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Guangzhou vs Sichuan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 125-98
24-31 35-21 29-21 37-25
Position#9
Record18-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game99.1
vs
Position#20
Record4-33
FormLLLLL
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game112.6
ChinaCBARound 38· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Sichuan
15 Mar 2027
GUAN v SICH
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GUAN v SICH
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
GUAN106
SICH76
14 Mar 2025
GUAN87
SICH79
03 Feb 2024
GUAN125
SICH98
14 Oct 2022
GUAN106
SICH98
04 Jan 2022
GUAN103
SICH110
01 Feb 2021
GUAN91
SICH104
19 Jan 2020
GUAN107
SICH111
28 Oct 2018
GUAN110
SICH95
02 Nov 2017
GUAN125
SICH111
13 Nov 2016
GUAN97
SICH103
10 Jan 2016
GUAN104
SICH117
07 Dec 2014
GUAN118
SICH102
01 Jan 2014
GUAN106
SICH112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sichuan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
116-106
116
106
+10
117avg 95
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
116-105
116
105
+11
119avg 95
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
95avg 95
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 95
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 95
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 95
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 95
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 95
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 95
A01/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
28-20
30-33
30-31
34-28
26-26
26-23
30-28
20-22
30-19
21-22
21-14
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
204.5Avg total
104.3Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)100.999.1199.9+1.849%
Season at home (18)103.398.7201.9+4.656%
Season away (19)98.699.5198.1-0.942%
Last 10 (10)104.3100.2204.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)99.897.6197.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)98.2103.8202.0-5.525%
vs Similar (13)98.9101.8200.7-2.823%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)102.795.1197.8+7.677%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
90avg 88
A10/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
107-105
107
105
+2
104avg 88
H12/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
105-95
105
95
+10
99avg 88
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 88
H18/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
92-121
92
121
-29
86avg 88
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
64avg 88
A22/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
98-112
98
112
-14
62avg 88
H24/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
100-114
100
114
-14
91avg 88
H26/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
117-123
117
123
-6
107avg 88
H29/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 88
A31/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
27-19
20-29
25-27
36-18
21-26
29-29
21-32
22-24
30-22
29-26
24-23
35-36
28-35
16-24
23-24
29-30
17-27
28-25
18-39
20-26
18-28
20-23
20-33
26-24
24-22
27-41
21-25
27-21
22-26
20-37
31-30
28-27
29-39
34-31
26-26
24-32
37-27
16-32
32-24
211.6Avg total
100.3Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)98.9112.6211.6-13.711%
Season at home (20)101.8113.8215.5-12.020%
Season away (17)95.6111.3206.9-15.60%
Last 10 (10)100.3111.3211.6-11.020%
Last 5 (5)100.4114.8215.2-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)98.2113.0211.1-14.811%
vs Similar (2)104.596.0200.5+8.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
GuangzhouSichuan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
104.8Avg total
51.9Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.851.6102.3-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.651.4104.0+1.364%-
Last 30 away (16)49.151.8100.9-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)51.952.9104.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.654.0104.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.257.2107.5-7.025%-
vs Similar (13)50.852.3103.1-1.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.949.1100.0+1.854%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A10/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H12/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H15/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H18/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A22/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H24/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H26/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H29/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A31/01
CBA
105.6Avg total
52.3Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.757.1107.8-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.957.3109.2-5.533%-
Last 30 away (15)49.656.9106.5-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)52.353.3105.6-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.054.4105.4-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)50.557.5107.9-7.025%-
vs Similar (2)54.552.0106.5+2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 102.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.830.0
53.8%
52.7%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.4
37.3%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.8
73.4%
76.0%16.8
They take 78.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.325.3
55.8%
52.7%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.410.5
30.5%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.4
80.9%
76.0%17.4
They take 79.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWWW
Sichuan
LLLLLLLWWL
#9
League position
#20
+2.9
Net rating
-11.3
113.3
Offensive rating
105.7
110.4
Defensive rating
117.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.3%
3-point %
30.5%
60.4%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 105.7Defence110.4 · 117.0Shooting54.4% · 51.5%3-point %37.3% · 30.5%Ball care15.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 22.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Sichuan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangzhou wins
4
Sichuan wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Sichuan v Guangzhou82-108
22/03/23Sichuan v Guangzhou90-102
14/10/22Guangzhou v Sichuan106-98
13/01/22Sichuan v Guangzhou71-92
04/01/22Guangzhou v Sichuan103-110
06/03/21Sichuan v Guangzhou111-114 OT
01/02/21Guangzhou v Sichuan91-104
19/01/20Guangzhou v Sichuan107-111
16/11/19Sichuan v Guangzhou104-99
01/01/19Sichuan v Guangzhou99-113
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113
14/01/24HNingbo Rockets92-77
12/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu116-105
10/01/24AFujian116-106
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AFujian109-115
29/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu117-123
26/01/24HNanjing Tongxi100-114
24/01/24HTianjin98-112
22/01/24AShanghai78-110
20/01/24AXinjiang92-121
18/01/24HBeijing Royal Fighters102-119
15/01/24HShandong105-95
12/01/24HZhejiang Guangsha107-105
10/01/24ANanjing Tongxi95-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL49%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %49%56%42%
Points / game100.9103.398.6
Allowed / game99.198.799.5
Point differential+1.8+4.6-0.9
Avg total199.9201.9198.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Sichuan
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game98.9101.895.6
Allowed / game112.6113.8111.3
Point differential-13.7-12.0-15.6
Avg total211.6215.5206.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang3831782%106.195.5+10.6
2 Liaoning3730781%103.293.6+9.5
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou37271073%107.598.9+8.6
4 Guangdong37251268%108.5104.1+4.4
5 Zhejiang Guangsha38251366%104.096.9+7.1
6 Shenzhen37241365%106.6102.7+3.9
7 Qingdao37231462%101.999.5+2.4
8 Beijing Royal Fighters38231561%105.9102.7+3.2
9 Shanghai37221559%106.2103.6+2.6
10 Guangzhou37181949%100.999.1+1.8
11 Shanxi Zhongyu37181949%109.7111.9-2.2
12 Beijing37172046%100.5101.8-1.2
13 Tianjin38172145%106.9109.2-2.3
14 Nanjing Tongxi38162242%101.5104.4-2.9
15 Shandong37152241%101.1102.9-1.8
16 Fujian38142437%102.7106.6-3.9
17 Jilin37132435%103.8107.7-3.9
18 Ningbo Rockets3763116%92.1105.2-13.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons3543111%93.7103.6-9.9
20 Sichuan3743311%98.9112.6-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou24352937125
Sichuan3121212598
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