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Ulm vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-76
13-15 21-15 28-21 23-25
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.0
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 2· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Wurzburg
27 Sep 2026
ULM67
WUR90
29 Dec 2025
ULM66
WUR61
12 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR84
07 Jun 2025
ULM99
WUR86
01 Jun 2025
ULM91
WUR87
28 Sep 2024
ULM85
WUR76
20 May 2024
ULM100
WUR64
18 May 2024
ULM65
WUR78
23 Mar 2024
ULM87
WUR79
14 Jan 2023
ULM84
WUR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 80
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 80
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
95avg 80
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 80
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 80
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
100-64
100
64
+36
98avg 80
H20/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 80
A22/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 80
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
82avg 80
A22/09
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
90avg 80
A25/09
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-18
13-27
25-17
24-17
18-14
18-15
13-11
19-18
20-10
21-27
31-19
23-21
22-11
14-21
18-19
20-23
18-17
18-18
9-20
22-22
28-17
26-11
24-14
18-20
16-24
23-20
22-18
14-16
17-20
23-17
18-22
24-18
23-20
22-21
21-27
23-32
15-9
17-21
26-19
157.9Avg total
81.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.776.2157.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)87.480.0167.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
vs Similar (13)82.681.3163.9+1.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.877.6166.5+11.292%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
97avg 73
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
98-84
98
84
+14
89avg 73
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 73
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 73
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
64-100
64
100
-36
52avg 73
A20/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
80avg 73
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
72avg 73
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
67avg 73
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
64avg 73
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
55avg 73
H02/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
30-21
22-20
26-27
24-17
20-18
29-24
25-25
18-14
6-24
18-19
24-22
23-20
17-18
18-18
20-9
22-22
17-28
11-26
14-24
20-18
24-16
20-23
18-22
16-14
20-17
17-23
22-18
11-21
16-28
23-25
26-17
21-22
23-26
16-25
15-26
18-12
15-26
13-22
15-15
161.0Avg total
77.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.583.5161.0-6.050%
Last 5 (5)73.883.2157.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.086.8158.8-14.80%
vs Similar (12)83.282.6165.8+0.675%
vs Weaker (13)92.580.6173.2+11.985%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
UlmWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H20/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A22/09
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/09
Eurocup
76.6Avg total
40.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.082.8+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.542.586.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (18)42.238.480.6+3.867%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.676.6+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.679.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (13)41.742.584.2-0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.838.182.8+6.777%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A18/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A20/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H22/05
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A29/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A31/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H02/06
BBL
78.8Avg total
38.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.381.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.537.680.1+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.882.8-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.578.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.076.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.843.676.4-10.80%-
vs Similar (12)42.840.683.3+2.258%-
vs Weaker (13)42.938.881.8+4.162%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.1
55.7%
52.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.5
32.6%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.813.8
73.4%
73.5%13.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.3
52.9%
52.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.1
35.3%
33.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.7
75.7%
73.5%13.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLWLWWWL
Wurzburg
LLLWWLWLWW
#2
League position
#5
+6.6
Net rating
-9.8
106.9
Offensive rating
107.9
100.3
Defensive rating
117.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
35.3%
62.6%
Assist %
51.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 107.9Defence100.3 · 117.7Shooting52.6% · 52.9%3-point %32.6% · 35.3%Ball care18.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
24/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm75-72
22/05/24Wurzburg v Ulm82-79
20/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg100-64
18/05/24Ulm v Wurzburg65-78
23/03/24Ulm v Wurzburg87-79
19/11/23Wurzburg v Ulm83-88
14/10/23Wurzburg v Ulm72-76
03/03/23Wurzburg v Ulm62-82
14/01/23Ulm v Wurzburg84-91
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24ATrefl Sopot96-93 OT
22/09/24AChemnitz90-86
24/05/24AWurzburg72-75
22/05/24AWurzburg79-82
20/05/24HWurzburg100-64
18/05/24HWurzburg65-78
12/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig77-72
09/05/24HOldenburg91-74
04/05/24AHeidelberg73-57
01/05/24HBayern74-81
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24HBayern61-75
31/05/24ABayern75-99
29/05/24ABayern76-91
24/05/24HUlm75-72
22/05/24HUlm82-79
20/05/24AUlm64-100
18/05/24AUlm78-65
12/05/24AChemnitz66-79
08/05/24HHeidelberg98-84
05/05/24ABonn100-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt110100%100.072.0+28.0
2 Oldenburg110100%105.082.0+23.0
3 Basketball Braunschweig110100%96.077.0+19.0
4 Hamburg110100%97.080.0+17.0
5 Ludwigsburg110100%78.070.0+8.0
6 Vechta110100%83.075.0+8.0
7 Ulm110100%90.086.0+4.0
8 Rostock110100%87.084.0+3.0
9 Bayern21150%71.568.5+3.0
10 Syntainics MBC1010%84.087.0-3.0
11 Bonn1010%75.083.0-8.0
12 Chemnitz2020%72.581.5-9.0
13 Alba Berlin1010%80.097.0-17.0
14 Bamberg1010%77.096.0-19.0
15 Heidelberg1010%82.0105.0-23.0
16 Gottingen1010%72.0100.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1321282385
Wurzburg1515212576
← all games of the day
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