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Stjarnan vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-74
26-21 19-25 26-15 23-13
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
IcelandIcelandic Cup· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Stjarnan v Alftanes
30 Mar 2027
STJA v ALFT
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
STJA108
ALFT104
15 Dec 2025
STJA94
ALFT74
07 Mar 2025
STJA116
ALFT76
01 Dec 2023
STJA84
ALFT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
81avg 87
A02/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 87
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
53avg 87
A17/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
91-93
91
93
-2
54avg 87
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
95-96
95
96
-1
81avg 87
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
105-101
105
101
+4
97avg 87
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
114-88
114
88
+26
118avg 87
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
97-99
97
99
-2
92avg 87
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
118-67
118
67
+51
123avg 87
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
115-85
115
85
+30
129avg 87
A11/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
29-14
23-23
16-25
26-34
27-12
22-20
19-25
23-21
16-27
19-18
13-26
25-17
21-27
18-26
27-23
24-29
15-34
28-15
28-18
32-26
29-20
19-32
25-23
33-25
28-38
30-12
23-13
22-25
31-25
30-24
14-25
24-27
33-20
31-15
30-5
36-19
31-24
26-20
22-22
191.2Avg total
99.8Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.891.4191.2+8.450%
Last 5 (5)109.888.0197.8+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)96.789.7186.3+7.044%
vs Weaker (21)95.290.9186.0+4.357%
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
W
121-69
121
69
+52
119avg 84
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 84
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 84
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
59avg 84
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 84
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
108-89
108
89
+19
106avg 84
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 84
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-97
86
97
-11
71avg 84
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
78-137
78
137
-59
58avg 84
H12/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-13
37-17
23-21
25-18
22-16
20-13
22-20
25-21
14-18
28-21
12-22
16-18
21-17
18-14
13-23
22-22
27-28
27-20
22-20
17-24
23-27
24-21
34-16
27-25
27-25
14-16
13-27
26-24
20-28
25-27
19-27
26-19
23-26
19-18
24-20
20-33
26-33
27-40
14-25
11-39
179.1Avg total
88.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.990.2179.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)88.4103.2191.6-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)88.698.4187.0-9.743%
vs Similar (11)93.592.4185.8+1.155%
vs Weaker (5)97.280.8178.0+16.460%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
StjarnanAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A02/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H11/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A31/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A06/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A20/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A11/12
Premier league
101.7Avg total
52.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.447.797.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.747.196.8+2.669%-
Last 30 away (17)49.148.197.2+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)52.649.1101.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)59.849.8109.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)46.950.197.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker (21)50.446.697.0+3.862%-
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
W
73-30
73
30
+43
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A21/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H12/12
Premier league
91.6Avg total
47.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.845.893.6+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.746.497.1+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.290.1-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)47.843.891.6+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.297.8-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)47.548.596.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (11)47.446.093.4+1.436%-
vs Weaker (5)49.637.887.4+11.860%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.8 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.027.2
56.7%
53.3%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.0
27.6%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws27.120.2
74.5%
76.4%20.2
They take 77.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.8 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.9
56.0%
53.3%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.6
30.0%
33.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.312.9
63.5%
76.4%12.9
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWLWWLLLWL
Alftanes
LLLLWWLLWW
#2
League position
#13
+9.0
Net rating
-2.1
111.2
Offensive rating
109.7
102.1
Defensive rating
111.8
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.6%
3-point %
30.0%
64.2%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 109.7Defence102.1 · 111.8Shooting50.9% · 51.6%3-point %27.6% · 30.0%Ball care15.9% · 13.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Stjarnan wins
2
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Stjarnan v Alftanes116-76
19/01/25Alftanes v Stjarnan88-100
06/12/24Alftanes v Stjarnan77-97
14/03/24Alftanes v Stjarnan86-77
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25AAkranes IA115-85
07/12/25HGrindavik118-67
20/11/25AThorl97-99
13/11/25HArmann114-88
06/11/25ANjardvik105-101
31/10/25ATindastoll95-96
24/10/25HIR Reykjavik91-93
17/10/25AKeflavik71-92
11/10/25HValur94-91
02/10/25AKR Basket98-102 OT
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25HTindastoll78-137
05/12/25AIR Reykjavik86-97
21/11/25AKeflavik90-101
14/11/25AValur80-92
06/11/25HKR Basket108-89
30/10/25HNjardvik93-92
24/10/25AAkranes IA74-76
16/10/25HGrindavik70-79
09/10/25AThorl89-70
02/10/25HArmann121-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Icelandic Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Alftanes
Icelandic Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll110100%125.066.0+59.0
2 Keflavik110100%102.071.0+31.0
3 KR Basket110100%113.087.0+26.0
4 Valur110100%85.069.0+16.0
5 Snaefell110100%96.086.0+10.0
6 Grindavik110100%86.077.0+9.0
7 Breidablik110100%108.0106.0+2.0
8 Haukar1010%106.0108.0-2.0
9 Armann1010%77.086.0-9.0
10 KV mfl.kk.1010%86.096.0-10.0
11 IR Reykjavik1010%69.085.0-16.0
12 Fjolnir1010%87.0113.0-26.0
13 Akranes IA1010%71.0102.0-31.0
14 Hamar1010%66.0125.0-59.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan2619262394
Alftanes2125151374
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