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Guam vs Thailand Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 89-81
22-21 26-17 24-19 17-24
Position#14
Record6-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game77.8
Guam 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record8-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeAsia Cup· University of Taipei Tianmu Gymnasium
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guam winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thailand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
53-101
53
101
-48
42avg 58
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 58
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
63-74
63
74
-11
49avg 58
H20/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
74avg 58
H23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 58
A19/03
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-21
13-14
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-13
17-17
15-26
24-17
26-22
17-16
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
17-21
10-24
15-27
11-29
15-20
16-28
22-20
25-15
19-22
12-17
12-20
20-15
16-19
17-25
23-22
22-20
19-29
19-25
14-37
21-22
151.8Avg total
70.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.377.8149.2-6.550%
Season at home (5)73.677.6151.2-4.040%
Season away (7)69.778.0147.7-8.357%
Last 10 (10)70.781.1151.8-10.440%
Last 5 (5)69.091.4160.4-22.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.781.1151.8-10.440%
vs Similar (1)94.0113.0207.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (Thailand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThailandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThailand
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
63-97
63
97
-34
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
L
62-76
62
76
-14
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#29
W
73-56
73
56
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
62-96
62
96
-34
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-101
48
101
-53
33avg 70
H21/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
112-71
112
71
+41
117avg 70
A24/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
82avg 70
H20/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
64-114
64
114
-50
48avg 70
A23/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
14-10
25-17
23-28
18-28
9-14
17-31
19-24
22-20
13-21
15-27
22-19
12-17
22-14
14-20
14-25
17-8
18-17
25-10
13-21
15-28
16-27
11-17
20-24
22-20
9-30
9-23
8-28
26-21
32-21
36-18
18-11
23-24
20-31
19-17
28-19
18-26
17-30
18-25
11-33
158.7Avg total
72.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.979.7164.6+5.262%
Season at home (7)86.380.3166.6+6.057%
Season away (6)83.379.0162.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)72.985.8158.7-12.930%
Last 5 (5)75.294.6169.8-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.994.3160.2-28.40%
vs Similar (3)97.779.3177.0+18.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.263.7155.9+28.675%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.6-5.6
GuamThailand
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A21/11
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H24/11
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A19/03
Asia Cup
75.7Avg total
34.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)38.840.078.8-1.235%-
Last 30 at home (8)38.943.482.2-4.525%-
Last 30 away (9)38.837.075.8+1.844%-
Last 10 (10)34.541.275.7-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.046.078.0-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.541.275.7-6.720%-
vs Similar (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Thailand) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThailandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indonesia
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Jordan
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/09
Asian Games
Bahrain
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#29
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A25/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H21/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A24/11
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H20/02
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A23/02
Asia Cup
78.5Avg total
36.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.178.3+4.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.978.4+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.936.378.2+5.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.178.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.651.691.2-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.248.280.4-16.09%-
vs Similar (3)49.741.391.0+8.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.828.874.5+17.075%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.418.3
41.2%
49.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.4
31.1%
32.7%22.3
🏀 Free throws13.69.1
67.4%
70.1%9.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thailandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thailand: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.1
46.1%
49.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.4%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
70.1%12.4
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guam
LLLLLWLWWW
Thailand
LLWLLWLLLW
#14
League position
#12
-21.8
Net rating
+1.9
88.7
Offensive rating
98.2
110.5
Defensive rating
96.2
43.1%
Effective FG%
47.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.1%
3-point %
33.4%
52.2%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 98.2Defence110.5 · 96.2Shooting43.1% · 47.9%3-point %31.1% · 33.4%Ball care19.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guam   ■ Thailand
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guam wins
0
Thailand wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Thailand v Guam69-75
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AChinese Taipei73-113
23/02/25HChina78-86
20/02/25HMongolia63-74
24/11/24HJapan78-83
21/11/24AChina53-101
25/02/24AMongolia74-63
22/02/24AJapan56-77
26/02/23HMongolia82-81
25/02/23AMalaysia75-64
24/02/23AThailand75-69
Thailandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25AAustralia64-114
20/02/25HSouth Korea90-91
24/11/24AIndonesia112-71
21/11/24HAustralia48-101
25/02/24ASouth Korea62-96
22/02/24HIndonesia73-56
30/09/23ABahrain62-76
28/09/23HPhilippines72-87
26/09/23AJordan63-97
16/05/23HIndonesia83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%40%57%
Points / game71.373.669.7
Allowed / game77.877.678.0
Point differential-6.5-4.0-8.3
Avg total149.2151.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thailand
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game84.986.383.3
Allowed / game79.780.379.0
Point differential+5.2+6.0+4.3
Avg total164.6166.6162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon660100%90.774.7+16.0
3 Jordan660100%77.265.0+12.2
4 China65183%88.361.0+27.3
5 Iran65183%75.550.8+24.7
6 New Zealand65183%87.766.0+21.7
7 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 South Korea64267%84.879.3+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia64267%71.368.3+3.0
11 Qatar117464%70.566.3+4.3
12 Thailand138562%84.979.7+5.2
13 Chinese Taipei74357%82.081.6+0.4
14 Iraq116555%73.171.5+1.5
15 Syria63350%77.777.2+0.5
16 Guam126650%71.377.8-6.5
17 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
21 Bahrain62433%75.282.0-6.8
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
26 India61517%60.079.0-19.0
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guam2226241789
Thailand2117192481
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