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Guangdong vs Shandong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 98-93
27-26 24-30 28-23 19-14
Position#8
Record14-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game99.8
Guangdong 🏆
China
vs
Shandong
China
Position#6
Record18-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game100.4
ChinaCBARound 26· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Shandong
01 Apr 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
GUAN94
SHAN88
04 Jan 2025
GUAN98
SHAN93
20 Mar 2024
GUAN127
SHAN101
02 Apr 2023
GUAN102
SHAN93
01 Mar 2022
GUAN127
SHAN101
20 Apr 2021
GUAN117
SHAN99
05 Feb 2021
GUAN131
SHAN112
18 Jan 2020
GUAN132
SHAN103
08 Nov 2019
GUAN126
SHAN110
04 Jan 2019
GUAN132
SHAN97
21 Jan 2018
GUAN110
SHAN113
27 Nov 2016
GUAN104
SHAN94
19 Feb 2016
GUAN125
SHAN105
17 Feb 2016
GUAN130
SHAN111
01 Nov 2015
GUAN95
SHAN98
07 Nov 2014
GUAN96
SHAN85
22 Nov 2013
GUAN86
SHAN64
27 Mar 2013
GUAN97
SHAN83
24 Mar 2013
GUAN93
SHAN82
15 Feb 2013
GUAN105
SHAN103
11 Jan 2012
GUAN102
SHAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#3
W
106-90
106
90
+16
104avg 105
H12/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
91-124
91
124
-33
106avg 105
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
103-86
103
86
+17
109avg 105
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 105
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
107-113
107
113
-6
113avg 105
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
107-72
107
72
+35
115avg 105
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
99avg 105
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
106-65
106
65
+41
108avg 105
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 105
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
110-103
110
103
+7
115avg 105
H01/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
33-21
23-23
22-27
21-33
23-30
29-32
18-29
34-22
27-27
19-16
23-21
25-24
30-28
32-12
25-33
30-31
32-34
26-27
19-21
23-22
31-16
28-15
25-19
30-21
20-31
22-27
15-23
25-22
38-17
27-13
16-13
24-24
19-23
19-20
27-28
33-21
25-29
28-30
24-23
196.5Avg total
101.8Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)105.099.8204.8+5.156%
Season at home (14)107.1100.4207.5+6.864%
Season away (11)102.299.2201.4+3.045%
Last 10 (10)101.894.7196.5+7.160%
Last 5 (5)99.887.4187.2+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)99.7103.7203.4-4.140%
vs Weaker (11)109.391.9201.2+17.482%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
103-93
103
93
+10
90avg 98
H11/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
107-98
107
98
+9
100avg 98
H13/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
103-92
103
92
+11
101avg 98
A15/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
72avg 98
A18/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
123-126
123
126
-3
110avg 98
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 98
H23/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 98
H25/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
121-102
121
102
+19
115avg 98
H27/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
111-80
111
80
+31
108avg 98
H30/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
111-107
111
107
+4
100avg 98
A01/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
27-27
28-19
23-10
23-21
28-26
22-23
34-28
21-17
32-23
27-28
23-24
19-33
24-18
20-18
17-29
31-33
41-37
22-29
29-27
18-21
22-20
25-20
27-22
22-17
22-30
34-26
35-34
33-21
32-17
31-36
25-28
23-27
34-15
24-10
30-28
32-28
23-26
23-23
33-30
205.0Avg total
106.4Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)105.2100.4205.6+4.772%
Season at home (14)107.1100.4207.5+6.879%
Season away (11)102.6100.5203.2+2.164%
Last 10 (10)106.498.6205.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)109.695.8205.4+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)99.0108.0207.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)99.898.3198.1+1.567%
vs Weaker (13)108.793.6202.3+15.192%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
GuangdongShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#3
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H12/12
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H14/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A16/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H23/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H25/12
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A28/12
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A30/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H01/01
CBA
104.6Avg total
55.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.751.1104.8+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.150.1106.2+6.156%-
Last 30 away (14)50.952.4103.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)55.149.5104.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.645.298.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.251.897.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.653.0103.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (11)60.948.4109.3+12.591%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H11/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A15/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A18/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/12
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H25/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
65-38
65
38
+27
H27/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H30/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A01/01
CBA
102.6Avg total
53.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.849.5102.3+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.751.3105.0+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)51.847.499.2+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)53.249.4102.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)52.244.496.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.560.0107.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.251.3101.5-1.153%-
vs Weaker (13)56.645.8102.5+10.877%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 101.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.325.3
57.1%
52.6%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.3
37.2%
35.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.3
74.2%
76.3%17.3
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.324.1
51.0%
52.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.3
38.7%
35.1%36.9
🏀 Free throws26.220.5
78.2%
76.3%20.5
They take 79.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLWLWLWWLW
Shandong
WWWWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#6
+9.1
Net rating
+8.5
115.5
Offensive rating
115.1
106.4
Defensive rating
106.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.2%
3-point %
38.7%
74.6%
Assist %
70.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 115.1Defence106.4 · 106.6Shooting56.6% · 53.8%3-point %37.2% · 38.7%Ball care17.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Guangdong   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangdong wins
4
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Shandong v Guangdong115-105
20/03/24Guangdong v Shandong127-101
08/11/23Shandong v Guangdong112-88
02/04/23Guangdong v Shandong102-93
19/10/22Shandong v Guangdong96-95 OT
22/03/22Shandong v Guangdong111-110 OT
01/03/22Guangdong v Shandong127-101
22/04/21Shandong v Guangdong112-118
20/04/21Guangdong v Shandong117-99
10/03/21Shandong v Guangdong90-104
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25HTianjin110-103
30/12/24ALiaoning89-95
28/12/24AJilin106-65
25/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou87-102
23/12/24HNingbo Rockets107-72
21/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-113
18/12/24ANanjing Tongxi112-97
16/12/24AJiangsu Dragons103-86
14/12/24HShanghai91-124
12/12/24HBeijing106-90
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AXinjiang111-107
30/12/24HSichuan111-80
27/12/24HTianjin121-102
25/12/24HBeijing113-107
23/12/24HQingdao92-83
20/12/24AXinjiang123-126
18/12/24AShanxi Zhongyu80-98
15/12/24AFujian103-92
13/12/24HShenzhen107-98
11/12/24HBeijing Royal Fighters103-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeLLWLW64%
AwayWWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%64%45%
Points / game105.0107.1102.2
Allowed / game99.8100.499.2
Point differential+5.1+6.8+3.0
Avg total204.8207.5201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shandong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %72%79%64%
Points / game105.2107.1102.6
Allowed / game100.4100.4100.5
Point differential+4.7+6.8+2.1
Avg total205.6207.5203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha2521484%104.492.5+12.0
2 Xinjiang2519676%111.0102.2+8.9
3 Shanxi Zhongyu2519676%115.4107.7+7.6
4 Beijing2518772%102.396.0+6.4
5 Shandong2518772%105.2100.4+4.7
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou2618869%114.2106.3+7.8
7 Liaoning2517868%105.797.6+8.1
8 Qingdao2617965%104.6100.8+3.8
9 Beijing Royal Fighters24141058%105.2100.5+4.6
10 Guangdong25141156%105.099.8+5.1
11 Shanghai22121055%109.5104.8+4.6
12 Nanjing Tongxi25121348%106.5107.7-1.2
13 Jilin25101540%103.4110.0-6.6
14 Ningbo Rockets2581732%102.2112.9-10.6
15 Shenzhen2681831%104.6108.5-3.9
16 Tianjin2571828%99.7108.7-9.0
17 Sichuan2671927%100.3109.0-8.7
18 Guangzhou2662023%98.5107.2-8.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons2642215%94.4103.7-9.3
20 Fujian252238%101.1115.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong2724281998
Shandong2630231493
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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