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Guangdong vs Xinjiang Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
ChinaCBARound 12· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Xinjiang
11 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
GUAN111
XINJ89
20 Oct 2024
GUAN102
XINJ95
07 Jan 2024
GUAN110
XINJ114
05 Apr 2023
GUAN108
XINJ95
20 Mar 2022
GUAN118
XINJ99
16 Dec 2020
GUAN115
XINJ102
19 Nov 2019
GUAN128
XINJ127
28 Apr 2019
GUAN116
XINJ97
26 Apr 2019
GUAN142
XINJ123
04 Nov 2018
GUAN129
XINJ127
28 Oct 2018
GUAN112
XINJ95
19 Mar 2018
GUAN92
XINJ95
17 Mar 2018
GUAN123
XINJ99
07 Nov 2017
GUAN98
XINJ95
07 Apr 2017
GUAN109
XINJ117
05 Apr 2017
GUAN91
XINJ104
18 Nov 2016
GUAN117
XINJ85
20 Jan 2016
GUAN101
XINJ84
07 Jan 2015
GUAN111
XINJ94
24 Jan 2014
GUAN119
XINJ111
15 Mar 2013
GUAN100
XINJ98
13 Mar 2013
GUAN88
XINJ86
04 Jan 2013
GUAN102
XINJ98
09 Mar 2012
GUAN120
XINJ102
07 Mar 2012
GUAN97
XINJ92
23 Dec 2011
GUAN109
XINJ92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 89
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 89
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
L
109-112
109
112
-3
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
27-19
12-21
21-20
16-25
35-27
21-27
25-24
28-34
179.4Avg total
88.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.690.4179.0-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.286.8180.0+6.575%
Season away (4)84.094.0178.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)88.491.0179.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.090.6178.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.892.1183.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (13)94.081.6175.6+12.462%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 80
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 80
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
GuangdongXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
Shandong
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A31/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H02/11
CBA
91.0Avg total
43.3Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.992.0+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.544.492.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.745.391.1+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.347.791.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.947.493.2-1.529%-
vs Weaker (13)50.439.990.3+10.577%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
35.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LLWLWWLLLW
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
#12
League position
#15
+6.1
Net rating
-3.7
102.5
Offensive rating
102.0
96.4
Defensive rating
105.7
56.0%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
11.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
34.7%
65.4%
Assist %
69.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 102.0Defence96.4 · 105.7Shooting56.0% · 55.3%3-point %36.5% · 34.7%Ball care14.2% · 11.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Guangdong   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangdong wins
4
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
17/03/26Guangdong v Xinjiang111-89
11/03/26Xinjiang v Guangdong82-80
10/03/25Xinjiang v Guangdong87-106
20/10/24Guangdong v Xinjiang102-95
07/01/24Guangdong v Xinjiang110-114
15/12/23Xinjiang v Guangdong110-88
05/04/23Guangdong v Xinjiang108-95
28/10/22Xinjiang v Guangdong81-100
20/03/22Guangdong v Xinjiang118-99
03/03/22Xinjiang v Guangdong109-107
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HQingdao109-112
31/10/26AShandong76-85
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game88.693.284.0
Allowed / game90.486.894.0
Point differential-1.8+6.5-10.0
Avg total179.0180.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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