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Gran Canaria vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 125-78
36-22 32-15 29-23 28-18
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#13
Record3-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game89.8
EuropeEurocupRound 5· Gran Canaria Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Ulm
22 Oct 2024
GKA125
ULM78
11 Oct 2023
GKA111
ULM82
08 Dec 2021
GKA81
ULM96
13 Dec 2017
GKA97
ULM84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-105
70
105
-35
63avg 77
A15/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
54avg 77
H17/05
ACB
Trento
#16
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 77
H24/09
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-71
91
71
+20
78avg 77
A28/09
ACB
Buducnost
#14
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
90avg 77
A02/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 77
H06/10
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
66-63
66
63
+3
61avg 77
H09/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
58-79
58
79
-21
39avg 77
A13/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
49avg 77
A15/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 77
H19/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
13-19
15-31
17-28
18-25
15-18
25-17
13-13
23-22
22-27
15-7
24-25
23-15
15-23
24-20
29-13
20-25
18-19
24-14
19-23
12-19
26-12
22-17
20-24
16-10
16-17
16-22
18-14
19-17
11-23
15-20
13-19
14-16
15-21
19-24
18-18
16-22
20-17
23-19
21-9
153.1Avg total
75.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.277.2153.5-1.075%
Season at home (2)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)77.582.5160.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)75.577.6153.1-2.160%
Last 5 (5)70.072.0142.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.679.4154.0-4.840%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.481.2165.6+3.260%
vs Weaker (14)83.080.9163.9+2.150%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 79
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
82avg 79
A22/09
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
90avg 79
A25/09
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 79
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 79
H01/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
60avg 79
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 79
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
100-103
100
103
-3
100avg 79
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
74-107
74
107
-33
60avg 79
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
66-93
66
93
-27
53avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
17-20
23-17
18-22
24-18
23-20
22-21
21-27
23-32
15-9
17-21
26-19
13-15
21-15
28-21
23-25
25-17
18-19
16-16
28-31
12-19
22-18
15-7
14-18
21-20
24-21
23-25
26-10
31-21
20-25
18-25
31-32
9-31
19-30
21-28
25-18
14-25
15-21
12-25
25-22
168.1Avg total
82.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.889.8177.5-2.075%
Season at home (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
Season away (3)88.092.0180.0-4.067%
Last 10 (10)82.785.4168.1-2.760%
Last 5 (5)79.488.2167.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.380.3155.7-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.880.1162.9+2.842%
vs Weaker (14)86.476.2162.6+10.193%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Gran CanariaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A15/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/05
ACB
Trento
#16
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/09
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A28/09
ACB
Buducnost
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/10
Eurocup
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H06/10
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H09/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H19/10
ACB
75.1Avg total
35.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.978.0+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.638.880.4+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)36.539.175.5-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.475.1-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.867.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.837.875.6+0.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.240.778.9-2.530%-
vs Weaker (14)40.438.678.9+1.843%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A22/09
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/09
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A19/10
BBL
79.2Avg total
38.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.080.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.939.181.0+2.862%-
Last 30 away (17)40.040.680.6-0.659%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.279.2-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.283.6-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.337.372.7-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.043.883.8-3.850%-
vs Weaker (14)42.036.978.9+5.171%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
53.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
76.0%12.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.7
50.8%
53.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.8
37.4%
34.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.015.5
70.5%
76.0%15.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
WLLWWWWWLL
Ulm
LLLWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#13
-3.2
Net rating
-4.9
104.4
Offensive rating
107.5
107.7
Defensive rating
112.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.8%
3-point %
37.4%
54.3%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 107.5Defence107.7 · 112.4Shooting51.0% · 53.2%3-point %33.8% · 37.4%Ball care18.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.5% · 31.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gran Canaria wins
3
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
12/12/23Ulm v Gran Canaria103-99 OT
11/10/23Gran Canaria v Ulm111-82
15/03/22Ulm v Gran Canaria93-94
08/12/21Gran Canaria v Ulm81-96
13/12/17Gran Canaria v Ulm97-84
25/10/17Ulm v Gran Canaria97-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HBilbao80-67
15/10/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv66-79
13/10/24AManresa58-79
09/10/24HBahcesehir Kol.66-63
06/10/24HLeyma Coruna80-72
02/10/24ABuducnost89-86 OT
28/09/24AMoraBanc Andorra91-71
24/09/24HTrento84-81
17/05/24HReal Madrid71-73
15/05/24AReal Madrid70-105
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AOldenburg66-93
14/10/24ABesiktas74-107
12/10/24ABamberg100-103
08/10/24ABC Wolves94-76
05/10/24HLudwigsburg63-62
01/10/24HJoventut Badalona87-83
28/09/24HWurzburg85-76
25/09/24ATrefl Sopot96-93 OT
22/09/24AChemnitz90-86
24/05/24AWurzburg72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game76.275.077.5
Allowed / game77.272.082.5
Point differential-1.0+3.0-5.0
Avg total153.5147.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Ulm
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game87.887.088.0
Allowed / game89.883.092.0
Point differential-2.0+4.0-4.0
Avg total177.5170.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia440100%98.880.2+18.5
2 JL Bourg54180%83.873.2+10.6
3 Bahcesehir Kol.43175%85.067.8+17.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%81.274.0+7.2
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%86.078.8+7.2
6 Turk Telekom43175%70.266.5+3.8
7 Cedevita Olimpija43175%81.579.5+2.0
8 Gran Canaria43175%76.277.2-1.0
9 Ulm43175%87.889.8-2.0
10 Besiktas53260%87.282.8+4.4
11 Buducnost42250%84.882.5+2.2
12 BC Wolves52340%82.883.6-0.8
13 Venezia52340%81.284.6-3.4
14 Joventut Badalona52340%75.680.6-5.0
15 Cluj-Napoca41325%89.587.2+2.2
16 Aris41325%74.578.8-4.2
17 Trento41325%74.889.2-14.5
18 Lietkabelis51420%74.082.8-8.8
19 Trefl Sopot5050%83.889.8-6.0
20 Hamburg5050%73.495.4-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria36322928125
Ulm2215231878
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