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Grindavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-78
24-19 19-24 18-20 22-15
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#8
Record6-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game89.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 14
Other2025-26
Meetings · Grindavik v Alftanes
04 Mar 2027
GRIN v ALFT
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
GRIN83
ALFT78
12 Feb 2025
GRIN92
ALFT94
21 Jan 2024
GRIN79
ALFT90
11 Jan 2024
GRIN87
ALFT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grindavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
104-92
104
92
+12
103avg 85
H07/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
83avg 85
A13/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
91-75
91
75
+16
81avg 85
H20/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
67-118
67
118
-51
46avg 85
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
105-85
105
85
+20
102avg 85
H11/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 85
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
104avg 85
A18/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
124-123 OT
124
123
+1
110avg 85
A04/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
86avg 85
A08/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
66avg 85
A11/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
26-22
22-26
29-19
26-28
19-15
21-11
21-24
27-14
24-16
23-21
17-24
27-24
20-33
15-31
5-30
22-23
31-17
25-27
27-18
25-17
24-20
15-21
22-19
19-23
26-28
26-24
35-19
27-28
24-25
20-30
42-30
25-23
20-26
21-21
28-21
20-32
11-25
27-21
19-22
187.4Avg total
94.1Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)96.288.7184.8+7.592%
Season at home (6)100.587.3187.8+13.2100%
Season away (7)92.489.9182.3+2.686%
Last 10 (10)94.193.3187.4+0.880%
Last 5 (5)97.497.0194.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)91.091.4182.4-0.443%
vs Similar (11)88.690.4179.0-1.773%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)100.589.1189.6+11.591%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 87
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
108-89
108
89
+19
106avg 87
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 87
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
71avg 87
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
78-137
78
137
-59
58avg 87
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 87
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
104-108
104
108
-4
96avg 87
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
110-75
110
75
+35
122avg 87
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
101avg 87
H09/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
27-20
22-20
17-24
23-27
24-21
34-16
27-25
27-25
14-16
13-27
26-24
20-28
25-27
19-27
26-19
23-26
19-18
24-20
20-33
26-33
27-40
14-25
11-39
21-26
25-19
15-26
13-23
35-23
13-28
28-34
28-23
18-13
27-18
27-23
38-21
28-22
15-23
24-15
30-15
188.0Avg total
92.0Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.389.2181.5+3.146%
Season at home (6)94.590.2184.7+4.367%
Season away (7)90.488.4178.9+2.029%
Last 10 (10)92.096.0188.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)92.697.8190.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)90.7100.3191.0-9.643%
vs Similar (8)96.292.8189.0+3.562%
vs Weaker (7)99.079.1178.1+19.971%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
GrindavikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H07/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H20/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H11/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A04/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A11/01
Icelandic Cup
93.4Avg total
47.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.446.392.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.745.895.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)43.146.989.9-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.493.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.249.493.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.747.191.9-2.443%-
vs Similar (11)45.548.594.0-2.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.044.592.5+3.555%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H09/01
Premier league
94.5Avg total
46.4Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.045.693.6+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.346.697.9+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)45.244.889.9+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)46.448.194.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.096.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)48.149.697.6-1.543%-
vs Similar (8)48.245.593.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (7)48.037.985.9+10.157%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.2
30.9%
34.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.118.6
77.2%
74.2%18.6
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.0
54.8%
54.6%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.9
31.4%
34.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.1
68.6%
74.2%15.1
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Grindavik
LWWWWWLWWW
Alftanes
WWLLLLLLWW
#1
League position
#8
+0.6
Net rating
-4.5
105.9
Offensive rating
108.2
105.2
Defensive rating
112.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.9%
3-point %
31.4%
62.7%
Assist %
61.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 108.2Defence105.2 · 112.7Shooting49.5% · 51.8%3-point %30.9% · 31.4%Ball care13.7% · 14.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 28.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Grindavik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Grindavik wins
4
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
16/10/25Alftanes v Grindavik70-79
12/02/25Grindavik v Alftanes92-94
14/11/24Alftanes v Grindavik90-88
21/01/24Grindavik v Alftanes79-90
11/01/24Grindavik v Alftanes87-84
12/10/23Alftanes v Grindavik86-79
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AStjarnan77-100
08/01/26AAkranes IA94-91
04/01/26ANjardvik124-123 OT
18/12/25AThorl106-94
14/12/25HArmann86-77
11/12/25HArmann105-85
07/12/25AStjarnan67-118
20/11/25HTindastoll91-75
13/11/25AIR Reykjavik87-78
07/11/25HKeflavik104-92
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HThorl97-75
03/01/26AArmann110-75
19/12/25AStjarnan104-108
15/12/25AStjarnan74-94
12/12/25HTindastoll78-137
05/12/25AIR Reykjavik86-97
21/11/25AKeflavik90-101
14/11/25AValur80-92
06/11/25HKR Basket108-89
30/10/25HNjardvik93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grindavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game96.2100.592.4
Allowed / game88.787.389.9
Point differential+7.5+13.2+2.6
Avg total184.8187.8182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%83%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW46%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game92.394.590.4
Allowed / game89.290.288.4
Point differential+3.1+4.3+2.0
Avg total181.5184.7178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1312192%96.288.7+7.5
2 Tindastoll1310377%102.888.9+13.9
3 Stjarnan149564%101.893.9+7.9
4 Valur149564%92.591.4+1.1
5 Keflavik138562%93.890.8+2.9
6 KR Basket147750%99.697.4+2.2
7 Alftanes136746%92.389.2+3.1
8 IR Reykjavik146843%88.991.5-2.6
9 Njardvik145936%95.795.7+0.0
10 Thorl1441029%92.399.1-6.9
11 Akranes IA1431121%86.699.4-12.8
12 Armann1431121%86.9101.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Grindavik2419182283
Alftanes1924201578
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