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Guangzhou vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 105-83
25-20 33-20 27-26 20-17
Position#9
Record31-25
FormWWWLL
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game99.1
Guangzhou 🏆
China
vs
Xinjiang
China
Position#3
Record43-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game96.4
ChinaCBACBA - Quarter-finals· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Xinjiang
09 Dec 2026
GUAN v XINJ
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
GUAN79
XINJ76
16 Mar 2025
GUAN80
XINJ116
26 Apr 2024
GUAN71
XINJ93
24 Apr 2024
GUAN105
XINJ83
16 Mar 2024
GUAN108
XINJ96
25 Oct 2023
GUAN99
XINJ84
05 Jan 2023
GUAN83
XINJ113
02 Nov 2021
GUAN123
XINJ105
01 Apr 2021
GUAN93
XINJ110
18 Oct 2020
GUAN97
XINJ102
22 Nov 2019
GUAN105
XINJ137
31 Oct 2018
GUAN106
XINJ101
05 Nov 2017
GUAN110
XINJ137
15 Nov 2016
GUAN89
XINJ99
22 Jan 2016
GUAN99
XINJ98
01 Feb 2015
GUAN103
XINJ129
11 Dec 2013
GUAN86
XINJ103
30 Nov 2012
GUAN101
XINJ91
11 Dec 2011
GUAN96
XINJ102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
W
115-106
115
106
+9
100avg 95
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 95
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
103-99
103
99
+4
91avg 95
A29/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
97-124
97
124
-27
82avg 95
A31/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
103-88
103
88
+15
102avg 95
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
109-87
109
87
+22
106avg 95
H06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
101-96
101
96
+5
92avg 95
A11/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
79avg 95
H14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-108
91
108
-17
73avg 95
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
86-113
86
113
-27
67avg 95
A21/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
17-23
38-29
28-28
29-33
30-22
29-20
32-28
21-18
22-29
41-23
19-29
29-29
22-30
29-33
17-32
22-27
27-32
37-10
17-19
29-23
27-20
33-22
20-22
25-26
20-22
25-24
31-24
18-17
25-28
30-19
19-14
25-23
23-30
23-23
20-32
21-26
22-31
24-34
19-22
201.9Avg total
101.7Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)101.999.1201.1+2.855%
Season at home (27)104.696.5201.0+8.167%
Season away (29)99.5101.6201.1-2.145%
Last 10 (10)101.7100.2201.9+1.570%
Last 5 (5)95.896.4192.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)101.2106.3207.5-5.233%
vs Similar (13)103.4101.6205.0+1.862%
vs Weaker (11)105.993.4199.3+12.582%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
109-77
109
77
+32
105avg 101
A18/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
119-106
119
106
+13
119avg 101
H22/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 101
H24/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
73avg 101
A26/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
93-115
93
115
-22
90avg 101
A28/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
147-107
147
107
+40
163avg 101
H31/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
121-103
121
103
+18
128avg 101
H02/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
121-74
121
74
+47
124avg 101
H06/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
108-91
108
91
+17
105avg 101
H19/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
113-86
113
86
+27
114avg 101
H21/04
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
19-14
29-28
32-20
41-29
31-20
18-32
29-25
22-25
19-23
25-25
28-18
22-19
26-24
17-18
20-35
24-29
21-29
25-27
23-30
39-36
30-22
36-25
42-24
38-24
30-26
29-29
24-24
29-14
32-21
29-24
31-15
23-25
30-23
23-23
32-20
26-21
31-22
34-24
22-19
205.6Avg total
111.0Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)106.996.4203.3+10.580%
Season at home (28)112.695.8208.3+16.893%
Season away (26)100.897.0197.8+3.865%
Last 10 (10)111.094.6205.6+16.480%
Last 5 (5)122.092.2214.2+29.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)105.0103.8208.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)110.096.3206.3+13.781%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
GuangzhouXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A29/03
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A31/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A11/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A21/04
CBA
100.1Avg total
48.6Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.851.8103.5+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.351.0105.3+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)49.652.4102.0-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)48.651.5100.1-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.296.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)53.255.3108.5-2.250%-
vs Similar (13)50.053.3103.3-3.323%-
vs Weaker (11)53.148.0101.1+5.173%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A18/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H22/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H24/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A26/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A28/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H31/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H02/04
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H06/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H19/04
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H21/04
CBA
102.3Avg total
56.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.848.0102.8+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.647.1104.6+10.575%-
Last 30 away (14)51.649.1100.8+2.557%-
Last 10 (10)56.246.1102.3+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)61.646.8108.4+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)56.847.5104.2+9.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)54.548.1102.6+6.465%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.225.2
48.3%
52.7%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.8
37.7%
34.6%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
76.0%15.1
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 110.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.431.7
56.2%
52.7%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.1
33.8%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.719.7
71.1%
76.0%19.7
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWWWWLWWW
Xinjiang
WWWWWLLWWW
#9
League position
#3
+1.7
Net rating
+18.2
109.9
Offensive rating
118.3
108.1
Defensive rating
100.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.7%
3-point %
33.8%
55.1%
Assist %
75.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 118.3Defence108.1 · 100.0Shooting51.4% · 54.4%3-point %37.7% · 33.8%Ball care12.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guangzhou wins
5
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou113-86
19/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-91
16/03/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang108-96
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
25/10/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang99-84
05/01/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang83-113
08/12/22Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-96
10/11/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou102-117
02/11/21Guangzhou v Xinjiang123-105
13/04/21Xinjiang v Guangzhou94-105
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AXinjiang86-113
19/04/24AXinjiang91-108
14/04/24HQingdao92-78
11/04/24AQingdao101-96
06/04/24HNanjing Tongxi109-87
02/04/24HFujian103-88
31/03/24AGuangdong97-124
29/03/24ATianjin103-99
26/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-103
24/03/24AShenzhen115-106
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HGuangzhou113-86
19/04/24HGuangzhou108-91
06/04/24HJiangsu Dragons121-74
02/04/24HTianjin121-103
31/03/24HJilin147-107
28/03/24AShanghai93-115
26/03/24ALiaoning85-96
24/03/24HBeijing94-91
22/03/24HShanghai119-106
18/03/24ANanjing Tongxi109-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %55%67%45%
Points / game101.9104.699.5
Allowed / game99.196.5101.6
Point differential+2.8+8.1-2.1
Avg total201.1201.0201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%59%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)0% (3)60% (10)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %80%93%65%
Points / game106.9112.6100.8
Allowed / game96.495.897.0
Point differential+10.5+16.8+3.8
Avg total203.3208.3197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%68%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning5546984%104.393.5+10.9
2 Xinjiang54431180%106.996.4+10.5
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou54421278%109.198.5+10.6
4 Guangdong55391671%110.6103.5+7.1
5 Zhejiang Guangsha58362262%103.698.7+4.9
6 Shanghai57352261%106.5103.8+2.7
7 Qingdao54312357%102.299.6+2.6
8 Shenzhen58332557%104.2103.3+0.9
9 Guangzhou56312555%101.999.1+2.8
10 Beijing Royal Fighters55302555%105.9104.3+1.6
11 Beijing55282751%100.9100.5+0.4
12 Shanxi Zhongyu55282751%110.9111.2-0.3
13 Nanjing Tongxi52232944%103.1106.1-3.0
14 Tianjin52223042%106.8109.5-2.8
15 Shandong52213140%103.8105.1-1.4
16 Jilin52193337%103.6107.7-4.1
17 Fujian52173533%102.6106.9-4.3
18 Jiangsu Dragons5274513%91.7103.2-11.5
19 Ningbo Rockets5264612%93.5107.8-14.3
20 Sichuan524488%94.0110.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou25332720105
Xinjiang2020261783
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