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Guangzhou vs Sichuan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 87-79
21-22 16-19 24-16 26-22
Position#16
Record9-30
FormLLLWW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#19
Record8-31
FormLLLLL
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game109.9
ChinaCBARound 40· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Sichuan
15 Mar 2027
GUAN v SICH
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GUAN v SICH
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
GUAN106
SICH76
14 Mar 2025
GUAN87
SICH79
03 Feb 2024
GUAN125
SICH98
14 Oct 2022
GUAN106
SICH98
04 Jan 2022
GUAN103
SICH110
01 Feb 2021
GUAN91
SICH104
19 Jan 2020
GUAN107
SICH111
28 Oct 2018
GUAN110
SICH95
02 Nov 2017
GUAN125
SICH111
13 Nov 2016
GUAN97
SICH103
10 Jan 2016
GUAN104
SICH117
07 Dec 2014
GUAN118
SICH102
01 Jan 2014
GUAN106
SICH112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sichuan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
89-121
89
121
-32
83avg 89
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
64avg 89
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
97-116
97
116
-19
90avg 89
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
116-124
116
124
-8
108avg 89
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
102avg 89
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
82-111
82
111
-29
70avg 89
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 89
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 89
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 89
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 89
A12/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
27-34
19-32
14-30
28-18
20-11
11-33
18-23
27-34
20-26
26-24
24-32
30-26
32-35
27-36
27-27
27-28
32-40
32-26
22-22
22-29
21-24
25-32
14-26
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
203.6Avg total
94.5Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)96.9107.3204.2-10.423%
Season at home (19)98.4107.9206.3-9.521%
Season away (20)95.4106.7202.1-11.325%
Last 10 (10)94.5109.1203.6-14.620%
Last 5 (5)90.6105.8196.4-15.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)93.1112.2205.2-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)104.396.5200.8+7.870%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 85
H13/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
L
117-121
117
121
-4
104avg 85
A16/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
99-115
99
115
-16
92avg 85
A18/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
87-129
87
129
-42
68avg 85
H20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 85
H23/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
84-97
84
97
-13
84avg 85
A25/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-118
102
118
-16
95avg 85
A05/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
73avg 85
H07/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
97-105
97
105
-8
93avg 85
H10/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
73-101
73
101
-28
59avg 85
A12/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
24-32
22-20
29-36
31-27
35-31
23-31
28-32
16-26
31-33
31-32
21-24
26-27
21-32
18-30
22-40
27-29
29-27
21-20
16-28
22-30
19-25
24-20
19-22
23-25
30-38
33-24
16-31
24-20
21-26
24-33
14-20
28-29
31-28
17-23
21-25
25-16
13-31
15-34
20-20
203.7Avg total
93.9Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)99.7109.9209.6-10.221%
Season at home (19)102.5108.0210.5-5.537%
Season away (20)97.1111.7208.8-14.65%
Last 10 (10)93.9109.8203.7-15.90%
Last 5 (5)87.8104.0191.8-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)93.2109.5202.6-16.35%
vs Similar ◀ (10)107.5111.0218.5-3.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -7.2-7.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -7.2-7.2
GuangzhouSichuan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H13/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H16/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A20/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H22/01
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
101.2Avg total
49.4Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.052.4102.4-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.452.5103.9-1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)48.252.2100.4-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)49.451.8101.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.448.292.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)49.555.3104.8-5.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.946.697.5+4.370%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sichuan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tianjin
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H13/01
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A16/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A18/01
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H23/01
CBA
Tianjin
#15
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A25/01
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A05/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H10/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/03
CBA
105.8Avg total
50.5Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.558.1108.6-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.655.1105.7-4.621%-
Last 30 away (16)50.460.7111.1-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)50.555.3105.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)47.253.6100.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)49.458.1107.5-8.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)52.858.1110.9-5.330%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.024.7
50.4%
52.6%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
76.3%17.0
They take 75.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.222.3
46.3%
52.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.0
31.6%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws26.418.5
70.1%
76.3%18.5
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLLLLLLLL
Sichuan
LLLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#19
-16.0
Net rating
-16.8
101.4
Offensive rating
99.9
117.4
Defensive rating
116.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.2%
3-point %
31.6%
57.4%
Assist %
71.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 99.9Defence117.4 · 116.7Shooting50.7% · 46.7%3-point %34.2% · 31.6%Ball care20.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Sichuan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangzhou wins
4
Sichuan wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Sichuan v Guangzhou99-98
03/02/24Guangzhou v Sichuan125-98
05/01/24Sichuan v Guangzhou82-108
22/03/23Sichuan v Guangzhou90-102
14/10/22Guangzhou v Sichuan106-98
13/01/22Sichuan v Guangzhou71-92
04/01/22Guangzhou v Sichuan103-110
06/03/21Sichuan v Guangzhou111-114 OT
01/02/21Guangzhou v Sichuan91-104
19/01/20Guangzhou v Sichuan107-111
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
24/01/25AGuangdong82-111
22/01/25HBeijing Royal Fighters113-116
20/01/25AShanxi Zhongyu116-124
18/01/25AXinjiang97-116
16/01/25HGuangdong77-85
13/01/25HShandong89-121
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AGuangdong73-101
10/03/25HShenzhen97-105
07/03/25HBeijing83-99
05/03/25AJilin102-118
25/01/25ATianjin84-97
23/01/25HQingdao93-104
20/01/25HShanghai87-129
18/01/25AZhejiang Guangsha99-115
16/01/25AFujian117-121
13/01/25HTianjin104-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW23%
HomeLLLLW21%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %23%21%25%
Points / game96.998.495.4
Allowed / game107.3107.9106.7
Point differential-10.4-9.5-11.3
Avg total204.2206.3202.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%16%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%16%0%
Sichuan
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL37%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %21%37%5%
Points / game99.7102.597.1
Allowed / game109.9108.0111.7
Point differential-10.2-5.5-14.6
Avg total209.6210.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%16%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha3933685%103.992.6+11.2
2 Shanxi Zhongyu3930977%114.2107.9+6.3
3 Xinjiang38271171%110.3102.2+8.1
4 Beijing39271269%102.396.3+5.9
5 Guangdong39261367%104.997.4+7.5
6 Shandong39261367%104.9100.5+4.4
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou39251464%112.8105.1+7.7
8 Liaoning39251464%105.199.6+5.5
9 Qingdao39251464%104.1100.0+4.1
10 Shanghai38241463%110.8102.3+8.6
11 Beijing Royal Fighters38221658%106.6101.9+4.6
12 Nanjing Tongxi39192049%106.1107.6-1.5
13 Shenzhen39152438%104.7106.8-2.1
14 Jilin39132633%102.5111.1-8.7
15 Tianjin39112828%102.2111.2-9.0
16 Ningbo Rockets39102926%103.6113.8-10.3
17 Guangzhou3993023%96.9107.3-10.4
18 Sichuan3983121%99.7109.9-10.2
19 Fujian3873118%103.4115.3-11.9
20 Jiangsu Dragons3963315%93.5103.2-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2116242687
Sichuan2219162279
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