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Guam vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 78-83
15-20 16-28 22-20 25-15
Position#14
Record6-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Japan 🏆
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeAsia Cup· University of Guam Field House
Other2023
Meetings · Guam v Japan
10 Aug 2025
GUAM63
JAPA102
24 Nov 2024
GUAM78
JAPA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H26/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
35avg 47
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 47
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
53-101
53
101
-48
42avg 47
A21/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
22-20
19-9
20-18
22-16
19-27
22-26
14-16
18-11
16-15
26-10
22-23
19-21
20-11
16-10
12-22
17-17
21-21
13-14
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-13
17-17
15-26
24-17
26-22
17-16
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
17-21
10-24
15-27
11-29
145.3Avg total
71.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.572.2142.8-1.875%
Season at home (2)74.572.5147.0+2.0100%
Season away (6)69.272.2141.3-3.067%
Last 10 (10)71.873.5145.3-1.770%
Last 5 (5)68.077.2145.2-9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.275.8145.0-6.767%
vs Similar (1)94.0113.0207.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 75
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 75
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
98avg 75
H21/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
33-18
23-18
7-16
33-13
23-21
18-7
21-22
21-15
17-19
14-16
18-7
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
19-20
19-18
17-13
21-22
22-22
25-14
20-15
26-24
147.9Avg total
76.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
Season at home (3)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.971.0147.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)75.071.4146.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.984.6153.4-15.729%
vs Similar (7)79.788.9168.6-9.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.465.1152.6+22.394%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
GuamJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/11
Asia Cup
73.7Avg total
36.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)40.538.178.6+2.546%-
Last 30 at home (5)43.243.286.4+0.040%-
Last 30 away (8)38.934.973.8+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.373.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.337.873.2-2.533%-
vs Similar (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H21/11
Asia Cup
77.5Avg total
39.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.678.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.938.178.1+1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)38.541.580.1-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.277.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.745.077.7-12.314%-
vs Similar (7)32.946.679.4-13.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.134.279.2+10.969%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 61.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.017.0
38.6%
49.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.7
30.3%
32.7%20.0
🏀 Free throws12.37.3
59.5%
70.1%7.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.714.3
51.8%
49.3%28.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.312.7
33.9%
32.7%38.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.3
71.9%
70.1%15.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guam
LWLWWWWWLW
Japan
WWWLLLWWWW
#14
League position
#6
-25.4
Net rating
+20.6
79.2
Offensive rating
110.1
104.6
Defensive rating
89.5
40.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
41.1%
21.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.3%
3-point %
33.9%
52.1%
Assist %
75.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence79.2 · 110.1Defence104.6 · 89.5Shooting40.9% · 51.3%3-point %30.3% · 33.9%Ball care21.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds22.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Guam   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Guam wins
1
Japan wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Japan v Guam77-56
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24AChina53-101
25/02/24AMongolia74-63
22/02/24AJapan56-77
26/02/23HMongolia82-81
25/02/23AMalaysia75-64
24/02/23AThailand75-69
11/11/22HHong Kong67-64
10/11/22ASingapore82-59
28/08/21AChinese Taipei77-85
26/08/21HChinese Taipei77-72
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HMongolia93-75
25/02/24HChina76-73
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77
28/09/23AIndonesia70-57
26/09/23HQatar95-63
02/09/23HCape Verde80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game70.574.569.2
Allowed / game72.272.572.2
Point differential-1.8+2.0-3.0
Avg total142.8147.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia330100%97.356.7+40.7
2 Philippines330100%97.768.7+29.0
3 Lebanon330100%93.372.7+20.7
4 Iran330100%60.742.3+18.3
5 Jordan330100%75.058.0+17.0
6 Japan330100%82.068.0+14.0
7 Guam86275%70.572.2-1.8
8 Thailand107370%83.876.0+7.8
9 China32167%84.759.3+25.3
10 New Zealand32167%88.770.3+18.3
11 South Korea32167%84.375.0+9.3
12 Kazakhstan32167%45.346.0-0.7
13 Saudi Arabia32167%67.067.7-0.7
14 Bahrain32167%69.776.3-6.7
15 Iraq85362%76.073.6+2.4
16 Mongolia105550%79.578.7+0.8
17 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 Palestine83538%68.570.0-1.5
21 United Arab Emirates83538%67.870.8-3.0
22 Syria31233%75.775.3+0.3
23 Chinese Taipei31233%69.083.3-14.3
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong82625%66.878.4-11.6
26 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
27 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
28 India3030%52.072.7-20.7
29 Indonesia3030%61.788.3-26.7
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guam1516222578
Japan2028201583
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