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Valur vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-80
25-27 16-14 27-13 24-26
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game92.0
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game79.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 7· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valur v Alftanes
12 Nov 2026
VALU v ALFT
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
VALU92
ALFT80
16 Jan 2025
VALU87
ALFT81
07 Mar 2024
VALU89
ALFT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 82
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 82
A06/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
59avg 82
H10/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 82
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 82
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
85avg 82
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
95avg 82
H16/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
119-117 OT
119
117
+2
117avg 82
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
55-90
55
90
-35
46avg 82
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 82
A06/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
26-19
24-25
15-19
18-23
18-20
17-24
23-13
16-15
25-25
11-16
23-30
24-13
23-24
15-22
12-23
21-25
20-26
20-13
24-23
34-26
12-27
20-22
25-19
26-18
18-23
20-23
30-19
17-25
27-26
27-25
28-23
13-21
14-22
15-25
13-22
24-22
25-16
15-22
19-21
173.5Avg total
84.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.892.0179.8-4.250%
Season at home (3)78.086.7164.7-8.733%
Season away (3)97.797.3195.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)84.688.9173.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)88.493.0181.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.586.3165.8-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.484.0171.4+3.464%
vs Weaker (12)91.584.2175.8+7.275%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 85
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
93avg 85
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
106avg 85
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 85
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
121-69
121
69
+52
119avg 85
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 85
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 85
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
59avg 85
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 85
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
108-89
108
89
+19
106avg 85
H06/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
28-40
18-24
20-16
28-28
26-20
17-16
23-28
21-28
25-21
14-22
29-18
19-19
24-27
24-30
23-29
36-13
37-17
23-21
25-18
22-16
20-13
22-20
25-21
14-18
28-21
12-22
16-18
21-17
18-14
13-23
22-22
27-28
27-20
22-20
17-24
23-27
24-21
34-16
27-25
179.8Avg total
92.1Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.579.2171.7+13.367%
Season at home (4)98.082.2180.2+15.875%
Season away (2)81.573.0154.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)92.187.7179.8+4.450%
Last 5 (5)86.881.2168.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)88.695.5184.1-6.943%
vs Similar ◀ (9)94.490.6185.0+3.967%
vs Weaker (6)95.882.7178.5+13.250%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
ValurAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H02/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A06/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A11/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H30/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/11
Premier league
87.2Avg total
43.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.387.1+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.143.588.5+1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.185.6-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.287.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.287.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.347.587.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.342.086.3+2.345%-
vs Weaker (12)45.342.287.6+3.150%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
73-30
73
30
+43
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/11
Premier league
90.8Avg total
48.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.244.292.4+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.843.894.6+6.965%-
Last 30 away (13)44.844.789.5+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)48.042.890.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.083.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)46.847.193.9-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.945.493.3+2.444%-
vs Weaker (6)50.338.588.8+11.867%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.916.9
45.8%
54.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.4
32.6%
34.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.715.6
71.9%
74.2%15.6
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.6
55.2%
54.6%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.013.8
65.7%
74.2%13.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLWWLLLLLW
Alftanes
WWLLWWLLWL
#4
League position
#8
-5.4
Net rating
+5.9
104.3
Offensive rating
112.0
109.7
Defensive rating
106.1
47.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
34.9%
64.7%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 112.0Defence109.7 · 106.1Shooting47.3% · 54.1%3-point %32.6% · 34.9%Ball care17.7% · 14.2%Off. rebounds34.1% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valur wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Valur v Alftanes87-81
17/10/24Alftanes v Valur100-103 OT
07/03/24Valur v Alftanes89-71
23/11/23Alftanes v Valur73-67
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25AAkranes IA83-81
30/10/25HGrindavik55-90
23/10/25AThorl119-117 OT
16/10/25HArmann94-83
11/10/25AStjarnan91-94
06/10/25HTindastoll85-87
14/04/25AGrindavik74-82
10/04/25HGrindavik75-86
06/04/25AGrindavik76-80
02/04/25HGrindavik94-89
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HKR Basket108-89
30/10/25HNjardvik93-92
24/10/25AAkranes IA74-76
16/10/25HGrindavik70-79
09/10/25AThorl89-70
02/10/25HArmann121-69
03/05/25HTindastoll90-105
29/04/25ATindastoll104-105 OT
25/04/25HTindastoll94-92
21/04/25ATindastoll78-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.878.097.7
Allowed / game92.086.797.3
Point differential-4.2-8.7+0.3
Avg total179.8164.7195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game92.598.081.5
Allowed / game79.282.273.0
Point differential+13.3+15.8+8.5
Avg total171.7180.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik770100%94.781.0+13.7
2 Tindastoll76186%99.083.6+15.4
3 Keflavik75271%92.386.7+5.6
4 Alftanes64267%92.579.2+13.3
5 KR Basket74357%96.488.6+7.9
6 Valur63350%87.892.0-4.2
7 Njardvik73443%102.0100.9+1.1
8 Stjarnan73443%95.494.7+0.7
9 IR Reykjavik73443%88.195.1-7.0
10 Akranes IA72529%89.1100.0-10.9
11 Thorl71614%88.397.9-9.6
12 Armann7070%83.3108.1-24.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur2516272492
Alftanes2714132680
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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