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Stjarnan vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 108-104
23-35 28-13 34-28 23-28
Position#3
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#8
Record4-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game90.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 11· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stjarnan v Alftanes
30 Mar 2027
STJA v ALFT
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
STJA108
ALFT104
15 Dec 2025
STJA94
ALFT74
07 Mar 2025
STJA116
ALFT76
01 Dec 2023
STJA84
ALFT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 87
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
53avg 87
A17/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
54avg 87
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
95-96
95
96
-1
81avg 87
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
105-101
105
101
+4
97avg 87
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
114-88
114
88
+26
118avg 87
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
97-99
97
99
-2
92avg 87
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
118-67
118
67
+51
123avg 87
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
115-85
115
85
+30
129avg 87
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
W
94-74
94
74
+20
88avg 87
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
27-12
22-20
19-25
23-21
16-27
19-18
13-26
25-17
21-27
18-26
27-23
24-29
15-34
28-15
28-18
32-26
29-20
19-32
25-23
33-25
28-38
30-12
23-13
22-25
31-25
30-24
14-25
24-27
33-20
31-15
30-5
36-19
31-24
26-20
22-22
26-21
19-25
26-15
23-13
188.0Avg total
99.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)99.891.4191.2+8.450%
Season at home (4)104.284.8189.0+19.575%
Season away (6)96.895.8192.7+1.033%
Last 10 (10)99.488.6188.0+10.860%
Last 5 (5)107.682.6190.2+25.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)96.789.7186.3+7.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.791.2186.9+4.455%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 83
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 83
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
59avg 83
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 83
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
108-89
108
89
+19
106avg 83
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 83
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
71avg 83
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
78-137
78
137
-59
58avg 83
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 83
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
20-13
22-20
25-21
14-18
28-21
12-22
16-18
21-17
18-14
13-23
22-22
27-28
27-20
22-20
17-24
23-27
24-21
34-16
27-25
27-25
14-16
13-27
26-24
20-28
25-27
19-27
26-19
23-26
19-18
24-20
20-33
26-33
27-40
14-25
11-39
21-26
25-19
15-26
13-23
176.9Avg total
84.2Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.990.2179.1-1.340%
Season at home (5)94.093.2187.2+0.860%
Season away (5)83.887.2171.0-3.420%
Last 10 (10)84.292.7176.9-8.530%
Last 5 (5)81.6104.2185.8-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)88.698.4187.0-9.743%
vs Similar (10)93.992.9186.8+1.050%
vs Weaker (5)97.280.8178.0+16.460%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
StjarnanAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
101.7Avg total
52.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.347.697.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.447.096.4+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)49.348.297.5+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)52.149.6101.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.649.8106.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)46.950.197.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.646.697.2+4.065%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H12/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
90.4Avg total
45.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.945.993.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.746.497.1+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)45.145.390.4-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)45.145.390.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.451.697.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)47.548.596.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (10)47.846.394.1+1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)49.637.887.4+11.860%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 98.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.628.0
57.6%
54.6%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.1
28.9%
34.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.918.1
72.7%
74.2%18.1
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.3
54.5%
54.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.5
29.8%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.212.6
62.4%
74.2%12.6
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWWLWWLLLW
Alftanes
LLLLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#8
+12.5
Net rating
-3.2
113.6
Offensive rating
107.3
101.1
Defensive rating
110.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.9%
3-point %
29.8%
65.1%
Assist %
54.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 107.3Defence101.1 · 110.5Shooting52.4% · 50.7%3-point %28.9% · 29.8%Ball care15.3% · 14.1%Off. rebounds31.6% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stjarnan wins
2
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
15/12/25Stjarnan v Alftanes94-74
07/03/25Stjarnan v Alftanes116-76
19/01/25Alftanes v Stjarnan88-100
06/12/24Alftanes v Stjarnan77-97
14/03/24Alftanes v Stjarnan86-77
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25HAlftanes94-74
11/12/25AAkranes IA115-85
07/12/25HGrindavik118-67
20/11/25AThorl97-99
13/11/25HArmann114-88
06/11/25ANjardvik105-101
31/10/25ATindastoll95-96
24/10/25HIR Reykjavik91-93
17/10/25AKeflavik71-92
11/10/25HValur94-91
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25AStjarnan74-94
12/12/25HTindastoll78-137
05/12/25AIR Reykjavik86-97
21/11/25AKeflavik90-101
14/11/25AValur80-92
06/11/25HKR Basket108-89
30/10/25HNjardvik93-92
24/10/25AAkranes IA74-76
16/10/25HGrindavik70-79
09/10/25AThorl89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game99.8104.296.8
Allowed / game91.484.895.8
Point differential+8.4+19.5+1.0
Avg total191.2189.0192.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game88.994.083.8
Allowed / game90.293.287.2
Point differential-1.3+0.8-3.4
Avg total179.1187.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1110191%93.885.4+8.5
2 Tindastoll119282%103.487.1+16.3
3 Keflavik118373%94.188.7+5.4
4 Valur118373%91.689.3+2.4
5 Stjarnan105550%99.891.4+8.4
6 KR Basket115645%97.395.4+1.9
7 Alftanes104640%88.990.2-1.3
8 Njardvik114736%97.696.5+1.2
9 IR Reykjavik114736%89.294.1-4.9
10 Thorl113827%89.999.1-9.2
11 Akranes IA113827%88.6100.7-12.1
12 Armann112918%86.8102.6-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan23283423108
Alftanes35132828104
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