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Great Britain vs Sweden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 59-78
13-19 17-16 17-26 12-17
Position#20
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Sweden 🏆
Position#21
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game99.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Great Britain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Great BritainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBritain
Date
Competition
Belgium
#35
L
59-88
59
88
-29
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
83-101
83
101
-18
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#37
W
98-94
98
94
+4
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
73-72
73
72
+1
69avg 67
H21/11
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 67
A24/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
73-69
73
69
+4
58avg 67
A21/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
96-75
96
75
+21
93avg 67
H24/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 67
H27/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
79-109
79
109
-30
68avg 67
A29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
10-23
13-20
20-26
20-28
21-18
19-28
23-27
28-23
27-18
16-25
27-28
25-24
22-25
15-19
20-22
16-26
17-15
18-10
22-21
15-17
17-23
18-17
17-20
20-14
11-15
18-21
24-19
23-15
17-20
32-18
24-22
15-23
18-18
17-24
20-29
21-30
21-28
14-23
23-28
164.9Avg total
78.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.5101.5176.0-27.00%
Season at home (1)70.094.0164.0-24.00%
Season away (1)79.0109.0188.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)78.086.9164.9-8.940%
Last 5 (5)77.084.8161.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.785.9155.6-16.211%
vs Similar (8)78.876.0154.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (4)81.580.5162.0+1.075%
This opponent (Sweden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSweden
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
71-72
71
72
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 70
H22/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
73avg 70
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
88avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
90-93
90
93
-3
90avg 70
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
67avg 70
A29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-19
14-17
21-16
16-17
14-11
14-15
27-29
29-22
21-21
12-12
22-15
24-27
13-23
20-25
13-20
26-18
11-19
18-19
18-16
19-23
12-18
17-19
13-20
22-25
17-9
15-24
16-12
20-14
12-19
21-18
19-21
21-26
27-23
24-23
18-21
17-27
25-32
24-25
17-21
158.5Avg total
76.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.599.0185.5-12.50%
Season at home (1)90.093.0183.0-3.00%
Season away (1)83.0105.0188.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)76.182.4158.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)79.488.4167.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.381.5153.8-9.225%
vs Similar (4)84.286.5170.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.073.6156.6+9.464%
This opponent (Great Britain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Great BritainSweden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Great BritainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#35
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H24/02
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#37
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H23/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/11
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A24/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A29/08
EuroBasket
80.2Avg total
38.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.577.6-3.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.640.576.1-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.579.1-2.027%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.280.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.676.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.641.476.0-6.86%-
vs Similar (8)39.641.080.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)43.035.878.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Sweden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SwedenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A24/02
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Bulgaria
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H27/08
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A29/08
EuroBasket
79.1Avg total
37.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.877.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.974.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.779.9-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.479.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.643.479.0-7.817%-
vs Similar (4)41.840.081.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.134.574.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Great Britain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Great Britaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Great Britain: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.8
47.2%
52.4%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws25.118.8
74.6%
73.1%18.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Swedentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.5
48.5%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
35.8%
33.4%29.2
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.4%
73.1%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Great Britain
LLWWLWLWLL
Sweden
LLWLLWLWLL
#20
League position
#21
-7.1
Net rating
-9.5
101.5
Offensive rating
106.2
108.6
Defensive rating
115.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
21.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
35.8%
67.8%
Assist %
64.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 106.2Defence108.6 · 115.7Shooting50.8% · 50.8%3-point %37.1% · 35.8%Ball care21.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds26.3% · 27.1%Free throws0.43 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Great Britain   ■ Sweden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Great Britain wins
0
Sweden wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25AFinland79-109
27/08/25HLithuania70-94
24/02/25HCzech Republic96-75
21/02/25ANetherlands73-69
24/11/24AGreece67-77
21/11/24HGreece73-72
26/02/24ACzech Republic82-90
23/02/24HNetherlands98-94
27/02/23ASerbia83-101
24/02/23HBelgium59-88
Swedenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25AGermany83-105
27/08/25HFinland90-93
23/02/25HMontenegro86-83 OT
20/02/25ABulgaria77-81 OT
25/11/24AGermany61-80
22/11/24HGermany73-72
25/02/24AMontenegro70-95
22/02/24HBulgaria84-70
27/02/23HEstonia71-72
24/02/23AGermany66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Great Britain
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.570.079.0
Allowed / game101.594.0109.0
Point differential-27.0-24.0-30.0
Avg total176.0164.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game86.590.083.0
Allowed / game99.093.0105.0
Point differential-12.5-3.0-22.0
Avg total185.5183.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France110100%92.064.0+28.0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Serbia220100%89.066.5+22.5
5 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
6 Finland220100%101.084.5+16.5
7 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
8 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
9 Greece110100%75.066.0+9.0
10 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
14 Latvia21150%72.581.5-9.0
15 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
16 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
17 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
18 Slovenia1010%95.0105.0-10.0
19 Sweden2020%86.599.0-12.5
20 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
21 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
22 Cyprus1010%64.091.0-27.0
23 Great Britain2020%74.5101.5-27.0
24 Montenegro2020%71.5100.0-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Great Britain1317171259
Sweden1916261778
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