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Greece vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 70-74
16-19 15-16 15-22 24-17
Position-
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Italy 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2023
Meetings · Greece v Italy
28 Aug 2025
GREE75
ITAL66
10 Aug 2023
GREE70
ITAL74
03 Sep 2022
GREE85
ITAL81
24 Aug 2017
GREE73
ITAL70
29 Aug 2013
GREE79
ITAL65
25 Aug 2011
GREE81
ITAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H03/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A05/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H06/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A08/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H11/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A13/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#3
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H11/11
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A14/11
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
H24/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
24-23
24-17
14-24
24-17
22-26
25-17
22-17
23-20
16-26
32-11
28-22
27-21
24-15
26-13
13-20
20-20
21-25
22-22
31-21
27-31
34-26
10-26
25-24
13-16
15-20
17-27
15-17
19-19
12-15
27-21
14-15
8-15
22-24
25-23
25-18
8-18
24-15
9-19
16-15
165.3Avg total
84.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.381.0165.3+3.370%
Last 5 (5)76.483.2159.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.785.7168.4-3.043%
vs Similar (12)80.578.1158.6+2.475%
vs Weaker (11)86.277.5163.6+8.782%
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A03/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A05/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H06/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A08/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A11/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
A14/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#7
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H11/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A14/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-24
17-24
24-14
21-16
21-22
15-19
16-27
22-17
20-17
13-25
26-17
29-20
18-17
20-17
23-2
20-28
25-23
21-17
28-18
20-27
11-11
31-18
15-21
18-22
15-14
16-19
21-15
24-19
19-21
17-18
25-26
23-21
20-22
15-14
27-18
13-16
20-13
19-15
20-24
162.5Avg total
83.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.079.5162.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)82.281.6163.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.784.9166.6-3.129%
vs Similar (11)89.187.2176.3+1.964%
vs Weaker (12)87.376.9164.2+10.483%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
GreeceItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A08/09
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H11/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A13/09
EuroBasket
Latvia
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H11/11
World Cup
Belgium
#35
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/11
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H24/02
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
World Cup
81.5Avg total
40.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.679.5+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.839.179.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.981.5-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.039.978.9-0.943%-
vs Similar (12)41.339.380.7+2.058%-
vs Weaker (11)40.238.979.1+1.355%-
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A05/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A14/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H11/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/02
World Cup
79.2Avg total
39.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.984.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.140.384.4+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.583.7+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.379.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.273.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.140.681.7+0.643%-
vs Similar (11)41.941.583.5+0.455%-
vs Weaker (12)45.740.486.1+5.267%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Greece wins
1
Italy wins
DateGameScore
03/09/22Greece v Italy85-81
24/08/17Greece v Italy73-70 OT
29/08/13Greece v Italy79-65
25/08/11Greece v Italy81-82 OT
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/23ALatvia57-67
24/02/23HSerbia97-92 OT
14/11/22ABelgium72-70
11/11/22HLatvia60-80
13/09/22AGermany96-107
11/09/22HCzech Republic94-88
08/09/22AEstonia90-69
06/09/22HUkraine99-79
05/09/22AGreat Britain93-77
03/09/22HItaly85-81
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ASpain72-68
23/02/23HUkraine85-75
14/11/22AGeorgia85-84
11/11/22HSpain84-88 OT
14/09/22AFrance85-93 OT
11/09/22ASerbia94-86
08/09/22AGreat Britain90-56
06/09/22HCroatia81-76
05/09/22AUkraine73-84
03/09/22AGreece81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
Friendly International 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Italy
Friendly International 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece1615152470
Italy1916221774
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