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Guangzhou vs Qingdao Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 108-98
29-27 22-34 35-20 22-17
Position#9
Record16-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game99.7
vs
Position#7
Record22-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game98.6
ChinaCBARound 34· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Qingdao
11 Dec 2026
GUAN v QING
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
GUAN88
QING90
05 Jan 2025
GUAN90
QING103
14 Dec 2024
GUAN103
QING113
14 Apr 2024
GUAN92
QING78
25 Jan 2024
GUAN108
QING98
13 Nov 2023
GUAN96
QING101
20 Dec 2022
GUAN88
QING89
12 Oct 2022
GUAN59
QING80
06 Jan 2022
GUAN108
QING97
26 Jan 2021
GUAN111
QING116
20 Oct 2020
GUAN88
QING112
17 Jan 2020
GUAN116
QING113
01 Mar 2019
GUAN119
QING109
29 Dec 2018
GUAN111
QING102
21 Jan 2018
GUAN121
QING113
13 Jan 2017
GUAN85
QING94
08 Dec 2015
GUAN111
QING116
13 Jan 2015
GUAN115
QING125
15 Dec 2013
GUAN99
QING109
06 Jan 2013
GUAN129
QING110
15 Feb 2012
GUAN107
QING101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
83-103
83
103
-20
76avg 96
A31/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
79avg 96
H03/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
108-82
108
82
+26
106avg 96
A05/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
96-99
96
99
-3
92avg 96
A08/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
116-106
116
106
+10
117avg 96
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
116-105
116
105
+11
119avg 96
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
95avg 96
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 96
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
19-31
17-24
20-28
23-23
30-21
21-32
19-29
28-17
30-22
19-25
31-18
25-32
21-25
31-16
19-26
28-22
28-20
30-33
30-31
34-28
26-26
26-23
30-28
20-22
30-19
21-22
21-14
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
204.4Avg total
102.9Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)101.299.7200.8+1.548%
Season at home (16)103.398.7202.0+4.656%
Season away (17)99.1100.6199.8-1.541%
Last 10 (10)102.9101.5204.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)106.6104.0210.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)98.6104.0202.6-5.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)98.8103.5202.2-4.723%
vs Weaker (12)103.296.4199.7+6.875%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
104-92
104
92
+12
99avg 94
H31/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 94
A04/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
114-100
114
100
+14
107avg 94
H06/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
110-105
110
105
+5
108avg 94
H08/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
107-81
107
81
+26
104avg 94
H10/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
109-116
109
116
-7
102avg 94
A12/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
105-92
105
92
+13
114avg 94
A14/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
109-99
109
99
+10
107avg 94
A16/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
119-114 OT
119
114
+5
no box
H19/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
103-101
103
101
+2
97avg 94
A21/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
26-28
20-20
27-24
25-22
27-25
12-24
18-21
36-12
26-28
34-32
18-28
20-22
33-24
25-29
32-30
33-12
17-24
26-25
31-20
29-28
31-23
20-36
29-29
21-30
31-19
29-16
24-27
17-20
34-21
23-22
35-36
24-16
28-30
28-27
22-29
27-21
28-30
19-23
29-27
205.4Avg total
106.2Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)102.398.6201.0+3.767%
Season at home (16)105.496.1201.6+9.388%
Season away (17)99.4101.0200.4-1.647%
Last 10 (10)106.299.2205.4+7.080%
Last 5 (5)109.0104.4213.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)98.7101.5200.2-2.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)101.298.3199.5+2.869%
vs Weaker (11)104.795.1199.8+9.682%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
GuangzhouQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#15
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A31/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H03/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A05/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
104.1Avg total
52.6Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.151.7102.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.751.3105.0+2.469%-
Last 30 away (17)49.152.1101.1-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)52.651.5104.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)53.456.4109.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.656.2104.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.151.2103.3+0.854%-
vs Weaker (12)51.050.4101.4+0.650%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H31/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A04/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H06/01
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H08/01
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A12/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A14/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A16/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H19/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A21/01
CBA
99.9Avg total
54.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.348.6100.9+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.846.599.3+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)51.950.7102.5+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)54.445.599.9+8.9100%-
Last 5 (5)54.047.6101.6+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.351.0101.3-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)53.248.9102.1+4.277%-
vs Weaker (11)52.546.999.4+5.564%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 101.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.829.2
55.3%
52.7%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.9
37.4%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.616.8
74.3%
76.0%16.8
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.2
53.9%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.7
41.3%
34.6%41.1
🏀 Free throws25.718.7
72.8%
76.0%18.7
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWWWWLWLL
Qingdao
WWWWLWWWLW
#9
League position
#7
+1.3
Net rating
+7.7
114.0
Offensive rating
114.0
112.6
Defensive rating
106.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.4%
3-point %
41.3%
61.7%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 114.0Defence112.6 · 106.3Shooting55.5% · 57.6%3-point %37.4% · 41.3%Ball care16.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 24.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guangzhou wins
8
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
07/01/23Qingdao v Guangzhou88-86
20/12/22Guangzhou v Qingdao88-89
12/10/22Guangzhou v Qingdao59-80
06/01/22Guangzhou v Qingdao108-97
26/12/21Qingdao v Guangzhou117-100
26/01/21Guangzhou v Qingdao111-116
12/01/21Qingdao v Guangzhou94-114
06/11/20Qingdao v Guangzhou97-94
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113
14/01/24HNingbo Rockets92-77
12/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu116-105
10/01/24AFujian116-106
08/01/24AZhejiang Chouzhou96-99
05/01/24ASichuan108-82
03/01/24HGuangdong93-105
31/12/23AShandong83-103
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AJilin103-101
19/01/24HTianjin119-114 OT
16/01/24AGuangdong109-99
14/01/24AFujian105-92
12/01/24ALiaoning109-116
10/01/24HJiangsu Dragons107-81
08/01/24HShenzhen110-105
06/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou114-100
04/01/24ABeijing82-92
31/12/23HShenzhen104-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %48%56%41%
Points / game101.2103.399.1
Allowed / game99.798.7100.6
Point differential+1.5+4.6-1.5
Avg total200.8202.0199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%88%47%
Points / game102.3105.499.4
Allowed / game98.696.1101.0
Point differential+3.7+9.3-1.6
Avg total201.0201.6200.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)83% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %12%19%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning3328585%102.993.0+9.9
2 Xinjiang3428682%106.195.6+10.6
3 Zhejiang Guangsha34241071%105.196.6+8.5
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou34241071%107.398.8+8.5
5 Guangdong34241071%107.9103.0+4.9
6 Qingdao33221167%102.398.6+3.7
7 Shenzhen34211362%105.8102.1+3.7
8 Shanghai34191556%105.9103.6+2.2
9 Beijing Royal Fighters34191556%105.3103.2+2.1
10 Guangzhou33161748%101.299.7+1.5
11 Shanxi Zhongyu33161748%109.5111.6-2.1
12 Beijing34151944%100.5102.2-1.6
13 Tianjin34151944%105.8108.9-3.1
14 Shandong34142041%101.6103.0-1.5
15 Nanjing Tongxi34142041%101.3104.4-3.0
16 Jilin34122235%103.1107.4-4.4
17 Fujian33112233%101.5105.8-4.3
18 Ningbo Rockets3462818%92.9105.1-12.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons3142713%93.4103.3-9.8
20 Sichuan3443012%98.1112.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou29223522108
Qingdao2734201798
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