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Shandong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 112-105
25-34 40-23 20-21 27-27
Position#15
Record13-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game103.3
Shandong 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#9
Record16-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game99.3
ChinaCBARound 33· Shandong Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shandong v Guangzhou
18 Dec 2026
SHAN v GUAN
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
SHAN83
GUAN80
19 Mar 2025
SHAN98
GUAN77
22 Jan 2024
SHAN112
GUAN105
31 Dec 2023
SHAN103
GUAN83
09 Apr 2023
SHAN76
GUAN93
26 Dec 2022
SHAN112
GUAN109
14 Nov 2021
SHAN89
GUAN107
16 Apr 2021
SHAN119
GUAN107
22 Dec 2020
SHAN113
GUAN103
25 Oct 2020
SHAN94
GUAN96
10 Nov 2019
SHAN100
GUAN99
27 Jan 2019
SHAN111
GUAN91
17 Nov 2017
SHAN129
GUAN102
18 Jan 2017
SHAN122
GUAN100
25 Nov 2015
SHAN144
GUAN107
28 Nov 2014
SHAN98
GUAN118
10 Jan 2014
SHAN110
GUAN102
25 Nov 2012
SHAN97
GUAN85
30 Dec 2011
SHAN108
GUAN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#6
L
100-106
100
106
-6
88avg 91
H29/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
75avg 91
H31/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
109-103
109
103
+6
106avg 91
H02/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
96-106
96
106
-10
89avg 91
A06/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
89-86
89
86
+3
90avg 91
A08/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
100-110
100
110
-10
96avg 91
A10/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H12/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
95-105
95
105
-10
88avg 91
A15/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
110-107
110
107
+3
105avg 91
H17/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
106-118
106
118
-12
87avg 91
H19/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
18-32
27-23
23-32
20-27
31-19
24-17
28-20
36-35
28-18
27-29
18-21
29-25
25-33
24-28
18-20
28-20
20-23
23-23
18-20
22-28
31-27
26-29
21-26
24-28
21-26
27-19
30-29
24-22
22-30
26-29
23-24
27-35
31-28
24-23
28-21
29-25
28-31
27-29
22-33
206.0Avg total
102.5Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)101.7103.3205.0-1.741%
Season at home (17)106.9102.2209.1+4.659%
Season away (15)95.7104.5200.3-8.820%
Last 10 (10)102.5103.5206.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)105.6110.2215.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)98.098.1196.1-0.129%
vs Similar (16)103.6107.7211.2-4.138%
vs Weaker (7)105.198.1203.3+7.071%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 96
A29/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
83-103
83
103
-20
76avg 96
A31/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
79avg 96
H03/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
108-82
108
82
+26
106avg 96
A05/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
96-99
96
99
-3
92avg 96
A08/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
116-106
116
106
+10
117avg 96
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
116-105
116
105
+11
119avg 96
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
95avg 96
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 96
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
22-13
20-25
20-24
27-20
19-31
17-24
20-28
23-23
30-21
21-32
19-29
28-17
30-22
19-25
31-18
25-32
21-25
31-16
19-26
28-22
28-20
30-33
30-31
34-28
26-26
26-23
30-28
20-22
30-19
21-22
21-14
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
200.4Avg total
100.9Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)101.099.3200.3+1.750%
Season at home (16)103.398.7202.0+4.656%
Season away (16)98.899.9198.7-1.244%
Last 10 (10)100.999.5200.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)108.8102.8211.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)98.6104.0202.6-5.420%
vs Similar (13)98.8103.5202.2-4.723%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)103.695.7199.2+7.983%
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
ShandongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H29/12
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H31/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H02/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A06/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H12/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A15/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H17/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H19/01
CBA
105.7Avg total
52.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.152.0105.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.952.2109.1+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)48.751.8100.5-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)52.653.1105.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)51.856.0107.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)48.151.499.6-3.357%-
vs Similar (16)53.553.7107.2-0.244%-
vs Weaker (7)57.148.7105.9+8.486%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/12
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A31/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H03/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A05/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
100.7Avg total
51.4Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.951.3102.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.551.4104.9+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)48.651.299.8-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)51.449.3100.7+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.8105.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.656.2104.8-7.620%-
vs Similar (13)52.151.2103.3+0.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.549.499.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.6
53.2%
52.7%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.1
32.6%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.516.2
79.0%
76.0%16.2
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 99.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.828.6
54.2%
52.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.2
39.1%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
76.0%15.1
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWLWLWLWWL
Guangzhou
LWWWWLWLLL
#15
League position
#9
-3.3
Net rating
+1.3
107.9
Offensive rating
111.9
111.2
Defensive rating
110.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
39.1%
64.0%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 111.9Defence111.2 · 110.5Shooting51.7% · 55.6%3-point %32.6% · 39.1%Ball care17.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Shandong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shandong wins
5
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
31/12/23Shandong v Guangzhou103-83
23/10/23Guangzhou v Shandong114-81
11/04/23Guangzhou v Shandong89-80
09/04/23Shandong v Guangzhou76-93
26/12/22Shandong v Guangzhou112-109
12/12/22Guangzhou v Shandong81-86
22/01/22Guangzhou v Shandong116-106
14/11/21Shandong v Guangzhou89-107
16/04/21Shandong v Guangzhou119-107
31/12/20Guangzhou v Shandong115-117
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HShenzhen106-118
17/01/24HTianjin110-107
15/01/24ASichuan95-105
12/01/24HBeijing117-111 OT
10/01/24AShanghai100-110
08/01/24AJiangsu Dragons89-86
06/01/24AShanghai96-106
02/01/24HNingbo Rockets109-103
31/12/23HGuangzhou103-83
29/12/23HShanghai100-106
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113
14/01/24HNingbo Rockets92-77
12/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu116-105
10/01/24AFujian116-106
08/01/24AZhejiang Chouzhou96-99
05/01/24ASichuan108-82
03/01/24HGuangdong93-105
31/12/23AShandong83-103
29/12/23AQingdao85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeWWWWL59%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %41%59%20%
Points / game101.7106.995.7
Allowed / game103.3102.2104.5
Point differential-1.7+4.6-8.8
Avg total205.0209.1200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %9%6%13%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game101.0103.398.8
Allowed / game99.398.799.9
Point differential+1.7+4.6-1.2
Avg total200.3202.0198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning3227584%102.392.2+10.1
2 Xinjiang3226681%104.495.4+9.0
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou3223972%107.498.2+9.2
4 Zhejiang Guangsha33231070%105.597.1+8.5
5 Guangdong33231070%107.6102.7+4.9
6 Qingdao33221167%102.398.6+3.7
7 Shenzhen33211264%105.4101.4+4.0
8 Shanghai32181456%105.6103.9+1.7
9 Beijing Royal Fighters32171553%104.5102.6+1.9
10 Guangzhou32161650%101.099.3+1.7
11 Shanxi Zhongyu32151747%110.1112.4-2.3
12 Beijing33151845%101.1102.5-1.4
13 Tianjin32141844%105.3109.0-3.7
14 Shandong32131941%101.7103.3-1.7
15 Nanjing Tongxi33132039%100.8104.8-4.0
16 Jilin33122136%102.8107.2-4.3
17 Fujian33112233%101.5105.8-4.3
18 Ningbo Rockets3262619%92.9103.7-10.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons3042613%93.7103.1-9.4
20 Sichuan3242812%98.7112.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong25402027112
Guangzhou34232127105
← all games of the day
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