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Guangzhou vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 99-84
25-23 32-23 15-21 27-17
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game81.0
Guangzhou 🏆
China
vs
Xinjiang
China
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game88.0
ChinaCBARound 2· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Xinjiang
09 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
GUAN79
XINJ76
16 Mar 2025
GUAN80
XINJ116
26 Apr 2024
GUAN71
XINJ93
24 Apr 2024
GUAN105
XINJ83
16 Mar 2024
GUAN108
XINJ96
25 Oct 2023
GUAN99
XINJ84
05 Jan 2023
GUAN83
XINJ113
02 Nov 2021
GUAN123
XINJ105
01 Apr 2021
GUAN93
XINJ110
18 Oct 2020
GUAN97
XINJ102
22 Nov 2019
GUAN105
XINJ137
31 Oct 2018
GUAN106
XINJ101
05 Nov 2017
GUAN110
XINJ137
15 Nov 2016
GUAN89
XINJ99
22 Jan 2016
GUAN99
XINJ98
01 Feb 2015
GUAN103
XINJ129
11 Dec 2013
GUAN86
XINJ103
30 Nov 2012
GUAN101
XINJ91
11 Dec 2011
GUAN96
XINJ102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#18
W
102-90
102
90
+12
no box
A22/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
115-100
115
100
+15
no box
A28/03
CBA
Beijing
#7
L
87-101
87
101
-14
no box
H01/04
CBA
Liaoning
#2
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H03/04
CBA
Jilin
#12
W
104-87
104
87
+17
no box
A05/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
A09/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H11/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
91-114
91
114
-23
no box
A17/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
100-113
100
113
-13
no box
H19/04
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
114-81
114
81
+33
119avg 119
H23/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
37-21
28-27
16-24
27-25
31-24
31-29
26-22
21-19
29-34
17-22
20-26
24-22
19-6
23-24
21-17
24-21
26-25
25-16
29-25
20-22
27-18
18-13
28-23
19-23
31-14
17-17
22-26
23-32
27-24
20-28
21-30
22-27
29-27
19-27
30-32
33-13
33-15
28-21
20-32
189.3Avg total
98.2Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)114.081.0195.0+33.0100%
Season at home (1)114.081.0195.0+33.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.291.1189.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)97.492.8190.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.095.7180.7-10.717%
vs Similar (10)99.496.8196.2+2.650%
vs Weaker (14)104.091.2195.2+12.886%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H15/03
CBA
Beijing
#7
L
97-100
97
100
-3
no box
A17/03
CBA
Jilin
#12
L
99-103
99
103
-4
no box
A19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
92-113
92
113
-21
no box
A22/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#15
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H29/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
108-101
108
101
+7
no box
H01/04
CBA
Tianjin
#19
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H03/04
CBA
Guangdong
#1
L
95-108
95
108
-13
no box
A05/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
95-88
95
88
+7
86avg 86
A23/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-19
22-33
21-27
28-21
24-26
21-34
24-27
30-16
25-27
24-25
18-27
25-34
19-15
39-30
19-25
21-22
33-24
27-28
20-26
28-23
17-23
26-34
26-24
29-10
25-28
31-39
23-23
16-18
22-28
25-21
23-17
25-22
161.8Avg total
78.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.088.0183.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.088.0183.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)98.896.0194.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.281.8155.0-8.629%
vs Similar (8)102.992.8195.6+10.188%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.252.9100.1-5.650%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.5+4.5
GuangzhouXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#18
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A22/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A28/03
CBA
Beijing
#7
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H01/04
CBA
Liaoning
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H03/04
CBA
Jilin
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A05/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/04
CBA
Shandong
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A17/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H19/04
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H23/10
CBA
95.3Avg total
52.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.446.497.9+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.944.195.9+7.873%-
Last 30 away (15)51.048.899.8+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)52.343.095.3+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)52.843.095.8+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)45.246.892.0-1.733%-
vs Similar (10)52.348.2100.5+4.160%-
vs Weaker (14)53.545.098.5+8.579%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#7
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A17/03
CBA
Jilin
#12
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A19/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A22/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#15
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H29/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H01/04
CBA
Tianjin
#19
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H03/04
CBA
Guangdong
#1
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A05/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A23/10
CBA
105.0Avg total
50.8Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)50.748.999.6+1.848%-
Last 30 at home (10)53.149.3102.4+3.870%-
Last 30 away (13)48.848.597.4+0.331%-
Last 10 (8)50.854.2105.0-3.525%-
Last 5 (5)52.854.0106.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)49.348.998.2+0.436%-
vs Similar (8)53.951.1105.0+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.244.292.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.034.0
68.0%
52.7%68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws28.022.0
78.6%
76.0%22.0
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.0
56.4%
52.7%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.0
24.0%
34.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.013.0
59.1%
76.0%13.0
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLLWWWWLWW
Xinjiang
WLWWWLLLLL
#9
League position
#3
+34.6
Net rating
+5.4
112.7
Offensive rating
101.1
78.1
Defensive rating
95.6
62.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
35.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
23.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
45.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
24.0%
54.8%
Assist %
43.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 101.1Defence78.1 · 95.6Shooting62.2% · 50.0%3-point %33.3% · 24.0%Ball care23.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 45.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guangzhou wins
6
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang83-113
08/12/22Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-96
10/11/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou102-117
02/11/21Guangzhou v Xinjiang123-105
13/04/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou94-105
01/04/21Guangzhou v Xinjiang93-110
04/12/20Xinjiang v Guangzhou90-93
18/10/20Guangzhou v Xinjiang97-102
23/07/20Xinjiang v Guangzhou103-87
22/11/19Guangzhou v Xinjiang105-137
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HShandong114-81
19/04/23HZhejiang Chouzhou100-113
17/04/23AZhejiang Chouzhou91-114
11/04/23HShandong89-80
09/04/23AShandong93-76
05/04/23AJilin104-87
03/04/23HLiaoning87-69
01/04/23HBeijing87-101
28/03/23AFujian115-100
22/03/23ASichuan102-90
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23AJiangsu Dragons95-88
05/04/23AGuangdong95-108
03/04/23HTianjin98-91
01/04/23HNanjing Tongxi108-101
29/03/23HBeijing Royal Fighters98-92
22/03/23AZhejiang Chouzhou92-113
19/03/23AJilin99-103
17/03/23ABeijing97-100
15/03/23HFujian0-20
13/03/23HLiaoning0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game114.0114.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+33.0+33.0-
Avg total195.0195.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Xinjiang
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total183.0-183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guangzhou110100%114.081.0+33.0
2 Liaoning220100%108.589.5+19.0
3 Shenzhen110100%88.069.0+19.0
4 Guangdong220100%112.097.0+15.0
5 Beijing220100%108.5101.0+7.5
6 Xinjiang110100%95.088.0+7.0
7 Beijing Royal Fighters110100%109.0103.0+6.0
8 Ningbo Rockets110100%102.097.0+5.0
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou21150%106.5104.0+2.5
10 Zhejiang Guangsha21150%108.5108.5+0.0
11 Tianjin1010%97.0102.0-5.0
12 Qingdao1010%103.0109.0-6.0
13 Fujian1010%104.0111.0-7.0
14 Jiangsu Dragons1010%88.095.0-7.0
15 Jilin1010%96.0104.0-8.0
16 Shanghai1010%102.0117.0-15.0
17 Sichuan2020%81.598.0-16.5
18 Shanxi Zhongyu1010%98.0118.0-20.0
19 Nanjing Tongxi1010%85.0109.0-24.0
20 Shandong1010%81.0114.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2532152799
Xinjiang2323211784
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