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Guangdong vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-104
28-28 26-28 25-22 18-26
Position#4
Record23-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game102.7
vs
Position#1
Record26-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.2
Allowed / game92.0
ChinaCBARound 33· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangdong v Liaoning
31 Dec 2026
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
GUAN73
LIAO89
05 Mar 2025
GUAN127
LIAO83
08 May 2024
GUAN90
LIAO107
06 May 2024
GUAN98
LIAO82
15 Mar 2024
GUAN119
LIAO94
21 Jan 2024
GUAN97
LIAO104
18 Jan 2023
GUAN108
LIAO99
16 Apr 2022
GUAN116
LIAO117
01 Jan 2022
GUAN95
LIAO115
01 May 2021
GUAN110
LIAO103
27 Apr 2021
GUAN88
LIAO83
03 Feb 2021
GUAN118
LIAO115
15 Aug 2020
GUAN123
LIAO115
11 Aug 2020
GUAN110
LIAO88
01 Nov 2019
GUAN107
LIAO98
10 Mar 2019
GUAN107
LIAO94
07 Apr 2018
GUAN97
LIAO111
05 Apr 2018
GUAN110
LIAO102
03 Apr 2018
GUAN84
LIAO96
11 Feb 2018
GUAN85
LIAO112
06 Nov 2016
GUAN124
LIAO115
04 Mar 2016
GUAN96
LIAO105
26 Feb 2016
GUAN114
LIAO116
25 Dec 2015
GUAN86
LIAO103
26 Nov 2014
GUAN112
LIAO116
30 Dec 2013
GUAN101
LIAO84
01 Feb 2013
GUAN112
LIAO90
01 Feb 2012
GUAN122
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
106-95
106
95
+11
104avg 100
H29/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
93-104
93
104
-11
78avg 100
A01/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
105-93
105
93
+12
109avg 100
A03/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
108-119
108
119
-11
89avg 100
A05/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
99avg 100
H07/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 100
H10/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 100
A12/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
112-99
112
99
+13
104avg 100
H14/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
99-109
99
109
-10
79avg 100
H16/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 100
H19/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
28-35
35-15
20-17
21-23
29-23
23-26
20-32
23-23
21-30
32-21
29-19
32-21
22-44
23-24
31-30
25-33
26-37
28-29
31-15
31-27
26-29
28-26
30-28
28-26
23-15
17-19
20-16
28-30
25-15
26-27
33-27
20-17
21-34
22-23
36-35
26-12
24-26
22-25
32-24
204.6Avg total
104.0Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)108.0102.7210.7+5.372%
Season at home (15)111.299.8211.0+11.480%
Season away (17)105.1105.2210.4-0.165%
Last 10 (10)104.0100.6204.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)103.696.2199.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)101.1105.0206.1-3.938%
vs Weaker (22)110.1102.4212.5+7.782%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
97-85
97
85
+12
104avg 96
A29/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 96
H01/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
91-103
91
103
-12
82avg 96
H03/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
104-112
104
112
-8
102avg 96
A05/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
93avg 96
H07/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
92avg 96
A09/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
116-109
116
109
+7
113avg 96
H12/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
100avg 96
A14/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
118-112
118
112
+6
114avg 96
A17/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
89-75
89
75
+14
87avg 96
H19/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
26-27
24-20
24-11
23-21
23-29
26-23
32-20
24-27
27-24
21-33
19-19
29-25
27-23
20-33
28-31
29-24
22-12
25-15
16-25
20-29
29-15
23-30
27-31
28-29
23-31
36-20
29-29
27-26
19-28
26-21
24-9
28-32
23-28
33-34
34-18
17-15
32-23
19-25
21-12
196.0Avg total
100.6Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)102.292.0194.3+10.284%
Season at home (15)101.487.7189.1+13.787%
Season away (16)103.096.1199.1+6.981%
Last 10 (10)100.695.4196.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)103.697.0200.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)100.896.0196.8+4.875%
vs Weaker (26)102.291.7193.9+10.585%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +4.9+4.9
GuangdongLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H29/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A01/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A03/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A05/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
51-70
51
70
-19
H07/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H10/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A12/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H14/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H16/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/01
CBA
103.0Avg total
50.2Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.251.2106.4+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.450.0107.4+7.479%-
Last 30 away (16)53.452.2105.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)50.252.8103.0-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.446.296.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.456.1104.5-7.825%-
vs Weaker (22)57.749.4107.1+8.382%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H01/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H03/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A05/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H07/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A09/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H12/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A17/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H19/01
CBA
99.4Avg total
49.9Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.448.5100.9+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.547.499.9+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)52.349.4101.8+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)49.949.599.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.251.2100.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)49.047.896.8+1.225%-
vs Weaker (26)52.948.6101.5+4.369%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.627.0
56.7%
52.7%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.9
35.8%
34.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
76.0%13.7
They take 80.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 99.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.3
54.2%
52.7%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.5
34.1%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
76.0%17.3
They take 77.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLWWWLLWLW
Liaoning
WWWWLWLLWW
#4
League position
#1
+3.5
Net rating
+3.4
109.9
Offensive rating
109.4
106.4
Defensive rating
106.0
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
34.1%
51.9%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 109.4Defence106.4 · 106.0Shooting55.5% · 53.0%3-point %35.8% · 34.1%Ball care15.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds24.2% · 32.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Guangdong   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guangdong wins
7
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
01/01/24Liaoning v Guangdong104-93
29/10/23Liaoning v Guangdong106-97
18/01/23Guangdong v Liaoning108-99
14/12/22Liaoning v Guangdong85-99
16/04/22Guangdong v Liaoning116-117 OT
14/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong96-83
12/04/22Liaoning v Guangdong92-79
13/01/22Liaoning v Guangdong102-90
01/01/22Guangdong v Liaoning95-115
01/05/21Guangdong v Liaoning110-103 OT
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HBeijing104-87
16/01/24HQingdao99-109
14/01/24HShanghai112-99
12/01/24ANingbo Rockets88-76
10/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu115-110
07/01/24HXinjiang110-114
05/01/24AShanxi Zhongyu108-119
03/01/24AGuangzhou105-93
01/01/24ALiaoning93-104
29/12/23HZhejiang Guangsha106-95
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HFujian89-75
17/01/24AShanxi Zhongyu118-112
14/01/24ABeijing96-84
12/01/24HQingdao116-109
09/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha99-105
07/01/24HBeijing Royal Fighters92-76
05/01/24AJilin104-112
03/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou91-103
01/01/24HGuangdong104-93
29/12/23AFujian97-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayLLWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %72%80%65%
Points / game108.0111.2105.1
Allowed / game102.799.8105.2
Point differential+5.3+11.4-0.1
Avg total210.7211.0210.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW84%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWLLWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %84%87%81%
Points / game102.2101.4103.0
Allowed / game92.087.796.1
Point differential+10.2+13.7+6.9
Avg total194.3189.1199.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%73%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning3126584%102.292.0+10.2
2 Xinjiang3226681%104.495.4+9.0
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou3223972%107.498.2+9.2
4 Guangdong3223972%108.0102.7+5.3
5 Zhejiang Guangsha32221069%105.497.1+8.3
6 Shenzhen32211166%105.7101.2+4.5
7 Qingdao32211166%102.398.6+3.8
8 Shanghai32181456%105.6103.9+1.7
9 Beijing Royal Fighters32171553%104.5102.6+1.9
10 Guangzhou32161650%101.099.3+1.7
11 Shanxi Zhongyu31151648%110.8112.6-1.7
12 Beijing32141844%100.9103.0-2.1
13 Tianjin32141844%105.3109.0-3.7
14 Shandong32131941%101.7103.3-1.7
15 Nanjing Tongxi32131941%101.2104.3-3.1
16 Jilin32122038%102.9107.3-4.4
17 Fujian32102231%101.0106.4-5.5
18 Ningbo Rockets3262619%92.9103.7-10.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons3042613%93.7103.1-9.4
20 Sichuan3242812%98.7112.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong2826251897
Liaoning28282226104
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