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Guangdong vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 102-95
17-28 27-26 27-23 31-18
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#5
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game108.7
ChinaCBARound 4· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangdong v Xinjiang
11 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
GUAN111
XINJ89
20 Oct 2024
GUAN102
XINJ95
07 Jan 2024
GUAN110
XINJ114
05 Apr 2023
GUAN108
XINJ95
20 Mar 2022
GUAN118
XINJ99
16 Dec 2020
GUAN115
XINJ102
19 Nov 2019
GUAN128
XINJ127
28 Apr 2019
GUAN116
XINJ97
26 Apr 2019
GUAN142
XINJ123
04 Nov 2018
GUAN129
XINJ127
28 Oct 2018
GUAN112
XINJ95
19 Mar 2018
GUAN92
XINJ95
17 Mar 2018
GUAN123
XINJ99
07 Nov 2017
GUAN98
XINJ95
07 Apr 2017
GUAN109
XINJ117
05 Apr 2017
GUAN91
XINJ104
18 Nov 2016
GUAN117
XINJ85
20 Jan 2016
GUAN101
XINJ84
07 Jan 2015
GUAN111
XINJ94
24 Jan 2014
GUAN119
XINJ111
15 Mar 2013
GUAN100
XINJ98
13 Mar 2013
GUAN88
XINJ86
04 Jan 2013
GUAN102
XINJ98
09 Mar 2012
GUAN120
XINJ102
07 Mar 2012
GUAN97
XINJ92
23 Dec 2011
GUAN109
XINJ92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
102-109
102
109
-7
106avg 103
A23/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
117-82
117
82
+35
116avg 103
A25/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 103
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
110-94
110
94
+16
102avg 103
A03/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
98-82
98
82
+16
102avg 103
H06/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
90-107
90
107
-17
79avg 103
H08/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
95-116
95
116
-21
75avg 103
A11/05
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
99-110
99
110
-11
88avg 103
A13/10
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
105-115
105
115
-10
101avg 103
A15/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
118-113
118
113
+5
110avg 103
A18/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
27-25
21-32
23-32
31-14
34-25
21-26
31-17
31-32
25-27
14-30
27-30
28-26
24-17
30-23
28-28
25-17
19-24
26-19
28-22
22-27
21-25
21-30
26-25
16-29
27-29
26-22
26-36
29-23
22-39
27-23
21-25
22-29
27-28
24-29
32-29
33-28
28-32
27-27
30-26
207.8Avg total
103.1Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)107.3112.7220.0-5.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)107.3112.7220.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)103.1104.7207.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)101.4112.2213.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)108.5102.5211.0+5.953%
vs Weaker (13)115.2106.7221.9+8.577%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
85-95
85
95
-10
75avg 99
H04/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
105-93
105
93
+12
104avg 99
A07/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
108-95
108
95
+13
106avg 99
A09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
112-121
112
121
-9
102avg 99
A15/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
86-97
86
97
-11
68avg 99
A17/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
82avg 99
H20/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 99
H22/05
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
112-98
112
98
+14
94avg 99
H13/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
130-117
130
117
+13
127avg 99
H15/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
114-111
114
111
+3
108avg 99
H17/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
16-28
24-25
17-15
26-26
29-29
20-24
30-14
36-22
19-23
21-18
32-32
18-34
28-25
32-31
34-31
31-32
15-25
21-20
19-20
20-29
27-31
18-17
26-21
21-25
26-28
25-31
23-20
28-29
29-28
27-23
28-18
42-19
39-32
26-34
23-32
41-21
28-28
25-38
20-24
206.7Avg total
103.8Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)118.7108.7227.3+10.0100%
Season at home (3)118.7108.7227.3+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.8102.9206.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)108.4105.6214.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)100.6100.0200.6+0.640%
vs Weaker (20)109.199.0208.1+10.175%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
GuangdongXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A23/04
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A25/04
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A11/05
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A13/10
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A15/10
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A18/10
CBA
103.8Avg total
52.2Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.553.1111.6+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.652.6113.2+8.193%-
Last 30 away (16)56.653.6110.2+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)52.251.6103.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.457.8107.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)56.051.4107.4+4.665%-
vs Weaker (13)61.855.4117.2+6.477%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H04/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A07/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A15/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A17/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H20/05
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H22/05
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H13/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H15/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H17/10
CBA
108.8Avg total
54.7Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.251.1104.2+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.251.1108.4+6.153%-
Last 30 away (13)47.851.098.8-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)54.754.1108.8+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)60.254.0114.2+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)52.052.9104.9-0.940%-
vs Weaker (20)53.850.1103.9+3.650%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 102.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.123.9
51.8%
52.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.7
34.7%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.319.2
79.0%
76.3%19.2
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 101.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.528.3
51.0%
52.6%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.6
30.4%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.419.1
75.2%
76.3%19.1
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLLLLWWLWL
Xinjiang
WWWLLLLWWL
#8
League position
#5
-1.9
Net rating
+3.2
105.9
Offensive rating
108.4
107.7
Defensive rating
105.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
30.4%
63.5%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 108.4Defence107.7 · 105.2Shooting51.9% · 49.2%3-point %34.7% · 30.4%Ball care17.5% · 12.7%Off. rebounds28.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Guangdong   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangdong wins
3
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Guangdong v Xinjiang110-114
15/12/23Xinjiang v Guangdong110-88
05/04/23Guangdong v Xinjiang108-95
28/10/22Xinjiang v Guangdong81-100
20/03/22Guangdong v Xinjiang118-99
03/03/22Xinjiang v Guangdong109-107
02/01/21Xinjiang v Guangdong95-132
16/12/20Guangdong v Xinjiang115-102
21/01/20Xinjiang v Guangdong101-112
19/11/19Guangdong v Xinjiang128-127
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24AQingdao118-113
15/10/24AShandong105-115
13/10/24AShanxi Zhongyu99-110
11/05/24ALiaoning95-116
08/05/24HLiaoning90-107
06/05/24HLiaoning98-82
03/05/24ALiaoning110-94
01/05/24ALiaoning97-119
25/04/24AZhejiang Guangsha117-82
23/04/24AZhejiang Guangsha102-109
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HBeijing Royal Fighters114-111
15/10/24HShenzhen130-117
13/10/24HJiangsu Dragons112-98
22/05/24HLiaoning95-104
20/05/24HLiaoning91-98
17/05/24ALiaoning86-97
15/05/24ALiaoning112-121
09/05/24AZhejiang Chouzhou108-95
07/05/24AZhejiang Chouzhou105-93
04/05/24HZhejiang Chouzhou85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game107.3-107.3
Allowed / game112.7-112.7
Point differential-5.3--5.3
Avg total220.0-220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game118.7118.7-
Allowed / game108.7108.7-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total227.3227.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning330100%119.792.0+27.7
2 Shanxi Zhongyu330100%110.097.3+12.7
3 Zhejiang Guangsha440100%109.897.8+12.0
4 Beijing330100%102.791.0+11.7
5 Xinjiang330100%118.7108.7+10.0
6 Tianjin220100%113.5107.0+6.5
7 Beijing Royal Fighters43175%107.899.0+8.8
8 Qingdao32167%107.798.3+9.3
9 Shandong42250%105.2101.0+4.2
10 Nanjing Tongxi42250%105.8107.2-1.5
11 Jilin31233%112.0110.0+2.0
12 Shenzhen31233%109.7111.3-1.7
13 Zhejiang Chouzhou31233%111.7116.0-4.3
14 Guangdong31233%107.3112.7-5.3
15 Ningbo Rockets41325%99.8111.0-11.2
16 Shanghai3030%104.7107.7-3.0
17 Sichuan4040%98.8111.8-13.0
18 Jiangsu Dragons3030%94.0114.0-20.0
19 Fujian3030%96.3118.3-22.0
20 Guangzhou2020%84.0114.5-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong17272731102
Xinjiang2826231895
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