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Shenzhen vs Guangdong Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 84-91
28-27 21-28 22-17 13-19
Position#13
Record8-18
FormLLWWW
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#8
Record15-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game99.6
ChinaCBARound 27· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shenzhen v Guangdong
28 Mar 2027
SHEN v GUAN
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
SHEN97
GUAN101
06 Jan 2025
SHEN84
GUAN91
03 Feb 2024
SHEN97
GUAN90
31 Mar 2023
SHEN98
GUAN95
28 Oct 2021
SHEN90
GUAN106
17 Mar 2021
SHEN98
GUAN109
20 Oct 2020
SHEN126
GUAN134
22 Jun 2020
SHEN104
GUAN139
15 Apr 2019
SHEN117
GUAN135
13 Apr 2019
SHEN106
GUAN111
13 Mar 2019
SHEN114
GUAN128
24 Dec 2017
SHEN111
GUAN126
19 Mar 2017
SHEN90
GUAN103
17 Mar 2017
SHEN81
GUAN90
15 Mar 2017
SHEN109
GUAN90
02 Nov 2016
SHEN89
GUAN88
15 Nov 2015
SHEN92
GUAN88
12 Feb 2015
SHEN89
GUAN102
06 Feb 2015
SHEN117
GUAN116
23 Jan 2015
SHEN114
GUAN128
16 Feb 2014
SHEN112
GUAN110
07 Dec 2012
SHEN93
GUAN107
05 Feb 2012
SHEN97
GUAN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
98-107
98
107
-9
92avg 96
A13/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
101-77
101
77
+24
105avg 96
H15/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
99-103
99
103
-4
88avg 96
H18/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
139-100
139
100
+39
140avg 96
H20/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
95-109
95
109
-14
87avg 96
A22/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
127-132 OT
127
132
-5
120avg 96
H24/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
101-111
101
111
-10
100avg 96
H27/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
110-107
110
107
+3
109avg 96
H29/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
105-102
105
102
+3
103avg 96
A31/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
122-112
122
112
+10
130avg 96
A03/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-28
23-22
28-34
18-19
34-22
28-16
21-20
29-21
22-36
25-21
23-25
36-31
39-27
28-27
36-15
23-40
26-21
23-26
23-22
29-26
29-34
33-25
28-34
30-32
23-28
17-24
31-27
27-29
28-23
22-28
33-27
21-21
40-26
17-27
27-28
31-32
28-25
41-26
22-29
215.7Avg total
109.7Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)104.6108.5213.0-3.931%
Season at home (13)104.4103.9208.3+0.538%
Season away (13)104.8113.0217.8-8.223%
Last 10 (10)109.7106.0215.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)113.0112.8225.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)97.9108.8206.7-10.911%
vs Similar (2)96.0100.5196.5-4.550%
vs Weaker (10)111.1102.3213.4+8.870%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#10
L
91-124
91
124
-33
106avg 105
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
103-86
103
86
+17
109avg 105
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 105
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
107-113
107
113
-6
113avg 105
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
107-72
107
72
+35
115avg 105
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
99avg 105
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
106-65
106
65
+41
108avg 105
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 105
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
110-103
110
103
+7
115avg 105
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
W
98-93
98
93
+5
108avg 105
H04/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
23-30
29-32
18-29
34-22
27-27
19-16
23-21
25-24
30-28
32-12
25-33
30-31
32-34
26-27
19-21
23-22
31-16
28-15
25-19
30-21
20-31
22-27
15-23
25-22
38-17
27-13
16-13
24-24
19-23
19-20
27-28
33-21
25-29
28-30
24-23
27-26
24-30
28-23
19-14
196.0Avg total
101.0Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)104.799.6204.3+5.158%
Season at home (15)106.599.9206.4+6.767%
Season away (11)102.299.2201.4+3.045%
Last 10 (10)101.095.0196.0+6.060%
Last 5 (5)98.091.6189.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar (15)99.9102.2202.1-2.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)109.391.9201.2+17.482%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
ShenzhenGuangdong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A13/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H18/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H20/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A22/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H24/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H27/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H29/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A31/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A03/01
CBA
110.4Avg total
56.0Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.355.1107.4-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.853.9106.7-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)51.956.3108.1-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)56.054.4110.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)57.255.2112.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)49.857.0106.8-7.222%-
vs Similar (2)50.548.098.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (10)57.353.0110.3+4.380%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#10
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H01/01
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H04/01
CBA
105.2Avg total
54.1Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.1105.0+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.850.4106.2+5.453%-
Last 30 away (13)51.551.9103.4-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)54.151.1105.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.048.8101.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar (15)51.152.9104.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.948.4109.3+12.591%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.030.7
52.0%
52.6%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.6
40.8%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.7
77.0%
76.3%15.7
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 101.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.924.4
58.2%
52.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.7
37.5%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.417.1
76.3%
76.3%17.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
WWWLLLWLWL
Guangdong
WWLWLWLWWL
#13
League position
#8
+3.4
Net rating
+7.8
115.0
Offensive rating
114.4
111.6
Defensive rating
106.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
57.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.8%
3-point %
37.5%
62.5%
Assist %
75.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 114.4Defence111.6 · 106.6Shooting54.8% · 57.4%3-point %40.8% · 37.5%Ball care18.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds36.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Guangdong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shenzhen wins
7
Guangdong wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Guangdong v Shenzhen123-88
03/02/24Shenzhen v Guangdong97-90
25/12/23Guangdong v Shenzhen120-93
31/03/23Shenzhen v Guangdong98-95
15/10/22Guangdong v Shenzhen90-91
28/10/21Shenzhen v Guangdong90-106
16/10/21Guangdong v Shenzhen106-83
03/04/21Guangdong v Shenzhen114-95
17/03/21Shenzhen v Guangdong98-109
10/12/20Guangdong v Shenzhen132-104
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AFujian122-112
31/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou105-102
29/12/24HTianjin110-107
27/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou101-111
24/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu127-132 OT
22/12/24ABeijing Royal Fighters95-109
20/12/24HNingbo Rockets139-100
18/12/24HShanghai99-103
15/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha101-77
13/12/24AShandong98-107
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HShandong98-93
01/01/25HTianjin110-103
30/12/24ALiaoning89-95
28/12/24AJilin106-65
25/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou87-102
23/12/24HNingbo Rockets107-72
21/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-113
18/12/24ANanjing Tongxi112-97
16/12/24AJiangsu Dragons103-86
14/12/24HShanghai91-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW31%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%38%23%
Points / game104.6104.4104.8
Allowed / game108.5103.9113.0
Point differential-3.9+0.5-8.2
Avg total213.0208.3217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %58%67%45%
Points / game104.7106.5102.2
Allowed / game99.699.999.2
Point differential+5.1+6.7+3.0
Avg total204.3206.4201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2622485%104.492.7+11.7
2 Shanxi Zhongyu2620677%115.3107.8+7.5
3 Xinjiang2619773%111.0102.7+8.3
4 Beijing2518772%102.396.0+6.4
5 Liaoning2618869%105.596.9+8.6
6 Shandong2618869%104.7100.3+4.3
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou2718967%113.4106.1+7.3
8 Qingdao2718967%104.6100.4+4.1
9 Guangdong26151158%104.799.6+5.1
10 Shanghai23131057%110.2105.2+5.0
11 Beijing Royal Fighters25141156%104.9100.7+4.2
12 Nanjing Tongxi26131350%106.6107.2-0.7
13 Jilin26101638%102.5109.7-7.2
14 Shenzhen2681831%104.6108.5-3.9
15 Ningbo Rockets2681831%102.7113.4-10.7
16 Tianjin2671927%99.5108.7-9.2
17 Sichuan2772026%101.3109.9-8.6
18 Guangzhou2762122%98.2107.0-8.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons2752219%94.6103.3-8.7
20 Fujian2632312%102.3115.7-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shenzhen2821221384
Guangdong2728171991
← all games of the day
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