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Guangzhou vs Beijing Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 98-99 (OT)
20-20 25-32 27-18 16-18 10-11
Position#9
Record17-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game99.6
vs
Beijing 🏆
China
Position#11
Record15-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game102.2
ChinaCBARound 35· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Beijing
24 Mar 2027
GUAN v BEIJ
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
GUAN v BEIJ
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
GUAN94
BEIJ103
14 Mar 2026
GUAN85
BEIJ98
02 Dec 2024
GUAN82
BEIJ101
27 Jan 2024
GUAN98
BEIJ99
01 Apr 2023
GUAN87
BEIJ101
03 Mar 2022
GUAN74
BEIJ108
28 Jan 2021
GUAN102
BEIJ114
18 Jul 2020
GUAN81
BEIJ105
03 Dec 2019
GUAN86
BEIJ109
12 Feb 2019
GUAN97
BEIJ93
30 Jan 2018
GUAN106
BEIJ96
24 Jan 2017
GUAN76
BEIJ86
29 Dec 2015
GUAN88
BEIJ110
23 Nov 2014
GUAN118
BEIJ120
22 Jan 2014
GUAN91
BEIJ101
15 Feb 2013
GUAN112
BEIJ106
23 Dec 2011
GUAN105
BEIJ101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beijing winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
79avg 96
H03/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
108-82
108
82
+26
106avg 96
A05/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
96-99
96
99
-3
92avg 96
A08/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
116-106
116
106
+10
117avg 96
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
116-105
116
105
+11
119avg 96
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
95avg 96
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 96
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
30-21
21-32
19-29
28-17
30-22
19-25
31-18
25-32
21-25
31-16
19-26
28-22
28-20
30-33
30-31
34-28
26-26
26-23
30-28
20-22
30-19
21-22
21-14
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
206.4Avg total
105.4Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)101.499.6201.0+1.750%
Season at home (17)103.698.6202.2+4.959%
Season away (17)99.1100.6199.8-1.541%
Last 10 (10)105.4101.0206.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)105.0102.6207.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)98.6104.0202.6-5.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)100.6103.5204.2-2.931%
vs Weaker (12)103.296.4199.7+6.875%
This opponent (Beijing) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
92-82
92
82
+10
87avg 92
H04/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
115-99
115
99
+16
119avg 92
H06/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
85-118
85
118
-33
69avg 92
H08/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
124-130 OT
124
130
-6
no box
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A12/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
64avg 92
H14/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
93-103
93
103
-10
86avg 92
H17/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
87-104
87
104
-17
78avg 92
A19/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
106-87
106
87
+19
99avg 92
H21/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
83-92
83
92
-9
81avg 92
A24/01
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-27
24-12
21-18
22-29
41-23
26-21
26-26
21-28
16-24
16-30
32-36
38-32
30-20
22-33
29-34
28-24
26-21
19-27
29-30
26-27
28-19
21-26
9-24
24-25
22-28
33-25
14-25
12-26
26-24
25-22
24-32
30-19
23-23
24-35
29-10
25-17
15-26
24-28
19-21
200.8Avg total
98.0Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)100.5102.2202.7-1.644%
Season at home (17)101.8100.2201.9+1.659%
Season away (17)99.3104.2203.5-4.929%
Last 10 (10)98.0102.8200.8-4.830%
Last 5 (5)90.696.4187.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.6106.9197.4-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)101.3102.0203.3-0.744%
vs Weaker (5)100.496.8197.2+3.660%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
GuangzhouBeijing
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H03/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A05/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A08/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A10/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
105.6Avg total
53.1Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.352.2103.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.552.0105.5+1.564%-
Last 30 away (16)49.452.4101.8-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)53.152.5105.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.8109.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.656.2104.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.652.3104.9+0.354%-
vs Weaker (12)51.050.4101.4+0.650%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H04/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H06/01
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/01
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A10/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A12/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H17/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A19/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/01
CBA
98.7Avg total
50.0Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.151.2100.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.351.9104.1+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)45.950.596.4-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.798.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.246.893.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.952.7100.6-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)49.750.4100.1-0.750%-
vs Weaker (5)48.851.8100.6-3.020%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.830.0
54.7%
52.7%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
76.0%17.0
They take 77.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.525.0
49.5%
52.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.4
32.9%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
76.0%14.5
They take 79.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLLWWWWLWL
Beijing
LWLLLLLLWW
#9
League position
#11
+4.5
Net rating
-6.3
117.2
Offensive rating
104.0
112.7
Defensive rating
110.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.3%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
32.9%
59.5%
Assist %
67.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 104.0Defence112.7 · 110.3Shooting55.9% · 49.4%3-point %39.1% · 32.9%Ball care15.1% · 13.3%Off. rebounds34.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Beijing
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Beijing wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23Beijing v Guangzhou95-91
01/04/23Guangzhou v Beijing87-101
22/10/22Beijing v Guangzhou66-71 OT
10/03/22Beijing v Guangzhou84-56
03/03/22Guangzhou v Beijing74-108
28/01/21Guangzhou v Beijing102-114
29/12/20Beijing v Guangzhou102-100
18/07/20Guangzhou v Beijing81-105
01/07/20Beijing v Guangzhou96-72
10/12/19Beijing v Guangzhou112-104
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113
14/01/24HNingbo Rockets92-77
12/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu116-105
10/01/24AFujian116-106
08/01/24AZhejiang Chouzhou96-99
05/01/24ASichuan108-82
03/01/24HGuangdong93-105
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AZhejiang Guangsha83-92
21/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu106-87
19/01/24AGuangdong87-104
17/01/24HFujian93-103
14/01/24HLiaoning84-96
12/01/24AShandong111-117 OT
10/01/24ATianjin124-130 OT
08/01/24HNanjing Tongxi85-118
06/01/24HTianjin115-99
04/01/24HQingdao92-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWWW59%
AwayWLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%59%41%
Points / game101.4103.699.1
Allowed / game99.698.6100.6
Point differential+1.7+4.9-1.5
Avg total201.0202.2199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%47%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beijing
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %44%59%29%
Points / game100.5101.899.3
Allowed / game102.2100.2104.2
Point differential-1.6+1.6-4.9
Avg total202.7201.9203.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %15%6%24%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning3328585%102.993.0+9.9
2 Xinjiang3428682%106.195.6+10.6
3 Zhejiang Guangsha35251071%105.196.5+8.7
4 Zhejiang Chouzhou35251071%107.298.8+8.4
5 Guangdong35241169%107.4103.0+4.4
6 Qingdao34221265%102.298.9+3.3
7 Shenzhen35221363%106.1102.5+3.7
8 Beijing Royal Fighters35201557%105.5102.5+3.0
9 Shanghai34191556%105.9103.6+2.2
10 Guangzhou34171750%101.499.6+1.7
11 Shanxi Zhongyu33161748%109.5111.6-2.1
12 Beijing34151944%100.5102.2-1.6
13 Nanjing Tongxi35152043%101.7104.2-2.5
14 Tianjin35152043%105.6108.8-3.2
15 Shandong34142041%101.6103.0-1.5
16 Fujian34122235%101.8105.9-4.1
17 Jilin35122334%103.5107.7-4.3
18 Ningbo Rockets3562917%92.5105.3-12.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons3242812%93.9103.5-9.6
20 Sichuan3543111%98.1112.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guangzhou202527161098
Beijing203218181199
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