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Guangzhou vs Xinjiang Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
ChinaCBARound 11· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Xinjiang
09 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
GUAN79
XINJ76
16 Mar 2025
GUAN80
XINJ116
26 Apr 2024
GUAN71
XINJ93
24 Apr 2024
GUAN105
XINJ83
16 Mar 2024
GUAN108
XINJ96
25 Oct 2023
GUAN99
XINJ84
05 Jan 2023
GUAN83
XINJ113
02 Nov 2021
GUAN123
XINJ105
01 Apr 2021
GUAN93
XINJ110
18 Oct 2020
GUAN97
XINJ102
22 Nov 2019
GUAN105
XINJ137
31 Oct 2018
GUAN106
XINJ101
05 Nov 2017
GUAN110
XINJ137
15 Nov 2016
GUAN89
XINJ99
22 Jan 2016
GUAN99
XINJ98
01 Feb 2015
GUAN103
XINJ129
11 Dec 2013
GUAN86
XINJ103
30 Nov 2012
GUAN101
XINJ91
11 Dec 2011
GUAN96
XINJ102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 79
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 79
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
33-21
15-24
28-18
14-16
21-24
24-35
26-18
22-23
181.0Avg total
87.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.295.1186.4-3.950%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (5)91.295.8187.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.099.8187.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)85.694.1179.6-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.289.2180.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 80
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 80
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
GuangzhouXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/11
CBA
91.9Avg total
43.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.690.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.248.393.5-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.691.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.693.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.849.492.2-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.945.291.1+0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWLL
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
#9
League position
#15
-11.7
Net rating
-3.7
90.5
Offensive rating
102.0
102.2
Defensive rating
105.7
47.4%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
11.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
34.7%
60.4%
Assist %
69.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 102.0Defence102.2 · 105.7Shooting47.4% · 55.3%3-point %33.2% · 34.7%Ball care14.7% · 11.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guangzhou wins
7
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
06/01/26Guangzhou v Xinjiang79-76
30/12/25Xinjiang v Guangzhou94-76
16/03/25Guangzhou v Xinjiang80-116
18/01/25Xinjiang v Guangzhou116-97
26/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang71-93
24/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang105-83
21/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou113-86
19/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-91
16/03/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang108-96
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ALiaoning93-100
01/11/26AJilin90-79
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game91.291.391.2
Allowed / game95.194.095.8
Point differential-3.9-2.7-4.6
Avg total186.4185.3187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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