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Ulm vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-99 (OT)
20-24 24-25 24-17 18-20 17-13
Position#9
Record7-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game84.9
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record10-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeEurocupRound 11· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Ulm v Gran Canaria
07 Jan 2025
ULM76
GKA83
12 Dec 2023
ULM103
GKA99
15 Mar 2022
ULM93
GKA94
25 Oct 2017
ULM97
GKA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
58avg 81
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 81
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
W
99-88 OT
99
88
+11
108avg 81
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-87
94
87
+7
47avg 81
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 81
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
89-107
89
107
-18
87avg 81
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 81
A06/12
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
79avg 81
A09/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
10-25
24-13
27-22
23-16
24-25
21-28
19-18
23-19
14-18
22-11
25-19
25-19
20-22
19-15
24-27
19-21
22-21
14-17
26-22
25-29
23-18
19-21
27-19
17-17
16-36
20-15
31-21
18-28
34-27
18-29
19-23
21-13
22-29
20-21
22-20
22-20
17-19
30-21
18-18
174.5Avg total
88.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.784.9173.6+3.870%
Season at home (5)91.080.6171.6+10.480%
Season away (5)86.489.2175.6-2.860%
Last 10 (10)88.386.2174.5+2.170%
Last 5 (5)87.888.8176.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.586.2170.8-1.862%
vs Similar (15)88.583.0171.5+5.587%
vs Weaker (7)97.389.6186.9+7.786%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#15
W
82-69
82
69
+13
79avg 80
A08/11
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
89-75
89
75
+14
77avg 80
H12/11
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 80
H15/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 80
A18/11
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
85avg 80
A21/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
82-94 OT
82
94
-12
no box
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 80
H29/11
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
100-73
100
73
+27
94avg 80
H03/12
ACB
Aris
#11
W
93-65
93
65
+28
94avg 80
H06/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
48avg 80
A10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
28-18
17-11
22-16
29-14
16-17
25-23
19-21
23-16
22-11
23-20
13-30
27-23
20-19
28-31
26-21
32-20
13-23
15-11
32-16
16-16
13-29
18-13
27-16
28-23
21-21
26-10
22-16
22-13
24-23
32-19
22-18
29-17
20-21
23-12
21-15
14-31
23-23
16-20
18-23
167.2Avg total
88.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.772.5162.2+17.2100%
Season at home (6)92.374.5166.8+17.8100%
Season away (4)85.869.5155.2+16.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.878.4167.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)88.679.8168.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.791.0167.7-14.317%
vs Similar (7)80.683.3163.9-2.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.378.5166.8+9.882%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
UlmGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A08/11
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A11/11
BBL
Buducnost
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/11
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/11
BBL
Aris
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/11
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H29/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H03/12
BBL
Trento
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/12
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A09/12
German Cup
85.7Avg total
40.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.887.0+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.643.790.3+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.841.983.7-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.885.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.290.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.644.585.1-3.938%-
vs Similar (15)43.140.883.9+2.367%-
vs Weaker (7)50.745.195.9+5.686%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/11
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/11
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H15/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A18/11
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/11
Eurocup
Palencia
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/12
ACB
Aris
#11
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H06/12
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
ACB
83.7Avg total
43.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.983.4+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.838.283.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)39.744.083.7-4.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.283.7+3.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.485.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.585.0-8.017%-
vs Similar (7)41.738.980.6+2.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.139.883.9+4.382%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.2
59.6%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
74.5%15.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.1
58.3%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
35.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
74.5%14.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLWWWWWL
Gran Canaria
LWWWLWWWWW
#9
League position
#6
+5.0
Net rating
+17.0
114.0
Offensive rating
117.9
109.0
Defensive rating
100.8
57.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
35.0%
66.4%
Assist %
70.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 117.9Defence109.0 · 100.8Shooting57.2% · 55.7%3-point %35.6% · 35.0%Ball care18.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
3
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Gran Canaria v Ulm111-82
15/03/22Ulm v Gran Canaria93-94
08/12/21Gran Canaria v Ulm81-96
13/12/17Gran Canaria v Ulm97-84
25/10/17Ulm v Gran Canaria97-87
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AChemnitz87-78
06/12/23ATrento85-83
03/12/23HRostock89-107
29/11/23HJL Bourg84-89
25/11/23HCrailsheim Merlins94-87
22/11/23AAris99-88 OT
19/11/23AWurzburg88-83
14/11/23HBuducnost84-67
11/11/23AOldenburg98-94 OT
08/11/23ACluj-Napoca75-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AReal Madrid71-97
06/12/23HAris93-65
03/12/23HPalencia100-73
29/11/23HBuducnost97-70
26/11/23HTenerife82-94 OT
21/11/23ACluj-Napoca92-70
18/11/23ABasket Zaragoza101-94
15/11/23HSlask Wroclaw81-77
12/11/23HGranada89-75
08/11/23ATurk Telekom82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game88.791.086.4
Allowed / game84.980.689.2
Point differential+3.8+10.4-2.8
Avg total173.6171.6175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Gran Canaria
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.792.385.8
Allowed / game72.574.569.5
Point differential+17.2+17.8+16.2
Avg total162.2166.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria10100100%89.772.5+17.2
2 Paris109190%97.480.8+16.6
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv108280%95.086.3+8.7
4 JL Bourg108280%83.077.0+6.0
5 London Lions108280%93.488.3+5.1
6 Cluj-Napoca118373%84.279.3+4.9
7 Ulm107370%88.784.9+3.8
8 Besiktas106460%78.474.6+3.8
9 Joventut Badalona105550%86.285.1+1.1
10 Prometey105550%85.486.5-1.1
11 Venezia104640%82.781.7+1.0
12 Lietkabelis104640%85.288.6-3.4
13 Buducnost104640%78.482.3-3.9
14 Trento104640%80.185.7-5.6
15 BC Wolves104640%84.591.3-6.8
16 Aris103730%69.775.2-5.5
17 Turk Telekom102820%77.884.2-6.4
18 Hamburg101910%78.396.9-18.6
19 Slask Wroclaw111109%76.283.1-6.9
20 Cedevita Olimpija100100%80.990.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm2024241817103
Gran Canaria242517201399
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