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Guam vs Mongolia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 63-74
19-22 12-17 12-20 20-15
Position#14
Record6-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#15
Record5-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeAsia Cup· University of Guam Field House
Other2023
Meetings · Guam v Mongolia
20 Feb 2025
GUAM63
MONG74
26 Feb 2023
GUAM82
MONG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mongolia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
35avg 52
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 52
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
53-101
53
101
-48
42avg 52
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 52
H24/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-27
22-26
14-16
18-11
16-15
26-10
22-23
19-21
20-11
16-10
12-22
17-17
21-21
13-14
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-13
17-17
15-26
24-17
26-22
17-16
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
17-21
10-24
15-27
11-29
15-20
16-28
22-20
25-15
146.5Avg total
71.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.373.4144.8-2.167%
Season at home (3)75.776.0151.7-0.367%
Season away (6)69.272.2141.3-3.067%
Last 10 (10)71.974.6146.5-2.760%
Last 5 (5)68.681.0149.6-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.476.9147.3-6.457%
vs Similar (1)94.0113.0207.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (Mongolia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MongoliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMongolia
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
73-49
73
49
+24
no box
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
50-89
50
89
-39
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
39avg 43
A22/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
63-74
63
74
-11
37avg 43
H25/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 43
A21/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
52-90
52
90
-38
32avg 43
H24/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
14-18
20-18
15-18
29-8
22-10
10-16
12-15
26-15
17-24
22-26
16-17
19-20
9-24
12-21
10-24
20-17
10-20
18-17
16-15
19-22
25-21
20-19
11-16
12-20
17-19
7-20
13-21
13-21
19-18
16-19
15-16
22-22
14-25
15-20
24-26
14-18
15-25
14-28
9-19
143.1Avg total
65.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.079.7156.7-2.745%
Season at home (6)74.375.2149.5-0.867%
Season away (5)80.285.2165.4-5.020%
Last 10 (10)65.877.3143.1-11.520%
Last 5 (5)62.883.0145.8-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)68.191.2159.3-23.26%
vs Similar (3)95.792.7188.3+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.368.9149.2+11.460%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.6-4.6
GuamMongolia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H24/11
Asia Cup
73.3Avg total
35.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)39.938.878.6+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (6)41.244.085.2-2.833%-
Last 30 away (8)38.934.973.8+4.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.673.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.675.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.739.374.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Mongolia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MongoliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#26
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H24/02
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H25/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A26/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H28/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
Asian Games
China
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A21/11
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H24/11
Asia Cup
74.5Avg total
36.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.478.8-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.239.777.9-1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.979.6-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.274.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.276.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.444.478.7-10.012%-
vs Similar (3)51.345.096.3+6.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.632.273.8+9.470%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.017.5
39.8%
49.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
32.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws12.58.0
64.0%
70.1%8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mongoliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mongolia: 59.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.0
47.8%
49.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.5
26.0%
32.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws10.07.8
77.5%
70.1%7.8
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guam
LLWLWWWWWL
Mongolia
LLLLLLLLWW
#14
League position
#15
-20.1
Net rating
-34.8
84.9
Offensive rating
80.0
104.9
Defensive rating
114.8
42.3%
Effective FG%
44.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
25.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.17
31.2%
3-point %
26.0%
52.0%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence84.9 · 80.0Defence104.9 · 114.8Shooting42.3% · 44.0%3-point %31.2% · 26.0%Ball care20.1% · 25.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 23.1%Free throws0.18 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Guam   ■ Mongolia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guam wins
0
Mongolia wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Mongolia v Guam63-74
26/02/23Guam v Mongolia82-81
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HJapan78-83
21/11/24AChina53-101
25/02/24AMongolia74-63
22/02/24AJapan56-77
26/02/23HMongolia82-81
25/02/23AMalaysia75-64
24/02/23AThailand75-69
11/11/22HHong Kong67-64
10/11/22ASingapore82-59
28/08/21AChinese Taipei77-85
Mongolialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HChina52-90
21/11/24AJapan75-93
25/02/24HGuam63-74
22/02/24AChina49-80
30/09/23AChinese Taipei75-78
28/09/23HHong Kong64-69
26/09/23AChina50-89
26/02/23AGuam81-82
25/02/23HSingapore73-49
24/02/23HHong Kong76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game71.375.769.2
Allowed / game73.476.072.2
Point differential-2.1-0.3-3.0
Avg total144.8151.7141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mongolia
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game77.074.380.2
Allowed / game79.775.285.2
Point differential-2.7-0.8-5.0
Avg total156.7149.5165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia550100%99.860.6+39.2
2 Philippines440100%96.565.0+31.5
3 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
4 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
5 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
6 China43175%86.057.5+28.5
7 New Zealand43175%86.868.8+18.0
8 Iran43175%64.851.2+13.5
9 Saudi Arabia43175%66.865.2+1.5
10 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
11 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
12 Iraq95456%74.072.8+1.2
13 Qatar95456%67.066.3+0.7
14 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
15 Kazakhstan42250%51.256.5-5.2
16 Bahrain42250%71.579.8-8.2
17 Mongolia115645%77.079.7-2.7
18 United Arab Emirates94544%70.271.4-1.2
19 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
20 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
21 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
22 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
23 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
24 India41325%61.071.8-10.8
25 Chinese Taipei41325%67.882.8-15.0
26 Hong Kong92722%65.380.0-14.7
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia5050%62.897.2-34.4
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guam1912122063
Mongolia2217201574
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