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Guangzhou vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 93-105
23-23 30-21 21-32 19-29
Position#9
Record11-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game99.1
vs
Position#4
Record18-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game103.3
ChinaCBARound 25· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Guangdong
31 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
01 May 2026
GUAN64
GUAN85
23 Dec 2025
GUAN85
GUAN93
16 Jan 2025
GUAN77
GUAN85
03 Jan 2024
GUAN93
GUAN105
17 Mar 2023
GUAN79
GUAN101
13 Mar 2022
GUAN120
GUAN101
01 Mar 2021
GUAN98
GUAN105
22 Dec 2019
GUAN90
GUAN116
08 Nov 2018
GUAN110
GUAN125
27 Dec 2017
GUAN101
GUAN113
18 Dec 2016
GUAN80
GUAN101
03 Feb 2016
GUAN105
GUAN121
14 Nov 2014
GUAN116
GUAN123
13 Nov 2013
GUAN72
GUAN81
22 Jan 2013
GUAN114
GUAN127
13 Jan 2012
GUAN124
GUAN133
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
100avg 94
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
78avg 94
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
93-106
93
106
-13
87avg 94
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
115-112
115
112
+3
106avg 94
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
83avg 94
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 94
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 94
H24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
67avg 94
H26/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 94
A29/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
83-103
83
103
-20
76avg 94
A31/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
34-30
24-17
21-26
22-25
25-24
19-24
33-33
17-30
26-29
25-32
25-15
25-32
25-25
30-27
35-28
22-27
29-24
13-24
27-20
24-30
23-29
31-23
20-28
28-31
35-31
36-22
30-38
24-20
21-33
16-17
15-23
23-30
22-13
20-25
20-24
27-20
19-31
17-24
20-28
200.7Avg total
97.4Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)99.799.1198.8+0.646%
Season at home (12)102.498.2200.7+4.250%
Season away (12)96.999.9196.8-3.042%
Last 10 (10)97.4103.3200.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)94.2104.0198.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)93.098.3191.3-5.329%
vs Similar ◀ (12)96.798.2194.8-1.533%
vs Weaker (11)104.195.5199.6+8.582%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#14
W
116-111
116
111
+5
115avg 101
A11/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
106-95
106
95
+11
107avg 101
H13/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
88-110
88
110
-22
78avg 101
A15/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
115-104
115
104
+11
92avg 101
A17/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
127-92
127
92
+35
132avg 101
H19/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
115-122
115
122
-7
71avg 101
A22/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
120-93
120
93
+27
119avg 101
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
112-102
112
102
+10
105avg 101
H27/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
106-95
106
95
+11
104avg 101
H29/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
93-104
93
104
-11
78avg 101
A01/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
30-30
33-43
31-22
22-25
32-21
20-24
32-25
18-24
23-33
22-24
25-29
39-24
29-17
25-36
22-27
46-26
25-27
26-18
30-21
17-29
33-24
34-35
31-34
28-22
32-16
31-26
29-29
21-33
44-17
22-30
25-22
23-28
28-35
35-15
20-17
21-23
29-23
23-26
20-32
212.6Avg total
109.8Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)108.9103.3212.2+5.675%
Season at home (10)112.897.8210.6+15.090%
Season away (14)106.1107.2213.4-1.164%
Last 10 (10)109.8102.8212.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)109.2103.2212.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)100.2103.3203.5-3.250%
vs Weaker (24)108.8101.7210.4+7.175%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
GuangzhouGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A22/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H24/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A31/12
CBA
103.2Avg total
49.7Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.649.299.8+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.747.6100.3+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)48.550.899.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)49.753.5103.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)49.253.6102.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.949.797.6-1.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)52.048.6100.6+3.458%-
vs Weaker (11)50.749.5100.3+1.245%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#14
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
68-41
68
41
+27
A17/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H19/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A22/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H27/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H29/12
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A01/01
CBA
105.5Avg total
56.2Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.250.4106.6+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.649.8109.4+9.886%-
Last 30 away (16)53.251.0104.2+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)56.249.3105.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)55.250.0105.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)51.254.0105.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (24)57.549.5107.0+7.979%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.826.0
52.2%
52.7%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.016.3
81.5%
76.0%16.3
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 108.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.727.2
54.7%
52.7%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.211.1
40.8%
34.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws26.821.1
78.7%
76.0%21.1
They take 76.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLLWLLWLLW
Guangdong
LWWWLWWLWW
#9
League position
#4
-8.5
Net rating
+7.7
107.3
Offensive rating
116.2
115.8
Defensive rating
108.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
40.8%
52.6%
Assist %
50.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 116.2Defence115.8 · 108.5Shooting51.4% · 57.0%3-point %33.3% · 40.8%Ball care15.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 26.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
05/03/22Guangdong v Guangzhou98-89
14/03/21Guangdong v Guangzhou110-104
01/03/21Guangzhou v Guangdong98-105
14/07/20Guangdong v Guangzhou121-99
22/12/19Guangzhou v Guangdong90-116
18/01/19Guangdong v Guangzhou131-106
08/11/18Guangzhou v Guangdong110-125
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AShandong83-103
29/12/23AQingdao85-92
26/12/23HLiaoning76-93
24/12/23HJilin129-122
22/12/23AXinjiang98-110
19/12/23ABeijing91-95
17/12/23ANanjing Tongxi115-112
15/12/23HTianjin93-106
13/12/23AShanghai99-106
11/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu105-94
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24ALiaoning93-104
29/12/23HZhejiang Guangsha106-95
27/12/23HJilin112-102
25/12/23HShenzhen120-93
22/12/23AShanghai115-122
19/12/23HNanjing Tongxi127-92
17/12/23ASichuan115-104
15/12/23AXinjiang88-110
13/12/23HBeijing106-95
11/12/23ATianjin116-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game99.7102.496.9
Allowed / game99.198.299.9
Point differential+0.6+4.2-3.0
Avg total198.8200.7196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %75%90%64%
Points / game108.9112.8106.1
Allowed / game103.397.8107.2
Point differential+5.6+15.0-1.1
Avg total212.2210.6213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%70%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)-100% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning2321291%102.890.3+12.5
2 Xinjiang2420483%103.995.2+8.7
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou2419579%108.796.6+12.0
4 Guangdong2418675%108.9103.3+5.6
5 Zhejiang Guangsha2417771%104.297.1+7.2
6 Qingdao2415962%100.898.1+2.7
7 Shenzhen25151060%104.6101.6+3.0
8 Beijing Royal Fighters24131154%105.2103.6+1.6
9 Shanghai25131252%105.4105.3+0.2
10 Beijing24121250%101.6101.9-0.3
11 Shanxi Zhongyu23111248%109.3112.1-2.7
12 Guangzhou24111346%99.799.1+0.6
13 Tianjin24111346%102.2107.1-4.9
14 Shandong25101540%101.6102.5-0.9
15 Nanjing Tongxi2481633%99.8104.5-4.7
16 Fujian2481633%103.7109.0-5.3
17 Jilin2471729%102.0106.9-5.0
18 Ningbo Rockets2561924%95.4103.4-8.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons2241818%94.4102.1-7.7
20 Sichuan241234%99.5114.1-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2330211993
Guangdong23213229105
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