25% (4)	-
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	14	13	1	93%	86.3	70.2	+16.1
2	Kirchheim	14	11	3	79%	79.3	76.5	+2.8
3	Crailsheim Merlins	14	10	4	71%	81.9	74.0	+7.9
4	Chemnitz	14	10	4	71%	75.1	69.6	+5.5
5	Heidelberg	14	9	5	64%	69.9	66.5	+3.4
6	Hanau	14	8	6	57%	73.1	70.8	+2.3
7	Gotha	13	7	6	54%	74.7	69.7	+5.0
8	Trier	14	7	7	50%	74.4	71.8	+2.6
9	Paderborn	14	7	7	50%	79.9	79.1	+0.8
10	Koln	14	6	8	43%	76.6	76.4	+0.1
11	Hamburg	14	6	8	43%	72.6	72.9	-0.3
12	Nurnberger	14	5	9	36%	70.9	77.2	-6.3
13	Ehingen	15	5	10	33%	73.4	78.5	-5.1
14	Baunach	14	4	10	29%	70.9	79.1	-8.3
15	Essen	13	3	10	23%	73.2	83.5	-10.3
16	Dresden	15	1	14	7%	78.8	93.9	-15.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gotha	15	18	26	27	86
Essen	18	19	20	17	74

← all games of the day

Gotha vs Essen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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