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Guangdong vs Liaoning Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 127-83
31-20 31-24 30-17 35-22
Position#8
Record23-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#4
Record23-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game98.9
ChinaCBARound 36· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Liaoning
31 Dec 2026
GUAN v LIAO
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
GUAN73
LIAO89
05 Mar 2025
GUAN127
LIAO83
08 May 2024
GUAN90
LIAO107
06 May 2024
GUAN98
LIAO82
15 Mar 2024
GUAN119
LIAO94
21 Jan 2024
GUAN97
LIAO104
18 Jan 2023
GUAN108
LIAO99
16 Apr 2022
GUAN116
LIAO117
01 Jan 2022
GUAN95
LIAO115
01 May 2021
GUAN110
LIAO103
27 Apr 2021
GUAN88
LIAO83
03 Feb 2021
GUAN118
LIAO115
15 Aug 2020
GUAN123
LIAO115
11 Aug 2020
GUAN110
LIAO88
01 Nov 2019
GUAN107
LIAO98
10 Mar 2019
GUAN107
LIAO94
07 Apr 2018
GUAN97
LIAO111
05 Apr 2018
GUAN110
LIAO102
03 Apr 2018
GUAN84
LIAO96
11 Feb 2018
GUAN85
LIAO112
06 Nov 2016
GUAN124
LIAO115
04 Mar 2016
GUAN96
LIAO105
26 Feb 2016
GUAN114
LIAO116
25 Dec 2015
GUAN86
LIAO103
26 Nov 2014
GUAN112
LIAO116
30 Dec 2013
GUAN101
LIAO84
01 Feb 2013
GUAN112
LIAO90
01 Feb 2012
GUAN122
LIAO108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
W
98-93
98
93
+5
108avg 106
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 106
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
120-111
120
111
+9
121avg 106
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 106
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
99-98
99
98
+1
96avg 106
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 106
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
116-92
116
92
+24
131avg 106
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-94
112
94
+18
114avg 106
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
81-115
81
115
-34
68avg 106
A22/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
111-82
111
82
+29
117avg 106
H24/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
24-30
28-23
19-14
27-28
28-21
17-22
19-13
22-24
44-25
30-33
24-29
24-28
23-28
34-23
24-17
25-24
30-21
22-25
22-28
18-28
11-20
33-11
23-18
29-20
27-20
30-25
30-27
32-20
30-27
28-31
22-16
23-31
17-27
17-25
24-32
29-22
24-21
32-25
26-14
196.0Avg total
101.8Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)104.198.2202.3+5.866%
Season at home (18)106.398.6204.8+7.772%
Season away (17)101.797.9199.6+3.859%
Last 10 (10)101.894.2196.0+7.690%
Last 5 (5)101.092.0193.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)96.6100.1196.7-3.558%
vs Weaker (14)106.389.6195.9+16.686%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
102-81
102
81
+21
95avg 99
A04/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 99
H06/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
115-99
115
99
+16
114avg 99
H08/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 99
H10/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
100-103
100
103
-3
88avg 99
A12/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
117-114
117
114
+3
106avg 99
H14/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
113-107
113
107
+6
106avg 99
A17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
88-101
88
101
-13
74avg 99
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
76avg 99
A23/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
124-106
124
106
+18
119avg 99
H25/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-14
30-23
16-20
23-24
22-21
19-24
14-36
33-20
27-27
34-27
23-26
31-19
33-30
19-23
36-23
16-25
23-39
27-19
35-18
15-27
34-25
26-28
30-36
27-25
30-32
28-28
28-28
27-19
18-20
31-27
21-31
18-23
28-26
30-35
26-26
9-21
38-34
33-23
29-20
24-29
206.5Avg total
104.4Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)105.398.9204.2+6.566%
Season at home (17)110.598.8209.2+11.776%
Season away (18)100.498.9199.4+1.556%
Last 10 (10)104.4102.1206.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)107.0107.2214.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.895.0177.8-12.217%
vs Similar ◀ (10)101.3102.8204.1-1.540%
vs Weaker (14)108.197.4205.6+10.786%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
GuangdongLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H04/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A06/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A08/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H10/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A16/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A18/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A22/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/01
CBA
100.5Avg total
51.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.849.3101.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.149.5102.7+3.647%-
Last 30 away (15)50.549.099.5+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)51.449.1100.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.047.295.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)49.051.9100.9-2.925%-
vs Weaker (14)56.146.3102.4+9.886%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A04/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H06/01
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H08/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H10/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A12/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H14/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A17/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A23/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H25/01
CBA
108.8Avg total
56.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.751.5103.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.850.8105.6+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)48.752.1100.8-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)56.352.5108.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.255.6114.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.047.088.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)51.751.7103.4+0.050%-
vs Weaker (14)56.453.2109.6+3.164%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.425.3
59.7%
52.6%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.617.5
74.2%
76.3%17.5
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.526.8
55.3%
52.6%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.910.8
31.9%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
76.3%17.6
They take 82.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLWWWWWWWW
Liaoning
WLLWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#4
+7.9
Net rating
+2.6
113.3
Offensive rating
115.0
105.4
Defensive rating
112.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
31.9%
74.3%
Assist %
60.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 115.0Defence105.4 · 112.4Shooting56.6% · 52.2%3-point %34.9% · 31.9%Ball care19.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.5% · 34.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Guangdong   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guangdong wins
7
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
30/12/24Liaoning v Guangdong95-89
11/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong116-95
08/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning90-107
06/05/24Guangdong v Liaoning98-82
03/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong94-110
01/05/24Liaoning v Guangdong119-97
15/03/24Guangdong v Liaoning119-94
21/01/24Guangdong v Liaoning97-104
01/01/24Liaoning v Guangdong104-93
29/10/23Liaoning v Guangdong106-97
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HGuangzhou111-82
22/01/25AShanghai81-115
20/01/25ANanjing Tongxi112-94
18/01/25AFujian116-92
16/01/25AGuangzhou85-77
12/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters99-98
10/01/25HQingdao105-96
08/01/25ATianjin120-111
06/01/25AShenzhen91-84
04/01/25HShandong98-93
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HNingbo Rockets124-106
23/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha93-108
19/01/25AZhejiang Chouzhou88-101
17/01/25ANingbo Rockets113-107
14/01/25HShanghai117-114
12/01/25AQingdao100-103
10/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters104-101
08/01/25HSichuan115-99
06/01/25HZhejiang Guangsha88-101
04/01/25AJilin102-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW72%
AwayWWWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %66%72%59%
Points / game104.1106.3101.7
Allowed / game98.298.697.9
Point differential+5.8+7.7+3.8
Avg total202.3204.8199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%28%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW66%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %66%76%56%
Points / game105.3110.5100.4
Allowed / game98.998.898.9
Point differential+6.5+11.7+1.5
Avg total204.2209.2199.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3531489%104.192.0+12.1
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3526974%114.9108.4+6.6
3 Shandong35251071%105.099.4+5.6
4 Xinjiang34241071%111.1102.8+8.3
5 Qingdao35241169%104.399.8+4.5
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou35231266%112.3104.1+8.3
7 Liaoning35231266%105.398.9+6.5
8 Guangdong35231266%104.198.2+5.8
9 Beijing35231266%101.696.2+5.4
10 Shanghai34211362%111.6103.0+8.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters34191556%106.3101.3+5.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi35171849%105.8107.9-2.1
13 Shenzhen35122334%104.5107.3-2.8
14 Jilin35122334%102.4111.1-8.7
15 Tianjin35112431%101.6110.3-8.7
16 Sichuan3582723%101.0110.4-9.4
17 Ningbo Rockets3582723%102.6114.2-11.6
18 Guangzhou3572820%97.3107.6-10.3
19 Jiangsu Dragons3562917%93.7103.4-9.7
20 Fujian3452915%102.6115.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong31313035127
Liaoning2024172283
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